Realized P&L
+$174
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
47.0%
Resolved
2,535
Trades
9,416
lifetime
Volume
$15.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$29
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 09-06 17:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
88% 51% +$171
Politics
11% 47% -$10
Crypto
0% 60% +$7
Sports
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -16 -$14 85¢ $-14 $0 09-03 09:50
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 No +3 $1 92¢ $3 +$2 07-31 20:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -3 -$1 94¢ $-2 -$1 05-13 16:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 05-12 05:27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +2 $1 78¢ $2 +$1 07-20 08:35
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$0 07-20 22:30
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$0 08-03 05:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2 $1 86¢ $2 +$0 06-17 02:19
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 Yes +5 $2 13¢ $1 -$1 08-02 05:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 6¢ $0 -$1 06-12 18:15