Shabby-Taste — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

120

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-23 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

45% 96% +$7

Politics

29% 100% +$4

Crypto

21% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$121	63	63	+0	No	+$4	10-01 00:06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	3	$117	64	64	+0	No	+$3	10-23 09:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$115	58	58	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:48
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	2	$115	57	57	+0	No	+$0	10-08 05:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$105	55	55	+0	No	+$1	09-01 03:51
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$99	49	49	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 10:57
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$98	56	56	+0	open	—	10-13 12:57
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	10-01 00:43
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$58	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	09-22 11:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	09-16 07:07
LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	09-10 19:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	09-14 16:52
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$54	54	0	+54	Yes	+$0	08-05 07:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$0	08-14 15:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	08-14 00:56
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-27 14:16
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$44	44	0	+44	Yes	+$0	08-20 18:06
will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	03-31 10:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	07-30 13:33
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	09-01 01:47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$30	63	63	+0	Yes	+$1	10-19 13:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	05-30 08:40
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	09-01 03:13
will xrp reach 2pt4 in february 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	02-24 22:46
will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-28 11:30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-28 05:16
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-26 13:16
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-14 03:24
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-30 02:07
will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	02-28 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:33:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	64	93¢	$60	0xc0f7ce…
10-22 18:27:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	54	89¢	$48	0x32f53f…
10-21 22:42:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6f9ea9…
10-19 13:40:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	63	24¢	$15	0xd6cdfd…
10-17 21:22:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	63	23¢	$15	0x5b4e79…
10-14 01:22:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc07428…
10-13 17:57:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x4c2a4f…
10-13 12:57:07	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	56	88¢	$49	0x715cd3…
10-13 11:47:20	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0x287126…
10-13 11:35:23	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6b2b7c…
10-09 11:18:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xc34bf8…
10-08 05:38:53	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x9149e8…
10-06 00:33:04	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x9c631f…
10-04 02:39:49	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xa37157…
10-01 00:43:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x391998…
10-01 00:06:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x6dc903…
09-24 18:59:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$58	0x7074e5…
09-22 11:36:34	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x5d3c54…
09-16 07:07:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xaee2f9…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x77e719…
09-10 19:26:22	LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xaae9a8…
09-07 12:48:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x32dc9c…
09-07 01:40:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x73e918…
09-01 03:51:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x35d1c4…
09-01 03:13:51	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x3eda13…
09-01 01:47:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x054308…
08-31 20:22:42	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xd6681d…
08-30 01:29:25	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in August?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xa9f678…
08-27 14:46:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x9547da…
08-26 17:51:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdfbf92…
08-25 14:10:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0xa663bb…
08-25 09:11:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xd89d0f…
08-25 06:19:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45d195…
08-23 17:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa65e53…
08-23 03:07:24	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5848a8…
08-20 18:06:42	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x611480…
08-18 03:11:13	Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b622f…
08-16 20:23:46	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x88f5f5…
08-16 15:29:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xe2ef5d…
08-16 12:13:39	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xea837c…
08-16 04:22:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0xfd5bcd…
08-15 02:00:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe01060…
08-15 02:00:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x949b45…
08-15 02:00:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6e8904…
08-15 02:00:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x5883b2…
08-15 02:00:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x342ae6…
08-15 02:00:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2a64f4…
08-15 01:53:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0x34d509…
08-14 15:35:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xc8b4c1…
08-14 00:56:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x1d2f5e…
08-13 10:57:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xf2e9c3…
08-10 05:57:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x7a7a79…
08-07 03:32:18	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6569dd…
08-06 19:36:38	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x3e72c6…
08-06 15:41:38	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x453804…
08-05 07:20:33	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x195334…
08-04 07:47:36	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe6c8f2…
07-30 13:33:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x289013…
07-28 10:30:23	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x36d3b8…
07-28 10:27:02	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9d0dc…
07-28 01:18:57	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc493d1…
07-27 18:08:04	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x612397…
07-26 06:40:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x71c13d…
07-25 09:52:33	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17d898…
07-25 09:10:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc0cfcd…
07-24 00:08:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5b50e8…
07-23 16:06:54	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe4540f…
07-23 04:36:31	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2efbbb…
07-22 22:48:27	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5431be…
07-22 16:29:18	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x567f14…
07-22 00:24:09	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x154a41…
07-21 09:30:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x639ae3…
07-12 13:22:32	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x426c91…
06-30 02:07:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7f4689…
06-29 13:11:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc1c7ed…
06-29 00:30:08	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x147371…
06-28 11:30:26	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4d08b7…
06-27 14:16:49	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x67119b…
06-06 06:30:55	Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf99cc6…
05-30 08:40:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc23d57…
05-26 13:16:16	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xef10e5…
05-14 03:24:57	Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x56efb0…
05-09 10:37:15	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2daf80…
05-08 07:05:04	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x398760…
05-07 21:46:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe8c42a…
05-07 15:18:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x880a44…
05-07 12:13:47	Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f69d0…
05-07 07:52:48	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xae03c6…
05-06 01:24:00	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb8d580…
05-05 20:46:28	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5b9086…
05-05 11:42:46	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d10d8…
05-05 05:29:22	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb4bf5…
05-05 03:08:38	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf4a436…
04-28 05:16:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x243ee8…
04-26 09:38:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x59c010…
04-25 10:37:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xee74cd…
04-24 03:33:12	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x29a8f3…
04-22 03:26:24	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x93f0b6…
04-21 18:45:48	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5893fa…
04-20 01:44:02	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd9f4b4…