Forked-Wrench — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

805

lifetime

Volume

$30.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-13 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

87% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-0

Politics

6% 100% +$165

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 bih	25	$2.3K	1,355	1,239	+116	open	—	03-31 17:19
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	21	$2.1K	2,035	1,126	+908	open	—	04-21 14:33
lol sk th 2026 03 29 game2	43	$1.9K	951	951	+0	open	—	03-29 16:59
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	19	$1.6K	854	853	+1	open	—	04-21 03:35
lol kc vit 2026 03 28	19	$1.4K	722	722	+0	open	—	03-28 18:41
cs2 navi prv 2026 03 28 game2	15	$1.3K	663	663	+0	open	—	03-28 19:12
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	23	$1.2K	861	926	-65	open	—	04-22 07:07
lol kc vit 2026 03 28 game2	12	$1.1K	555	555	+0	open	—	03-28 18:27
lol kc vit 2026 03 28 game1	14	$989	512	512	+0	open	—	03-28 17:00
cs2 vit aur1 2026 03 28 game2	12	$911	463	463	+0	open	—	03-28 16:00
lol gx fnc 2026 03 28 game2	9	$730	388	388	+0	open	—	03-28 15:15
lol navi sk 2026 03 30	19	$592	894	0	+894	open	—	03-30 17:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	17	$577	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	03-30 17:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	42	$505	259	258	+0	open	—	04-21 07:01
lol mkoi fnc 2026 03 29 game1	8	$486	245	245	+0	open	—	03-29 18:43
lol navi sk 2026 03 30 game1	7	$481	247	247	+0	open	—	03-30 15:50
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	16	$457	1,131	36	+1,095	open	—	04-22 06:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$401	219	219	+0	open	—	04-21 07:03
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$396	209	209	+0	open	—	04-06 08:46
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$363	195	180	+15	open	—	04-17 13:33
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	9	$360	426	419	+7	open	—	04-01 03:47
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	13	$359	1,711	0	+1,711	open	—	04-21 14:33
nba chi sas 2026 03 30	4	$316	332	0	+332	open	—	03-30 23:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$303	178	178	+0	open	—	04-05 23:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$301	151	151	+0	open	—	04-08 15:21
nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	2	$300	306	0	+306	open	—	04-20 01:00
nba den uta 2026 04 01	4	$256	265	0	+265	open	—	04-02 01:43
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$245	126	126	+0	open	—	04-21 07:35
lol navi sk 2026 03 30 game2	3	$228	128	128	+0	open	—	03-30 17:09
nba nyk okc 2026 03 29	6	$224	123	123	+0	open	—	03-30 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 16:38:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xcaa58f…
05-12 05:41:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x833a5d…
05-11 15:27:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xde86a6…
05-11 15:27:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x4a1377…
05-11 15:26:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xc77ea2…
05-11 15:25:31	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x30fe40…
05-11 03:16:16	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x718f87…
05-11 01:12:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x20f935…
05-11 01:11:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf48411…
05-10 16:54:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0x88d53f…
05-10 16:53:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x2f4a1b…
05-10 16:51:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7ef24d…
05-10 14:35:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xdb4b6b…
05-10 07:11:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xc01f98…
05-09 22:18:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	401	25¢	$100	0x5c6486…
05-08 21:07:16	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x10d895…
05-08 18:26:13	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa4ac23…
05-08 18:25:59	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x5957c0…
05-08 18:19:09	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x30a857…
05-08 18:03:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	21¢	$38	0xb65b3f…
05-08 18:02:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x4f509a…
05-06 20:54:53	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb97e7c…
05-06 20:51:44	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe497b7…
05-06 07:23:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xd5eb1b…
05-04 13:58:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4d85db…
04-30 09:18:42	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xbf495a…
04-28 19:38:56	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x2ae569…
04-28 18:40:36	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xf6011a…
04-27 00:45:04	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x162191…
04-26 04:33:50	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x644247…
04-25 16:09:32	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x6de191…
04-25 15:54:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb625f3…
04-25 15:53:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x3b8363…
04-25 13:11:08	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x640b50…
04-24 20:42:54	sea nap cre 2026 04 24 nap	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x356fbd…
04-24 17:56:50	sea nap cre 2026 04 24 nap	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x46184e…
