Flippant-Mud-Lever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

-$6.27K

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$85.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$482

Open exposure

$9.15K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-08 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$124

Crypto

39% 0% $-0

Politics

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	+6,120	$6,000	98¢	$6.0K	$-30	06-03 06:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	+179,939	$7,189	1¢	$1.7K	$-5,479	06-04 18:06
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+18,319	$1,768	6¢	$1.0K	$-760	06-04 11:53
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	+541	$467	86¢	$465	$-2	06-08 15:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$22.5K	17,800	17,800	+0	open	—	06-01 12:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	78	$10.4K	8,793	2,500	+6,293	open	—	06-01 11:59
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	2	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	05-15 20:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	29	$9.2K	240,109	60,170	+179,939	open	—	06-04 18:06
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	14	$7.8K	5,245	2,727	+2,518	Yes	+$124	05-13 11:05
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$6.5K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	06-07 20:48
Epstein client list released by June 30?	2	$6.0K	6,120	0	+6,120	open	—	06-03 06:03
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	5	$5.0K	2,505	2,505	+0	open	—	05-19 17:37
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	5	$2.5K	3,029	19	+3,010	open	—	05-14 18:11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-15 07:07
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.8K	18,319	0	+18,319	open	—	06-04 11:53
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	2	$810	902	902	+0	open	—	06-08 17:37
will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	7	$806	558	437	+121	open	—	06-08 17:51
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	2	$467	541	0	+541	open	—	06-08 15:50
will tim cook say siri during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	1	$124	125	0	+125	open	—	06-08 17:03
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-13 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 19:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-11 19:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-11 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:51:28	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xb36d1b…
06-08 17:51:13	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x27d961…
06-08 17:37:03	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	902	78¢	$704	0xe8ded3…
06-08 17:03:07	will tim cook say siri during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xcb33fc…
06-08 16:06:30	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	902	12¢	$106	0x43d725…
06-08 15:50:43	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	BUY	204	82¢	$167	0xa10be2…
06-07 20:48:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	4,500	80¢	$3,615	0x1c7749…
06-07 20:01:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	4,000	65¢	$2,593	0x4d03e6…
06-07 20:00:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	256	62¢	$159	0x42fda8…
06-07 20:00:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	244	62¢	$150	0x04754a…
06-07 17:57:16	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0xe639ea…
06-07 15:23:40	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	32	81¢	$26	0xd55098…
06-07 14:26:18	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	52	81¢	$42	0x071ee0…
06-07 14:24:18	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	SELL	314	81¢	$254	0xc90f55…
06-07 13:30:06	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	No	BUY	558	81¢	$451	0xcbe952…
06-04 18:06:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$14	0xe7c977…
06-04 18:05:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35,888	1¢	$454	0x5ddea9…
06-04 18:05:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7,206	1¢	$107	0x4ec58b…
06-04 11:53:03	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xdb1c11…
06-04 11:52:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x615bf9…
06-04 11:52:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x54bb14…
06-04 11:52:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x357273…
06-04 11:52:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18,202	10¢	$1,756	0x0e07e0…
06-03 16:37:51	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xd53a15…
06-03 13:24:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	2¢	$183	0xabf8f1…
06-03 06:32:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x2b562d…
06-03 06:32:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	65	3¢	$2	0x4abddc…
06-03 06:32:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x89a160…
06-03 06:32:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x4dd96d…
06-03 06:32:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x2ef34a…
06-03 06:32:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6,598	3¢	$172	0x2592e6…
06-03 06:03:22	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	3,039	99¢	$3,000	0x8e2d4f…
06-03 06:03:21	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	3,081	97¢	$3,000	0x7f47df…
06-03 05:54:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	683	3¢	$18	0x53519d…
06-03 05:54:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	678	3¢	$18	0x4930f5…
06-03 05:54:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	678	3¢	$18	0x113ba7…
06-03 05:54:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x98ecec…
06-03 05:53:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	192	3¢	$5	0x3d4075…
06-03 05:53:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	678	3¢	$18	0x5d4f0b…
06-03 05:53:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	678	3¢	$18	0xa0d45c…
06-03 05:53:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$13	0x48fb63…
06-03 05:52:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,500	3¢	$65	0xf9c6c0…
06-03 05:52:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	350	3¢	$9	0x175450…
06-03 05:52:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	678	3¢	$18	0x058185…
06-03 05:52:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	560	3¢	$15	0x6f5fc5…
06-03 05:52:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	678	3¢	$18	0x6a8534…
06-03 05:49:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	338	3¢	$10	0x27c486…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36,659	6¢	$2,057	0xa74350…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	90,585	3¢	$2,781	0x8187dd…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30,548	2¢	$493	0x78f0b9…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6,803	20¢	$1,353	0x7204dd…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	65,514	2¢	$1,315	0x6accc8…
06-01 12:33:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x35a6b4…
06-01 12:33:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	80¢	$112	0x0c6982…
06-01 12:33:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	80¢	$200	0xc8e840…
06-01 12:33:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,250	80¢	$5,000	0x7f7af0…
06-01 12:33:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x1ebe1e…
06-01 12:33:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,833	80¢	$8,672	0xd0a650…
06-01 12:33:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	270	80¢	$216	0x71f9e9…
06-01 12:02:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,800	50¢	$3,900	0xe0d114…
06-01 12:01:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	44¢	$4,381	0xd2b04f…
06-01 11:59:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	491	96¢	$469	0xa3c98f…
06-01 11:59:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	96¢	$119	0x768fd5…
06-01 11:59:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$28	0x6bbdb3…
06-01 11:59:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9c8683…
06-01 11:59:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	96¢	$70	0x7be8be…
06-01 11:59:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x38e229…
06-01 11:59:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xcc66db…
06-01 11:59:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xbac97c…
06-01 11:59:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xb09584…
06-01 11:59:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x879108…
06-01 11:59:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x69acf0…
06-01 11:59:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x1cc24e…
06-01 11:59:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x17edde…
06-01 11:59:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xddf91c…
06-01 11:59:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,171	95¢	$4,937	0x41cb8b…
06-01 11:59:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x38fc6f…
06-01 11:59:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0x2c9568…
06-01 11:59:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x24ad03…
06-01 11:58:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	437	90¢	$394	0x94224b…
06-01 11:58:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,063	90¢	$1,856	0x4817d9…
06-01 11:58:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x64d774…
06-01 11:58:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x225517…
06-01 11:58:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x3c8168…
06-01 11:58:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x504246…
06-01 11:58:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xc27970…
06-01 11:58:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x8ab442…
06-01 11:58:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x804e5d…
06-01 11:58:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xd190aa…
06-01 11:58:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x727adb…
06-01 11:58:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7092e3…
06-01 11:58:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x5ddb01…
06-01 11:58:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x551310…
06-01 11:58:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x072403…
06-01 11:58:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xc00356…
06-01 11:58:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x85a5c3…
06-01 11:58:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x727a3d…
06-01 11:58:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x5cc40e…
06-01 11:58:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x308b1b…
06-01 11:58:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x26f9fa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	14	$6.76M	7,672	06-09 13:45
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	14	$188.9K	2,715	06-09 20:06
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	14	$43.1K	676	06-09 18:50
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	14	$4.42K	248	06-09 18:50
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	13	$57.2K	5,741	06-09 20:06
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	13	$15.0K	2,772	06-09 22:09
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	13	$7.20K	699	06-08 23:50
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	12	$994.4K	1,604	06-09 02:04