Flippant-Mud-Lever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$146.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$559

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-21 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% — —

Other

29% 100% +$124

Crypto

23% 0% $-0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$22.5K	17,800	17,800	+0	open	—	06-01 12:33
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	3	$13.4K	7,415	7,415	+0	open	—	07-13 15:31
Epstein client list released by June 30?	3	$12.1K	6,120	6,120	+0	open	—	06-18 01:21
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	30	$11.0K	14,259	4,679	+9,580	open	—	06-14 19:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	78	$10.4K	8,793	2,500	+6,293	open	—	06-01 11:59
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	2	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	05-15 20:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	29	$9.2K	240,109	60,170	+179,939	open	—	06-04 18:06
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	5	$8.8K	5,000	5,000	-0	open	—	06-18 20:01
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	14	$7.8K	5,245	2,727	+2,518	Yes	+$124	05-13 11:05
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$6.5K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	06-07 20:48
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	4	$6.0K	3,013	3,013	+0	open	—	06-17 20:59
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	5	$5.0K	2,505	2,505	+0	open	—	05-19 17:37
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	7	$4.4K	9,207	9,207	+0	open	—	06-21 12:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$3.2K	14,000	14,000	+0	open	—	06-22 17:20
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	5	$2.5K	3,029	19	+3,010	open	—	05-14 18:11
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$2.2K	5,599	5,599	+0	open	—	07-07 11:11
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	7	$2.2K	27,853	3,312	+24,541	open	—	06-19 13:14
will trump praise allah again by june 30	1	$2.0K	2,101	0	+2,101	open	—	06-10 11:33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-15 07:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-14 12:18
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	3	$1.0K	3,075	3,075	+0	open	—	07-14 19:08
will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	9	$857	558	558	+0	open	—	06-14 11:36
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	2	$810	902	902	+0	open	—	06-08 17:37
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	8	$528	596	0	+596	open	—	07-06 12:00
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	2	$467	541	0	+541	open	—	06-08 15:50
gta vi released before november 2026	8	$279	1,426	1,426	+0	open	—	06-18 13:13
will tim cook say siri during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	1	$124	125	0	+125	open	—	06-08 17:03
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-13 08:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-21 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 11:24:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x40e6af…
07-21 11:24:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x67056b…
07-14 19:08:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	2,756	15¢	$415	0xb1ebd7…
07-14 19:08:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	319	15¢	$47	0x58c794…
07-14 18:50:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	3,075	18¢	$566	0x917a83…
07-13 15:31:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	7,415	100¢	$7,398	0xe0ae19…
07-13 14:17:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	3,688	81¢	$3,000	0xda25ce…
07-13 14:17:08	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	3,726	81¢	$3,000	0x60faad…
07-07 11:11:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xabead2…
07-06 21:23:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5,594	21¢	$1,175	0x13c5f2…
07-06 21:17:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,599	18¢	$1,012	0x8efa6a…
07-06 12:00:13	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x2a5ae5…
07-06 11:57:28	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x95261a…
07-06 11:57:28	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0x056322…
07-06 11:57:26	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xec7748…
07-06 11:57:26	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0xc73513…
07-06 11:57:26	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x336c15…
07-06 11:57:26	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x2dd544…
07-06 11:57:25	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	BUY	324	86¢	$278	0x031c0d…
06-22 17:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10,000	6¢	$600	0x9ac4cc…
06-22 11:06:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10,000	6¢	$600	0x9bb246…
06-21 12:31:05	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	861	4¢	$38	0x4420a4…
06-21 12:30:40	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x7a4b2c…
06-21 12:30:13	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	6,199	5¢	$301	0x2e5883…
06-21 12:25:41	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	7,160	5¢	$364	0xf2a247…
06-19 13:14:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,312	3¢	$103	0xc476ac…
06-19 12:50:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,533	3¢	$304	0x29be33…
06-19 12:22:32	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	2,047	92¢	$1,890	0x5d4adc…
06-18 20:01:28	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	4,597	99¢	$4,551	0xc05d44…
06-18 18:42:04	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0xfda509…
06-18 16:35:44	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	500	91¢	$453	0x152b20…
06-18 16:35:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	1,547	90¢	$1,399	0x737dd4…
06-18 16:11:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	203	87¢	$176	0x82fb46…