04-23 17:36:14	meta close above 660 on april 23 2026	No	SELL	263	47¢	$124	0x114519…
04-23 17:35:30	meta close above 660 on april 23 2026	No	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xd2e5c2…
04-23 13:17:52	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xbaeee8…
04-22 14:51:34	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xef0890…
04-22 07:38:42	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	SELL	472	22¢	$105	0x3e9d67…
04-22 07:07:30	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	SELL	806	62¢	$503	0x731340…
04-22 07:00:58	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	250	17¢	$42	0x2684ee…
04-22 06:57:28	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3cd2bc…
04-22 06:57:26	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbcc49a…
04-22 06:57:06	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	73	78¢	$57	0x723bb3…
04-22 06:55:46	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	234	84¢	$196	0xe7ef47…
04-22 06:55:40	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xd59cbf…
04-22 06:55:36	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0x52f69e…
04-22 06:47:22	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	111	25¢	$28	0xebb9ff…
04-22 06:47:20	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$13	0x7899c5…
04-22 06:47:20	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x51936e…
04-22 06:38:40	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x3abe2c…
04-22 06:37:54	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xdd4fd3…
04-22 06:31:04	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0xe118a8…
04-22 06:31:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	245	46¢	$112	0xe44b66…
04-22 06:31:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	58	41¢	$24	0xd15d61…
04-22 06:31:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0xa867fc…
04-22 06:31:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	192	41¢	$79	0xa3e265…
04-22 06:31:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	89	41¢	$36	0x8a5c09…
04-22 06:31:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	38	46¢	$18	0x6294ae…
04-22 06:31:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x36b476…
04-22 06:14:52	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	SELL	36	46¢	$17	0x85506c…
04-22 06:11:52	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x34d303…
04-22 06:10:38	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x90abeb…
04-22 06:07:54	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb9c367…
04-22 05:51:42	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x88f892…
04-22 05:51:32	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xcdbad9…
04-22 05:19:52	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x1ea327…
04-22 05:17:12	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	85	64¢	$54	0x2b5319…
04-22 04:58:18	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xec5d64…
04-22 04:55:58	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0x2b6591…
04-22 04:45:12	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xf0508b…
04-22 04:42:38	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	137	70¢	$96	0x062921…
04-22 04:27:30	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb9e5a5…
04-22 04:25:54	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xce88a8…
04-22 04:09:20	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	SELL	120	70¢	$84	0x072f74…
04-22 04:04:14	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x253f72…
04-22 04:04:04	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xadcd71…
04-22 00:45:46	nhl bos buf 2026 04 21	Sabres	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xddc6dd…
04-21 15:47:58	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x79d60a…
04-21 15:24:26	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe4ef4b…
04-21 14:33:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	SELL	1,126	99¢	$1,114	0xda1f3e…
04-21 14:33:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	227	1¢	$3	0xc03d19…
04-21 14:33:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	No	BUY	131	10¢	$13	0xf7b101…
04-21 14:33:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	No	BUY	503	10¢	$50	0xf33d32…
04-21 14:33:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	772	1¢	$11	0x9af10f…
04-21 14:33:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	No	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x626a86…
04-21 14:33:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	No	BUY	305	10¢	$30	0x4b50c8…
04-21 14:33:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	No	BUY	442	10¢	$44	0x217078…
04-21 07:44:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	BUY	82	69¢	$57	0x3d5a1c…
04-21 07:44:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x08d07a…
04-21 07:36:22	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	SELL	70	19¢	$13	0xaf0c2f…
04-21 07:36:10	Will Rayan Cherki be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd212ed…
04-21 07:35:44	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	SELL	37	83¢	$30	0x15b185…
04-21 07:35:38	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	No	SELL	102	38¢	$39	0x834df6…
04-21 07:35:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x53314b…
04-21 07:35:22	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0x6d4f8a…
04-21 07:31:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x01ef05…
04-21 07:30:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	84	10¢	$8	0xcae29f…