Nocturnal-Acid — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$4.41K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.85K

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

233

644 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$20.8K

$243.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$378

Open exposure

$9.86K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-19 04:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Sports

58% 32% +$8,415

Other

42% 53% +$6,346

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+10,000	$1,400	12¢	$1.2K	-$150	08-28 16:50
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+10,000	$278	12¢	$1.2K	+$967	07-13 17:30
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+8,000	$1,040	15¢	$1.2K	+$120	08-28 16:56
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+10,025	$378	10¢	$1.0K	+$655	07-19 01:57
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+10,000	$750	10¢	$1.0K	+$275	07-13 16:49
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+10,000	$500	9¢	$945	+$445	07-14 02:56
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+10,000	$804	8¢	$750	-$54	07-13 17:09
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+10,000	$359	6¢	$645	+$286	07-13 16:21
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+10,002	$340	5¢	$465	+$125	07-14 21:50
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+10,000	$302	5¢	$455	+$153	07-13 16:21
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+10,000	$800	3¢	$345	-$455	07-24 15:01
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+10,000	$390	3¢	$255	-$135	07-13 16:22
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+10,000	$214	2¢	$215	+$1	07-13 16:51
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+4,200	$90	1¢	$61	-$30	09-21 00:11
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+10,001	$364	0¢	$10	-$354	09-08 17:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	6	$21.6K	16,686	16,686	+0	No	+$881	07-01 22:32
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$20.6K	100,810	100,810	+0	No	+$1,923	07-12 16:26
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$17.1K	10,510	10,510	+0	England	+$3,499	07-01 17:50
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	4	$15.9K	10,158	10,158	+0	No	-$197	07-01 14:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	64	$14.1K	23,917	23,917	+0	No	+$2,759	07-12 05:58
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	4	$13.4K	8,501	8,501	+0	Mexico	+$2,720	07-01 02:33
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	8	$10.8K	8,324	8,324	-0	England	+$276	07-11 23:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$10.2K	40,050	40,050	+0	Yes	+$1,939	07-12 04:17
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$9.3K	7,891	7,891	+0	Yes	-$2,841	07-01 16:56
mlb oak cws 2026 07 10	6	$7.0K	4,399	4,399	+0	Chicago White Sox	+$1,416	07-11 00:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$6.0K	16,686	16,686	+0	No	-$181	07-07 21:44
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	31	$5.6K	46,548	33,548	+13,000	No	-$1,633	07-06 20:08
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	4	$5.5K	4,055	4,055	+0	England	+$1,204	07-06 01:40
mlb mil pit 2026 07 10	2	$5.0K	4,655	4,655	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	-$47	07-10 23:11
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$3.8K	6,327	6,327	+0	Yes	+$1,858	05-06 16:53
mlb mil mia 2026 04 17 total 8pt5	2	$3.7K	2,540	2,500	+40	Over	+$1,344	04-18 02:39
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$3.4K	12,156	1,055	+11,101	No	-$2,596	05-17 17:14
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	5	$2.9K	4,001	4,001	+0	Yes	+$1,655	10-15 14:55
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	7	$2.7K	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$1,559	09-13 21:42
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$2.4K	4,762	4,762	+0	No	+$421	05-06 16:55
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$2.2K	20,000	10,000	+10,000	open	—	07-24 15:01
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins	3	$2.2K	1,847	1,812	+34	Cincinnati Reds	+$805	04-18 21:02
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	4	$2.2K	5,001	5,001	+0	open	—	10-19 04:22
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	3	$2.0K	1,250	1,250	+0	Spain	+$438	07-06 20:56
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	20	$1.9K	8,112	111	+8,001	Yes	+$6,184	05-16 18:09
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	4	$1.9K	1,303	1,303	+0	Spurs	+$678	06-09 03:23
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 1pt5	2	$1.8K	1,208	1,208	+0	Over	+$615	06-29 19:14
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	8	$1.8K	5,321	5,321	+0	No	+$857	10-19 01:26
nba cha lal 2026 01 15	1	$1.8K	2,869	0	+2,869	Hornets	-$1,750	01-16 03:30
nba den nop 2026 01 13	2	$1.7K	1,688	1,688	+0	Nuggets	+$138	01-14 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 04:22:42	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	4,701	14¢	$659	0x32e883…
10-19 01:26:50	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	4,001	30¢	$1,201	0xcf689b…
10-15 14:55:32	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	4,001	56¢	$2,261	0x914310…
10-15 14:49:52	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	5,001	2¢	$93	0x21035a…
10-15 14:48:59	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	1,700	6¢	$102	0xec05a5…
10-13 15:01:43	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,700	22¢	$374	0xb178b9…
10-11 05:05:09	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xe11fa8…
10-11 03:46:12	Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	316	2¢	$7	0x94a11d…
10-11 03:46:12	Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,159	2¢	$26	0x0fda46…
10-11 03:07:51	Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,126	2¢	$28	0x445641…
10-07 00:28:53	Will USC Trojans win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	5,700	1¢	$36	0xefa06b…
10-05 03:35:31	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0x59cf20…
10-05 03:34:37	Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	464	6¢	$28	0xfcbe01…
10-05 03:31:59	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xc5c3a4…
10-05 02:57:28	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	41	50¢	$21	0x456cb2…
10-05 02:20:49	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xbd69be…
10-05 01:15:52	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x4f68ea…
10-05 01:15:35	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xb92e56…
10-05 01:15:29	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0xed94d3…
10-05 00:26:56	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	75	50¢	$38	0x0027e9…
10-04 22:54:55	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x0ca611…
10-04 22:38:02	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2fd1eb…
