Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

34.8%

Resolved

190

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$918

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

16 positions

First seen

2026-09-10

last 11-02 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 40% -$71

Sports

25% 23% -$12

Other

12% 32% -$21

Politics

8% 20% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+30	$7	22¢	$7	-$1	10-30 07:55
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	10-26 10:06
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+40	$7	12¢	$5	-$2	10-08 03:47
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	+176	$6	3¢	$5	-$1	10-22 07:30
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+4	$2	70¢	$3	+$1	09-20 08:06
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+17	$2	12¢	$2	+$0	09-21 11:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+57	$2	3¢	$2	$0	09-21 09:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+7	$1	18¢	$1	+$0	09-24 12:44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+7	$1	19¢	$1	+$0	10-08 06:46
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+7	$1	14¢	$1	+$0	10-27 08:52
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+1	$1	78¢	$1	$0	09-22 13:08
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+1	$1	56¢	$1	$0	09-17 13:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+4	$1	18¢	$1	$0	09-10 13:39
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+8	$1	7¢	$1	$0	09-14 09:43
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+5	$1	12¢	$1	$0	09-15 10:23
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	+2	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-02 07:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	18	$104	89	83	+6	open	—	10-26 10:06
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	5	$41	731	555	+176	open	—	10-22 07:30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$38	62	62	+0	No	-$3	10-14 12:44
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	15	$32	75	44	+31	open	—	10-30 07:55
Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	4	$31	53	0	+53	Up	+$22	10-23 07:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$29	8,120	2,500	+5,620	No	-$14	10-16 07:04
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	11	$25	107	67	+40	open	—	10-08 03:47
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 12:30
Eagles vs. Bears	5	$21	16	16	+0	Bears	$0	09-28 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	6	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-26 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	$0	10-26 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	5	$12	15	15	+0	Down	-$4	10-26 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:55 UTC	1	$11	23	0	+23	Down	-$11	09-30 10:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$10	21	11	+11	Yes	+$7	09-28 10:09
ethereum up or down on september 30 2026	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	09-30 06:47
ethereum up or down on september 25 2026	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	09-25 11:40
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?	1	$10	143	0	+143	open	—	11-02 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$10	47	0	+47	Up	-$4	10-26 06:53
ethereum up or down on september 29 2026	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	$0	09-29 08:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:50 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	$0	10-01 08:53
bnb up or down september 30 2026 2am et	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$0	09-30 06:27
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 2am et	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$0	09-30 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:10 UTC	2	$9	10	10	+0	Down	-$2	09-28 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$9	76	0	+76	Up	-$9	10-19 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	10-19 11:49
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	09-28 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	09-15 13:27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	1	$6	12	0	+12	No	-$6	10-14 10:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	09-30 08:59
Panthers vs. Browns	2	$6	7	7	+0	Browns	$0	09-27 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 12:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	183	1¢	$2	0x088319…
11-02 09:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa5e7c7…
11-02 07:28:46	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9c1c87…
11-02 03:27:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xddc35a…
10-30 10:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x582c55…
10-30 07:57:30	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe99fef…
10-30 07:56:57	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x71e477…
10-30 07:56:09	Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva	Emilio Camacho	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x358fd3…
10-30 07:55:22	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x164719…
10-30 03:10:37	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2219e8…
10-29 13:38:02	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8e37a5…
10-28 14:10:56	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xf2c597…
10-28 14:09:19	Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	1,963	0¢	$2	0x169473…
10-28 14:08:50	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4090f2…
10-28 14:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf9f597…
10-28 14:08:13	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa018d0…
10-28 09:31:38	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfc880c…
10-28 08:53:11	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb513d9…
10-27 08:52:18	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc67624…
10-27 08:52:03	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xeeaa41…
10-27 08:51:54	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf7b89c…
10-27 08:31:09	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x965747…
10-27 08:10:41	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd7513b…
10-27 08:09:03	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x663cf6…
10-27 08:08:45	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xe81824…
10-27 08:08:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8f3498…
10-27 02:46:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcbcfdc…
10-26 10:06:11	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x613978…
10-26 10:03:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc8c7c0…
10-26 10:01:47	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf24415…
10-26 09:49:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x025599…
10-26 09:48:44	Seoul: Jang-Jun Kim vs Billy Harris	Jang-Jun Kim	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x538c1a…
10-26 09:44:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd35e67…
10-26 07:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x4f5d5a…
10-26 07:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd623b8…
10-26 07:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdaf6f6…
10-26 07:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd7cba5…
10-26 07:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x8529b3…
10-26 07:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x879d05…
10-26 07:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x6228cd…
10-26 07:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x15ce50…
10-26 07:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x733a86…
10-26 06:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe4ae29…
10-26 06:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x4b56ad…
10-26 06:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x4983b3…
10-26 06:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xa9e5b3…
10-26 06:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x484c3f…
10-26 06:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x178969…
10-26 06:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xff7a17…
10-26 06:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb955d0…
10-26 03:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb6b8fb…
10-26 03:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xafe1ed…
10-26 02:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc02445…
10-26 02:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x97d747…
10-25 15:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x572297…
10-25 15:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x510707…
10-25 15:15:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x80857a…
10-25 15:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd2b34d…
10-25 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb8e849…
10-25 14:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb3ddf4…
10-25 13:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2c68e9…
10-25 13:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf0bd15…
10-25 13:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xafeb12…
10-25 13:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x94d140…
10-23 10:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9213f7…
10-23 10:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x489022…
10-23 10:04:51	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x78dc47…
10-23 10:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf56402…
10-23 08:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa5f0da…
10-23 08:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6a6ab4…
10-23 08:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5da3cf…
10-23 07:26:42	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa26662…
10-23 07:09:29	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3c2b90…
10-23 07:08:50	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x6381f9…
10-23 07:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8f57b0…
10-23 07:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x07b665…
10-22 07:30:06	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	3¢	$5	0xc9f450…
10-21 08:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x624888…
10-21 07:52:53	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb52ecb…
10-21 07:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7c1d4f…
10-21 06:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf44597…
10-21 06:27:50	Guangzhou 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs James McCabe	Jay Dylan Friend	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5d5819…
10-21 06:25:05	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf9a544…
10-21 06:24:53	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb91388…
10-21 06:23:45	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x559929…
10-21 06:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc174b7…
10-21 03:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcb98c9…
10-20 12:30:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xc76b98…
10-20 12:30:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xccda88…
10-20 09:54:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcd177b…
10-19 13:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x36865e…
10-19 12:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x97dbb7…
10-19 11:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x43cddc…
10-19 09:34:39	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4192c4…
10-19 09:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	76	12¢	$9	0x89edee…
10-18 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x92d7ed…
10-16 07:04:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89da48…
10-16 06:37:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,610	0¢	$11	0x63c6f2…
10-14 12:44:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xe35789…
10-14 12:44:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x39449c…