Wavy-Sub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

392

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-02 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

40% 33% $-0

Politics

30% 0% $-2

Crypto

16% 25% $-3

Tech

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$81	117	117	+0	open	—	04-14 18:34
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$74	126	126	+0	open	—	04-11 20:49
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$50	35	35	+0	open	—	04-16 14:46
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	4	$48	136	136	+0	open	—	04-13 18:17
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?	5	$45	30	30	+0	open	—	04-14 16:53
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	8	$44	138	138	+0	open	—	04-14 16:53
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	14	$43	51	51	+0	open	—	04-18 08:56
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	11	$38	348	348	+0	open	—	04-14 16:53
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$35	28	28	+0	open	—	04-16 13:23
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$35	122	122	+0	open	—	04-10 17:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	6	$35	28	28	+0	open	—	04-18 09:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$34	29	28	+0	open	—	04-13 09:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	6	$31	52	52	+0	open	—	04-18 17:09
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	6	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	04-18 18:43
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	6	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	04-19 07:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	6	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-18 18:43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 17:09
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?	2	$26	82	82	+0	open	—	04-11 20:52
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	04-12 11:18
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?	10	$25	78	78	+0	open	—	04-16 13:23
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	4	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	04-12 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$25	30	20	+10	open	—	05-03 12:43
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	6	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	04-18 17:52
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	6	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-25 19:51
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	6	$24	26	26	+0	open	—	04-17 16:09
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$23	23	23	+0	open	—	04-16 08:14
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	4	$20	47	47	+0	Yes	$-2	04-18 07:33
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	6	$19	32	32	+0	open	—	04-18 08:56
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-13 13:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 01:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2723d8…
06-02 00:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xeea78a…
06-02 00:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd29735…
06-01 12:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5d62d4…
06-01 12:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbff789…
06-01 12:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x032919…
06-01 11:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2b8cfd…
06-01 11:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1e6ff4…
06-01 11:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x92f583…
06-01 11:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb83ed7…
06-01 11:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1958c6…
06-01 11:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x162e99…
06-01 11:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x46695d…
06-01 11:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x08db77…
06-01 11:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x03287f…
06-01 11:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2c739d…
06-01 10:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x7a8355…
06-01 10:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x76595c…
06-01 10:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x201331…
06-01 10:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x88711e…
06-01 10:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x8859bb…
06-01 10:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xb01428…
06-01 10:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xac7f2e…
06-01 10:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9b10fa…
06-01 10:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdf62e1…
06-01 10:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x92c26a…
06-01 10:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2cba7b…
06-01 10:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x12a230…
06-01 10:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xc68dfe…
06-01 10:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe4f560…
06-01 10:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xec2c42…
06-01 09:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2ebda9…
06-01 09:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9fc2ab…
06-01 09:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x8cd55d…
06-01 09:29:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0xf17f35…
06-01 08:29:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x991194…
06-01 08:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf9fe35…
05-31 22:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4aac53…
05-31 22:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x580c3f…
05-31 12:13:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x059bec…
05-26 06:44:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x888eac…
05-25 15:24:00	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xf1edb5…
05-25 15:23:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x3f6fef…
05-25 15:11:38	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xad2e31…
05-25 15:11:05	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x73fd2d…
05-25 15:11:03	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xeae008…
05-25 14:47:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xc02971…
05-25 14:47:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xae21c8…
05-25 14:47:17	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xb4494b…
05-24 14:55:57	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x39d242…
05-24 14:55:55	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xace943…
05-24 13:40:11	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x301dc6…
05-24 13:40:05	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xbc117a…
05-24 13:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x0c8b86…
05-24 13:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xb25fc3…
05-24 10:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x297df7…
05-24 10:34:06	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x3f7b02…
05-24 10:33:48	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xcde5ce…
05-24 10:27:25	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x92d061…
05-24 09:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa74229…
05-24 09:39:59	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x87877a…
05-23 13:08:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x54b678…
05-23 12:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x79968e…
05-23 12:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x56c538…
05-23 12:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xc66eac…
05-23 09:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xa61c02…
05-23 09:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xee3f61…
05-23 04:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x30f2de…
05-19 11:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0113ed…
05-19 11:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4b3e91…
05-18 10:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x37aef6…
05-18 10:14:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xff1ac5…
05-16 07:36:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5453ff…
05-14 12:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x2b3d9f…
05-14 09:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0x97f77c…
05-13 11:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x21b4d6…
05-13 09:41:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xf4d393…
05-13 07:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3c2dba…
05-12 19:42:35	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x9be0d4…
05-12 19:42:35	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x09d544…
05-12 19:42:24	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xaeb133…
05-12 19:42:24	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x20c455…
05-12 19:42:10	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x3b89dd…
05-09 18:43:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x183460…
05-09 18:14:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x13c7ac…
05-03 12:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdc693e…
05-03 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa0edf2…
05-03 12:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7b8e51…
05-03 12:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xce28e9…
05-03 12:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x989bac…
05-03 12:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbd225b…
05-03 12:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x95bf69…
05-03 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x100fb0…
04-29 13:14:46	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x77a170…
04-28 10:36:40	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x88107e…
04-28 01:02:32	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x9c4de6…
04-27 13:21:56	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf947d5…
04-27 01:02:22	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xee01c0…
04-26 13:21:46	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3ca815…
04-25 19:51:00	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xa17bba…