10-04 21:49:16	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x88e4c1…
10-04 21:48:38	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xb3a0fd…
10-04 21:16:35	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x676c12…
10-04 21:13:04	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8d55df…
10-04 21:02:40	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8d1200…
10-04 20:57:26	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xebe644…
10-04 20:55:40	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	81	50¢	$40	0xcbb960…
10-04 20:43:02	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0x86fc47…
10-04 20:42:53	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0xfe186f…
10-04 20:38:17	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x0675a6…
10-04 20:33:29	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x692afa…
10-04 20:28:59	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	92	50¢	$46	0x6a701c…
10-04 20:26:38	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf2e7e3…
10-04 20:24:56	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xa32a84…
10-04 19:13:44	Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	4,549	8¢	$358	0x8399b8…
10-03 19:49:58	Will USC Trojans win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$6	0x2bc14f…
09-28 07:57:51	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,300	11¢	$142	0x5c3129…
09-28 07:57:09	Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	2,399	5¢	$113	0xbee4b6…
09-28 07:54:27	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	228	16¢	$36	0x203f85…
09-28 07:52:45	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,300	6¢	$75	0xe44e4f…
09-28 07:52:18	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,300	5¢	$63	0xbead1f…
09-28 07:51:42	Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,300	6¢	$84	0xae4ecb…
09-28 07:51:00	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,300	16¢	$212	0x9d168c…
09-27 20:46:38	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	2,288	19¢	$439	0x09ba93…
09-27 03:54:51	Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	5,003	0¢	$25	0x012ec3…
09-21 00:11:29	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	350	2¢	$8	0x644d4b…
09-21 00:10:37	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x61cb70…
09-21 00:09:59	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,937	2¢	$43	0xab893d…
09-21 00:08:52	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	250	18¢	$45	0xbe7bfe…
09-21 00:04:37	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,913	2¢	$40	0x2af572…
09-20 00:30:42	Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$0	0xe66154…
09-20 00:30:27	Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x3b6b62…
09-20 00:28:36	Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	5,525	1¢	$39	0xbbb7cd…
09-20 00:27:10	Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	475	1¢	$4	0x9f15e0…
09-14 22:57:12	Will USC Trojans win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	900	3¢	$24	0x70648c…
09-14 22:54:07	Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	179	1¢	$3	0x8c1106…
09-14 18:32:28	Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0x9af756…
09-14 18:26:16	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x6e6696…
09-14 18:25:39	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xf9df93…
09-14 18:24:24	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	10,000	3¢	$320	0xcf1e07…
09-14 13:07:36	Will USC Trojans win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x75de6c…
09-14 13:07:34	Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xf9698b…
09-14 13:07:34	Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xa2e02d…
09-14 13:07:34	Will USC Trojans win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x652179…
09-14 13:07:34	Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0x54aaa9…
09-13 22:03:45	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	700	6¢	$44	0x96a0f7…
09-13 21:51:39	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	Ben Shelton	BUY	198	1¢	$2	0x7f43a6…
09-13 21:51:37	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	Ben Shelton	BUY	702	1¢	$6	0x356826…
09-13 21:51:36	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	Ben Shelton	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6020ed…
09-13 21:49:12	Will USC Trojans win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x680da4…
09-13 21:48:25	Will USC Trojans win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x7c0c19…
09-13 21:45:04	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,516	10¢	$254	0x456ffd…
09-13 21:44:13	Will USC Trojans win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	3,768	2¢	$90	0x6faa74…
09-13 21:43:39	Will Texas A&M Aggies win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	5,001	2¢	$78	0xf8d6b0…
09-13 21:42:10	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	1,988	92¢	$1,829	0x5210e8…
09-13 21:42:07	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x99be7c…
09-13 21:41:27	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	72	92¢	$66	0x7fed66…
09-13 20:28:06	Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$7	0x8d726b…
09-13 20:26:54	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$8	0x222701…
09-13 20:21:31	Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	4,850	2¢	$92	0x788cbc…
09-13 20:20:55	Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,350	1¢	$28	0xdb49a1…
09-13 20:15:21	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	67	92¢	$62	0xc6a1a5…
09-13 20:15:21	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	73	92¢	$67	0x7acfb6…
09-13 19:41:12	Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,663	1¢	$32	0x1676a5…
09-13 19:39:15	Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,650	0¢	$8	0xa3589b…
09-13 19:37:52	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	700	6¢	$43	0xecf876…
09-13 18:17:15	Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x632159…
09-13 18:12:57	Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0x34519c…
09-13 18:10:45	Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,898	0¢	$12	0x29d870…
09-13 18:06:19	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$6	0x179ffd…
09-13 18:04:04	Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	320	7¢	$21	0x1e133c…
09-13 17:39:27	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0xa3b909…
09-13 17:36:40	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	306	6¢	$19	0xd825b6…
09-13 17:28:12	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	300	9¢	$28	0x6bd26b…
09-13 17:08:31	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	196	6¢	$12	0x089dea…
09-13 17:00:42	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	28	42¢	$12	0x0b07b5…
09-13 07:35:00	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x895ab8…
09-13 07:33:36	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x80f9b5…