Focused-Geography — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$35

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

747 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$790

$14.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$243

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 11-13 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

54% 46% -$463

Sports

33% 73% +$61

Politics

13% 31% -$700

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		-204	-$187	97¢	$-197	-$10	08-02 07:02
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 13?	Yes		+47	$31	100¢	$47	+$15	11-12 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$493	494	494	+0	Yes	-$336	02-28 06:37
hsi up or down on february 26 2026	1	$412	0	417	-417	Down	-$4	02-26 07:03
nba nop lac 2026 03 01	6	$391	230	230	+0	Clippers	+$39	03-02 04:08
nba uta mil 2026 03 07	3	$307	166	166	+0	Bucks	+$25	03-08 03:27
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$305	160	160	+0	No	+$13	02-28 02:38
hsi up or down on february 27 2026	6	$289	150	150	+0	Up	+$7	02-27 07:19
nba ind lac 2026 03 04	4	$281	152	152	+0	Clippers	+$21	03-05 05:24
nba mem min 2026 03 03	4	$246	141	141	+0	Timberwolves	+$36	03-04 03:16
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$243	300	300	+0	Yes	-$231	02-28 06:55
nba den uta 2026 03 02	5	$243	138	138	+0	Nuggets	+$18	03-03 04:44
nba sac lal 2026 03 01	3	$235	128	128	+0	Lakers	+$15	03-02 03:25
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 20?	6	$210	115	115	+0	Down	+$1	05-20 08:52
nba nop lal 2026 03 03	2	$205	115	115	+0	Lakers	+$25	03-04 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?	17	$201	164	164	+0	Yes	+$10	08-03 07:25
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$199	140	140	+0	Yes	+$14	03-30 03:04
nba nop uta 2026 02 28	3	$199	110	110	+0	Pelicans	+$16	03-01 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?	27	$195	249	249	+0	No	-$43	08-03 05:55
nba lal gsw 2026 02 28	2	$190	100	100	+0	Lakers	+$6	03-01 02:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$189	405	405	+0	No	-$132	03-28 10:18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$187	0	204	-204	open	—	08-02 07:02
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	2	$186	100	100	+0	Yes	+$6	03-01 06:26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	10	$184	140	140	+0	Yes	+$60	11-09 15:54
nba phx sac 2026 03 03	3	$181	102	102	+0	Suns	+$21	03-04 06:11
highest temperature in hong kong on march 29 2026 26c	7	$177	106	106	-0	No	-$7	03-29 08:39
spx up or down on march 2 2026	2	$176	100	100	+0	Up	-$2	03-02 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	8	$170	105	105	+0	Yes	+$33	08-10 07:27
nba cha bos 2026 03 04	4	$168	119	119	+0	Hornets	-$12	03-05 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?	10	$161	107	107	+0	Yes	+$7	08-02 09:10
highest temperature in hong kong on march 30 2026 27c	5	$160	100	100	+0	No	+$18	03-30 06:03
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 11?	7	$157	98	98	+0	Yes	+$38	11-11 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 04:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0xcdc745…
11-13 03:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x354ddc…
11-13 03:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x43e108…
11-13 03:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xb63056…
11-13 03:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x8b45c2…
11-13 03:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x76b880…
11-13 03:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x6774f7…
11-13 03:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x451043…
11-13 03:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	44	47¢	$21	0x0e6620…
11-13 03:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xcec386…
11-13 03:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x05596b…
11-13 03:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x190ad3…
11-13 03:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc7c7d8…
11-13 03:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0xbb30de…
11-12 16:00:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xbf60b7…
11-12 15:00:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x5f7025…
11-12 14:59:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x870614…
11-12 14:59:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3e6357…
11-12 12:12:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x3bb88f…
11-12 03:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	43	68¢	$29	0x449353…
11-12 02:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0x34aaa6…
11-11 17:28:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x6b8ca6…
11-11 17:08:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x6a77a5…
11-11 16:02:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xc0eb88…
11-11 14:49:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcb9fe2…
11-11 14:49:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe666f2…
11-11 14:28:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5aac97…
11-11 12:22:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x06706b…
11-11 12:22:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc13044…
11-11 12:21:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa7268f…
11-11 07:45:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xe026d9…
11-11 06:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x6c385c…
11-11 05:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xfad385…
11-10 15:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x6f2c94…
11-10 14:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x217c8b…
11-10 14:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd67b47…
11-10 13:30:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4dd48c…
11-10 08:57:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x828f26…
11-10 06:37:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x8278b3…
11-10 06:37:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x52e063…
11-10 05:09:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xaa8b3d…
11-10 04:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x76a4b9…
11-10 04:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5c0ce7…
11-10 04:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x275a6c…
11-10 01:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x46478f…
11-10 01:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x700f83…
11-10 01:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xd06028…
11-10 01:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb14fa3…
11-10 00:51:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x33dfb7…
11-10 00:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0x8aa370…
11-10 00:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x2163c7…
11-09 15:54:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x20b55c…
11-09 15:45:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x79f4e6…
11-09 15:41:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	120	92¢	$110	0xaa2844…
11-09 15:29:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	60	39¢	$23	0xf89606…
11-09 14:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xae5432…
11-09 13:20:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x494858…
11-09 12:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xcb2ca1…
11-09 12:40:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xafa4ca…
11-09 12:24:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x62b5cb…
11-09 11:19:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xe38148…
11-09 11:19:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xc13e06…
11-09 11:19:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x3f3092…
11-09 10:12:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1d670a…
11-09 10:12:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x8cd2ad…
11-09 09:35:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xae1157…
11-09 08:48:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x36b0d9…
11-09 07:26:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xfe6d84…
11-09 07:10:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x876eab…
11-09 04:24:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x44c9f7…
11-09 02:24:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xafd31b…
11-09 01:27:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1e8bfe…
11-08 16:06:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x7e946c…
11-08 14:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8bce94…
11-08 14:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x08a11e…
11-08 09:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x216456…
11-08 09:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0xf1cba5…
11-08 08:59:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xcf4ed8…
11-08 08:44:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x686b64…
11-03 14:30:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x9cf196…
11-03 11:34:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$7	0x288abc…
11-03 05:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x1292a4…
11-03 05:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x27247e…
11-03 03:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x2edfe0…
11-03 00:32:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xb754e8…
11-02 06:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xca6662…
11-02 06:21:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x29840e…
11-02 04:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x26d01f…
11-02 03:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x4ef12d…
11-02 02:52:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbc7731…
11-02 02:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6b7b58…
11-02 01:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x986da8…
11-02 01:55:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xc98a06…
11-02 01:54:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x83332c…
11-01 14:44:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb65c8d…
11-01 03:01:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x3b7b0a…
11-01 01:26:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7c09be…
10-31 04:39:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x90303e…
10-31 03:18:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x3e1544…
10-30 06:45:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x71d177…