Forked-Wrench — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

172

Trades

972

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$23

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-11 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

86% 54% -$1,405

Politics

7% 80% +$183

Sports

7% 60% +$11

Crypto

0% 0% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta join the US?	No		-23	-$22	99¢	$-23	-$1	05-11 15:26
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No		-45	-$28	0¢	$-0	+$28	05-11 15:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 bih	25	$2.3K	1,355	1,239	+116	No	+$0	03-31 17:19
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	21	$2.1K	2,035	1,126	+908	No	+$73	04-21 14:33
lol sk th 2026 03 29 game2	43	$1.9K	951	951	+0	Team Heretics	+$43	03-29 16:59
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	19	$1.6K	854	853	+1	Yes	+$87	04-21 03:35
lol kc vit 2026 03 28	19	$1.4K	722	722	+0	Karmine Corp	+$22	03-28 18:41
cs2 navi prv 2026 03 28 game2	15	$1.3K	663	663	+0	PARIVISION	+$55	03-28 19:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	99	$1.2K	3,040	0	+3,040	No	-$1,214	05-21 12:14
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	23	$1.2K	861	926	-65	Yes	-$79	04-22 07:07
lol kc vit 2026 03 28 game2	12	$1.1K	555	555	+0	Karmine Corp	+$50	03-28 18:27
lol kc vit 2026 03 28 game1	14	$989	512	512	+0	Team Vitality	+$33	03-28 17:00
cs2 vit aur1 2026 03 28 game2	12	$911	463	463	+0	Vitality	+$14	03-28 16:00
lol gx fnc 2026 03 28 game2	9	$730	388	388	+0	Fnatic	+$46	03-28 15:15
lol navi sk 2026 03 30	19	$592	894	0	+894	Natus Vincere	+$301	03-30 17:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	17	$577	1,002	1,002	+0	Yes	-$47	03-30 17:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	42	$505	259	258	+0	No	+$3	04-21 07:01
lol mkoi fnc 2026 03 29 game1	8	$486	245	245	+0	Movistar KOI	+$3	03-29 18:43
lol navi sk 2026 03 30 game1	7	$481	247	247	+0	SK Gaming	+$12	03-30 15:50
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	16	$457	1,131	36	+1,095	No	-$424	04-22 06:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$401	219	219	+0	No	+$1	04-21 07:03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	2	$399	666	0	+666	No	+$266	04-29 10:50
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$396	209	209	+0	No	-$4	04-06 08:46
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$363	195	180	+15	No	$0	04-17 13:33
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	9	$360	426	419	+7	Lakers	-$40	04-01 03:47
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	13	$359	1,711	0	+1,711	Yes	-$50	04-21 14:33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	2	$316	471	0	+471	No	-$316	05-04 18:08
nba chi sas 2026 03 30	4	$316	332	0	+332	Spurs	+$17	03-30 23:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$303	178	178	+0	No	+$3	04-05 23:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$301	151	151	+0	Yes	+$1	04-08 15:21
nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	2	$300	306	0	+306	Canadiens	+$6	04-20 01:00
nba den uta 2026 04 01	4	$256	265	0	+265	Nuggets	+$9	04-02 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 08:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x3e69c6…
07-10 20:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x106378…
07-10 20:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x1bfba0…
07-09 19:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd912fd…
06-28 05:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd602b8…
06-25 09:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0x6f06bd…
06-25 01:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xec5b43…
06-25 01:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x780bd0…
06-25 01:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x5a9336…
06-25 00:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x5d7a67…
06-25 00:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x74c4bd…
06-25 00:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x4e7a43…
06-25 00:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xbadcef…
06-25 00:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xee42fb…
06-25 00:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xb8534e…
06-24 23:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf2c313…
06-24 23:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x011946…
06-21 08:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x244275…
06-21 02:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x3d762f…
06-20 22:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xfa62a0…
06-20 05:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x51cff6…
06-20 05:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x2c1367…
06-20 05:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa28aa0…
06-20 05:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x054db8…
06-20 04:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x641253…
06-20 04:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x48928a…
06-19 23:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x438235…
06-19 22:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xc169eb…
06-19 22:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x8c3cfb…
05-21 12:14:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc990ff…
05-21 12:04:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1a3a83…
05-21 12:02:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x4c2810…
05-21 12:02:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xb0faed…
05-21 11:52:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x3048de…
05-21 11:45:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x1ed4ff…
05-21 11:44:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0d1e36…
05-21 11:44:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4e7f71…
05-21 11:43:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xbd1d59…
05-21 11:32:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb97ea0…
05-21 11:18:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xef1ad6…
05-21 11:18:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x677277…
05-21 11:08:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x001b2e…
05-21 11:08:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xedbd3f…
05-21 11:03:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x92da4f…
05-21 11:01:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x957127…
05-21 10:58:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x196582…
05-21 10:58:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc1d194…
05-21 10:58:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xaa0049…
05-21 10:58:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x1c5b1e…
05-21 10:58:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc93bd7…
05-21 10:56:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	87	33¢	$29	0xcd33f3…
05-21 10:51:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd5fae4…
05-21 10:48:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7a5519…
05-21 10:48:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x039142…
05-21 10:48:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x110808…
05-21 10:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5c56d8…
05-21 10:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2bfc7b…
05-21 06:35:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x9ddb0c…
05-21 06:25:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x54ae9d…
05-21 06:23:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x63f432…
05-21 06:23:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf48274…
05-21 06:17:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x85b1ca…
05-21 06:17:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	139	33¢	$46	0x6a0499…
05-21 06:12:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x02afc5…
05-21 06:07:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa2ef4c…
05-21 06:01:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8b3cb4…
05-21 06:01:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x05fb4a…
05-21 05:57:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xa39cbe…
05-21 05:55:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfb158b…
05-21 05:49:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x06b57e…
05-21 05:41:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xe70b46…
05-21 05:35:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe5241f…
05-21 05:32:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x87fb9e…
05-21 05:26:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa5b725…
05-21 05:19:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x5ad9fc…
05-21 01:36:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	23¢	$11	0x6b05b7…
05-21 01:35:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	63	80¢	$51	0xfb240b…
05-17 04:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x0ac251…
05-16 15:48:31	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x76d76a…
05-16 15:38:05	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x5abd56…
05-13 16:38:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xcaa58f…
05-12 18:24:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xa768ef…
05-12 16:02:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0xb76214…
05-12 05:41:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x833a5d…
05-11 19:36:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x442e58…
05-11 18:44:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2dcd19…
05-11 18:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x828d83…
05-11 18:30:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xda18f6…
05-11 18:30:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbe653a…
05-11 18:24:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa31350…
05-11 18:18:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcc6680…
05-11 18:17:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x9022d0…
05-11 17:48:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf00e5c…
05-11 17:36:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xe8c7ca…
05-11 17:18:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8938ba…
05-11 17:17:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x3c433f…
05-11 17:12:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xb1de70…
05-11 16:48:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdeaeee…
05-11 16:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x50cec8…
05-11 16:36:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xcf8f06…