06-18 16:11:02	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0xdd1a7a…
06-18 16:06:38	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	4,000	81¢	$3,240	0x0887a0…
06-18 13:13:50	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	67	8¢	$5	0x91ef9d…
06-18 13:12:20	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	267	15¢	$40	0xbe3124…
06-18 13:11:34	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	336	13¢	$44	0x233b46…
06-18 13:05:04	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	BUY	1,426	7¢	$96	0x919334…
06-18 01:21:49	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	SELL	6,120	99¢	$6,052	0x455f0d…
06-17 20:59:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	1,495	100¢	$1,490	0x2d4fba…
06-17 20:21:44	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	571	100¢	$570	0x81310b…
06-17 20:19:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	948	100¢	$945	0x05a066…
06-17 19:08:40	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	3,013	100¢	$3,000	0x166629…
06-15 16:40:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4,000	24¢	$960	0x19923b…
06-15 16:10:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,000	26¢	$1,051	0x1a0262…
06-14 19:43:58	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	82	70¢	$57	0x79045e…
06-14 19:43:19	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	1,000	70¢	$700	0x2be14f…
06-14 19:43:16	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	52	70¢	$37	0xcbce56…
06-14 19:43:01	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	29	70¢	$21	0x677cf4…
06-14 19:42:31	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	150	69¢	$104	0xf2df51…
06-14 19:42:31	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	262	69¢	$181	0x086bdb…
06-14 19:42:27	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x7ae9b4…
06-14 19:41:52	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x70a2b1…
06-14 19:41:52	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x461720…
06-14 19:41:28	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	2,028	69¢	$1,409	0xd36fd1…
06-14 19:41:28	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xa10920…
06-14 19:40:37	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	79	70¢	$55	0x8edeeb…
06-14 19:40:27	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	819	70¢	$574	0xe4a3f8…
06-14 19:40:27	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xd88162…
06-14 19:40:27	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x7bf726…
06-14 19:21:18	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	5,000	67¢	$3,364	0xb80b4c…
06-14 18:19:18	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	336	45¢	$151	0x5c4f2a…
06-14 18:19:13	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	857	45¢	$386	0x3be73e…
06-14 18:18:10	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	2,823	49¢	$1,396	0xa3a726…
06-14 18:18:00	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x2d2dd3…
06-14 18:18:00	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1c5600…
06-14 18:18:00	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	2,817	46¢	$1,296	0x1c4999…
06-14 18:17:58	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x971924…
06-14 18:17:58	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	310	50¢	$156	0x969e8c…
06-14 18:17:58	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x78d5f0…
06-14 18:17:58	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x48b69e…
06-14 18:17:55	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaf1e8d…
06-14 18:17:54	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	537	50¢	$268	0xeef47b…
06-14 18:17:54	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	1,020	49¢	$500	0x6d0bdc…
06-14 18:17:54	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	514	44¢	$227	0x42f744…
06-14 12:18:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0x31df2a…
06-14 12:14:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0xb9a565…
06-14 11:36:52	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xa19866…
06-14 10:13:27	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	112	43¢	$48	0x55bccc…
06-10 11:33:25	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,101	95¢	$2,000	0x97f5cd…
06-08 17:51:28	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xb36d1b…
06-08 17:51:13	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x27d961…
06-08 17:37:03	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	902	78¢	$704	0xe8ded3…
06-08 17:03:07	will tim cook say siri during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xcb33fc…
06-08 16:06:30	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	902	12¢	$106	0x43d725…
06-08 15:50:43	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	BUY	204	82¢	$167	0xa10be2…
06-07 20:48:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	4,500	80¢	$3,615	0x1c7749…
06-07 20:01:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	4,000	65¢	$2,593	0x4d03e6…
06-07 20:00:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	256	62¢	$159	0x42fda8…
06-07 20:00:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	244	62¢	$150	0x04754a…
06-07 17:57:16	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0xe639ea…
06-07 15:23:40	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	32	81¢	$26	0xd55098…
06-07 14:26:18	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	52	81¢	$42	0x071ee0…
06-07 14:24:18	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	314	81¢	$254	0xc90f55…
06-07 13:30:06	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	BUY	558	81¢	$451	0xcbe952…
06-04 18:06:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$14	0xe7c977…
06-04 18:05:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35,888	1¢	$454	0x5ddea9…
06-04 18:05:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7,206	1¢	$107	0x4ec58b…
06-04 11:53:03	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xdb1c11…