Total-First — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

184

Trades

2,795

lifetime

Volume

$43.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-13 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 41% -$1,109

Other

4% 42% +$34

Politics

2% 26% -$91

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	125	$3.3K	3,826	3,966	-140	Yes	+$0	03-31 20:04
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	57	$1.7K	2,680	3,446	-766	No	+$148	01-23 19:05
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	50	$1.6K	2,349	2,349	+0	Yes	+$249	01-23 18:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 6	32	$1.4K	1,102	1,100	+2	Yes	-$62	04-06 17:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 2	62	$1.3K	1,503	1,544	-41	Yes	+$20	04-02 14:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 28	43	$1.2K	805	905	-100	Yes	-$38	01-28 16:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 7	20	$1.2K	965	940	+25	Yes	-$5	04-07 12:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 5	32	$1.0K	864	1,104	-240	Yes	-$158	01-05 16:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	18	$959	731	731	+0	No	+$4	04-29 15:30
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	13	$905	493	493	+0	No	+$44	03-31 03:33
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	26	$895	665	665	+0	Yes	-$49	01-02 17:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 24	21	$888	724	685	+39	No	-$68	02-24 16:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 10	21	$851	882	850	+31	Yes	-$3	04-10 14:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 3	13	$832	652	807	-155	Yes	+$89	04-03 01:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 23	13	$742	509	509	+0	No	-$80	01-23 16:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 5	27	$622	531	523	+9	Yes	+$24	04-05 10:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 6	23	$601	511	516	-5	Yes	-$13	01-06 16:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 3	3	$596	373	368	+5	No	+$5	04-02 18:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 7	17	$574	549	603	-54	No	+$18	04-07 15:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 21	27	$571	530	530	+0	No	+$30	02-21 00:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 29	26	$552	526	582	-56	No	+$31	01-29 12:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 20	11	$465	292	292	+0	Yes	+$46	02-20 16:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 23	13	$446	1,260	560	+700	Yes	-$247	01-23 17:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 30	36	$438	634	734	-100	No	-$18	03-30 02:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 22	22	$427	442	442	+0	Yes	-$10	02-22 08:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 8	14	$425	475	466	+9	No	+$3	04-08 14:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 27	64	$417	619	727	-109	Yes	-$31	03-27 08:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 21	22	$409	340	340	+0	No	-$25	01-21 16:55
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$405	250	250	+0	No	+$30	03-31 19:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	10	$400	299	295	+5	Yes	-$8	04-27 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 10:47:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	246	9¢	$22	0xe4f084…
05-13 10:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x653a25…
05-13 10:39:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x2be0b3…
05-13 10:38:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x1a40cd…
05-11 03:24:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	37	24¢	$9	0x06da15…
05-11 03:21:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x55f5b8…
05-11 03:21:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0xd53abd…
05-11 03:21:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0xaf825c…
05-11 03:09:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	143	15¢	$21	0xa876bd…
05-11 03:06:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	126	19¢	$24	0x0934d9…
05-11 00:34:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0xe89031…
05-10 22:41:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	59	46¢	$27	0x7e558e…
05-10 22:40:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xb129f1…
05-10 22:38:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x045107…
05-10 22:37:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	36	45¢	$16	0x19f205…
05-10 22:19:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	120	58¢	$70	0x22be6a…
05-10 22:03:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	57	20¢	$11	0x75f226…
05-10 22:03:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x382afe…
05-10 21:59:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	35	24¢	$8	0x3a18ad…
05-10 21:58:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	35	24¢	$8	0x396268…
05-10 21:57:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	35	24¢	$8	0x6c8c86…
05-10 21:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	31	24¢	$7	0xdac09e…
05-10 21:56:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	35	24¢	$8	0x0a2348…
05-10 21:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0xebf3e5…
05-10 21:54:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	72	23¢	$17	0x0289d6…
05-10 21:21:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7be1bc…
05-10 21:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xa5618b…
05-10 21:20:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb911a7…
05-10 21:20:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x9687f0…
05-10 21:19:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xba045d…
05-10 21:19:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xb8195d…
05-10 21:19:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x45f95f…
05-10 21:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xa92df6…
05-10 21:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x39a01a…
05-10 21:18:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xfb45f6…
05-10 21:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	42	25¢	$10	0xb57b4b…
05-10 21:18:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xecb61b…
05-10 21:16:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x071f79…
05-10 11:24:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x32d0d6…
05-10 10:34:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x7b3185…
05-10 10:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x903e3e…
05-10 10:34:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x39f9f8…
05-10 10:33:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x78eddb…
05-10 10:33:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0xfdbb2a…
05-10 10:33:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x662c15…
05-10 09:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0xa9d006…
05-10 09:17:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xe9b693…
05-10 09:17:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2767a1…
05-10 09:17:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x52ddcf…
05-10 09:17:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x64dd13…
05-10 02:28:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd921f9…
05-10 01:42:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd11a80…
05-10 01:42:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6c01ea…
05-10 01:42:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5eca41…
05-10 01:42:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcbacc4…
05-10 01:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0xff3c6d…
05-10 01:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb6874e…
05-10 01:33:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xecf44c…
05-09 11:37:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0xfe6d99…
05-09 11:36:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x126aab…
05-09 11:36:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xeba5a3…
05-09 11:35:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x6b2925…
05-09 11:35:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x053096…
05-09 10:45:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	39	63¢	$25	0x9cc59f…
05-09 05:50:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0xf8292b…
05-09 05:48:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xe91b46…
05-09 05:17:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x87b313…
05-09 05:16:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa9ae2a…
05-09 05:16:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x391635…
05-09 05:15:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4d3312…
05-09 05:15:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4a20bf…
05-09 05:15:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x67632a…
05-09 05:14:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x333b5d…
05-03 20:57:32	Will the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0x9eff5e…
05-03 20:57:00	Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x77fceb…
05-01 23:39:22	Will the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0xbd69eb…
05-01 12:46:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa03aa8…
05-01 12:44:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0x6e0d17…
05-01 12:42:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	66	49¢	$32	0x9e5a27…
05-01 12:40:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xd95795…
05-01 12:40:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x3a8efb…
05-01 12:39:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xacfdc5…
05-01 06:26:34	Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf95347…
04-30 18:33:42	Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?	No	SELL	70	24¢	$17	0xd99f41…
04-29 16:50:16	Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?	No	BUY	30	22¢	$6	0xf4d225…
04-29 16:44:48	Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xba06ac…
04-29 15:30:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	130	85¢	$111	0xc3f930…
04-29 11:16:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x0489a8…
04-29 11:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xc9cddd…
04-29 10:59:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x259d28…
04-29 10:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xc52165…
04-29 10:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	85	65¢	$55	0x0230a2…
04-29 09:55:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	280	58¢	$162	0xff3b92…
04-29 07:57:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x51a89e…
04-29 06:18:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xdde02f…
04-29 06:18:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x2b88c5…
04-29 06:17:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	130	72¢	$94	0xd6ce63…
04-29 04:56:38	Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6a4581…
04-29 04:54:02	Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6b4d4e…
04-29 04:39:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	320	65¢	$208	0xeaabca…