Authentic-Dandelion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.00K

Unrealized P&L

+$213

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

517

Trades

6,202

lifetime

Volume

$191.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$1.61K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 48% -$6,295

Other

37% 45% +$1,525

Sports

3% 32% -$244

Politics

2% 20% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 498 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	+8,833	$1,217	18¢	$1.5K	+$328	10-30 00:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+197	$179	32¢	$62	-$117	11-01 17:56
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	+4	$2	88¢	$3	+$1	07-06 07:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	50	$7.9K	7,747	3,980	+3,767	Yes	+$1,158	08-06 18:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	5	$6.4K	5,565	5,565	+0	Yes	+$436	10-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	143	$6.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	Up	+$1,049	10-13 07:38
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	6	$5.6K	9,000	9,000	+0	No	-$1,620	10-22 12:45
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15?	4	$5.4K	4,000	3,999	+1	Yes	+$1,360	10-15 14:48
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	7	$4.0K	4,681	4,681	+0	open	—	10-14 22:46
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	16	$2.9K	3,833	881	+2,952	Yes	+$1,381	08-11 14:17
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	27	$2.9K	6,257	4,219	+2,037	Down	-$1,094	10-13 19:08
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	23	$2.8K	3,927	3,927	+0	Yes	-$43	08-31 02:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	27	$2.6K	5,413	5,217	+197	open	—	11-01 17:56
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-30?	4	$2.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$560	08-30 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1AM ET	49	$2.6K	2,590	2,590	+0	Down	+$492	09-08 05:38
will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	6	$2.5K	10,158	0	+10,158	Yes	-$2,484	10-14 23:30
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	12	$2.4K	1,657	1,657	+0	No	+$207	08-30 23:41
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	3	$2.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	-$1,440	10-26 22:05
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 6pm et	143	$2.3K	5,060	5,058	+2	Down	-$514	10-14 22:52
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	16	$2.3K	1,734	1,734	+0	Yes	+$2	05-19 22:14
ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	13	$2.2K	3,930	1,965	+1,965	Over	-$825	10-14 20:33
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Galatasaray SK O/U 1.5	3	$2.1K	3,500	0	+3,500	Under	+$1,435	10-13 20:11
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 corners total 8pt5	9	$2.1K	1,609	1,609	+0	Over	+$354	06-19 20:18
will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	3	$2.0K	6,347	0	+6,347	Yes	+$4,346	08-19 15:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	38	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	-$166	10-13 19:50
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?	4	$1.8K	2,000	1,002	+998	No	+$835	08-03 15:14
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	12	$1.8K	1,101	1,101	+0	No	+$360	08-30 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	94	$1.7K	2,700	2,700	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 08:18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	5	$1.6K	2,894	0	+2,894	No	-$1,649	10-22 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	59	$1.6K	1,902	1,902	+0	Up	+$136	10-26 22:43
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	77	$1.5K	3,745	3,745	+0	Up	+$156	04-01 14:06
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	12	$1.5K	9,760	927	+8,833	open	—	10-30 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	53	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$384	09-08 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:33:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in November?	No	SELL	43	55¢	$24	0x809f2c…
11-03 14:31:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in November?	No	SELL	259	55¢	$142	0xf1785d…
11-03 06:12:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	1,490	54¢	$805	0x18e217…
11-03 06:12:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	430	54¢	$232	0x662c1f…
11-03 06:11:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x9b3130…
11-03 05:32:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x6d4c40…
11-03 05:32:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	314	54¢	$170	0x388cd4…
11-03 03:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x593f6c…
11-03 03:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x427c85…
11-03 03:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x108ef5…
11-03 03:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xa1b8b9…
11-03 03:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8d8fff…
11-03 03:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x2655d9…
11-03 03:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0x924e2c…
11-03 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x7f8809…
11-03 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x370779…
11-03 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x091e2e…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xd1d833…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xaab229…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x64daee…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x3b1fd9…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x130575…
11-03 03:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x83dac1…
11-03 03:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	495	9¢	$45	0x45fa47…
11-03 03:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	304	11¢	$33	0x162b96…
11-03 02:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x00ccf1…
11-03 02:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	400	32¢	$128	0xab2d28…
11-02 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xf45b04…
11-02 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xdd994d…
11-02 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xb8b988…
11-02 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x45e5da…
11-02 23:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xce84fc…
11-02 23:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xa04a3c…
11-02 23:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x9801e7…
11-02 23:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x8f2004…
11-02 23:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x7bc270…
11-02 23:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x2a6133…
11-02 23:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x6391da…
11-02 23:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x1ef3cb…
11-02 23:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xf1d7a2…
11-02 23:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x993749…
11-02 23:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x03b610…
11-02 23:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xf3d0e5…
11-02 23:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xe3620d…
11-02 23:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xad9e25…
11-02 23:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x24996c…
11-02 23:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x1be289…
11-02 23:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x16ad0d…
11-02 23:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xabfff4…
11-02 23:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x8b664f…
11-02 23:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x757db4…
11-02 23:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x1594fb…
11-02 23:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x24b989…
11-02 23:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	265	22¢	$58	0x0d4766…
11-02 23:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	127	16¢	$20	0x621b43…
11-02 23:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x5561ed…
11-02 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0xdf7ab0…
11-02 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xafc5c6…
11-02 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x9ded7d…
11-02 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x6f5a03…
11-02 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	211	16¢	$34	0x55b99f…
11-02 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x33a4b0…
11-02 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x231939…
11-02 23:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xcfaa1c…
11-02 23:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0xcaee95…
11-02 23:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x62f727…
11-02 23:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x51e112…
11-02 23:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xc955d4…
11-02 23:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x19e60f…
11-02 23:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x06e3b6…
11-02 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0xe7ab9c…
11-02 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xc778ed…
11-02 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xb656f7…
11-02 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb23929…
11-02 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xabf2ec…
11-02 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x65be89…
11-02 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x648824…
11-02 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x2b842d…
11-02 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x04b2ee…
11-02 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd4cf6e…
11-02 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xcdab46…
11-02 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa9b984…
11-02 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x841177…
11-02 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x34c1d5…
11-02 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0x103a22…
11-02 21:21:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	528	18¢	$95	0xe6dd07…
11-02 21:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x7f3e29…
11-02 21:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x827925…
11-02 21:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x5b71d3…
11-02 07:29:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in November?	No	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0x6474b0…
11-01 17:56:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xd919e0…
11-01 17:55:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	28¢	$21	0x1be051…
10-31 14:13:49	AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: AFC Bournemouth O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x4e4c1e…
10-30 17:40:43	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	264	55¢	$145	0xc18b41…
10-30 17:22:58	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xe22bdb…
10-30 00:30:52	Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x8c6831…
10-30 00:30:51	Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	897	14¢	$130	0x90774d…
10-29 21:22:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,300	56¢	$723	0xf7b9cb…
10-29 21:14:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	148	49¢	$73	0x7ee4c8…
10-29 02:45:55	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x69fc75…