Pitiful-Metallurgist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$276

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$156.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.45K

Open exposure

$2.27K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-09 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Sports

18% 100% +$276

Other

14% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No		-2,541	$-2,287	90¢	$-2274	+$13	06-03 03:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$19.0K	26,507	0	+26,507	open	—	04-04 06:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$12.1K	544	19,509	-18,965	open	—	06-04 14:22
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$12.0K	24,500	0	+24,500	open	—	04-23 03:42
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$11.6K	18,779	0	+18,779	open	—	04-13 02:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	1	$11.0K	30,524	0	+30,524	open	—	06-04 14:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$9.8K	6,509	6,509	+0	open	—	04-23 13:49
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	6	$7.9K	5,174	5,174	+0	open	—	02-19 06:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$6.8K	8,293	0	+8,293	open	—	04-04 06:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$6.7K	4,479	4,479	+0	open	—	05-13 14:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$4.9K	2,676	2,676	+0	open	—	04-22 07:15
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	4	$4.8K	8,462	0	+8,462	open	—	04-07 03:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$4.2K	2,298	2,298	+0	open	—	05-16 03:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$4.1K	2,480	2,480	+0	open	—	04-23 13:52
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	7	$3.9K	2,181	2,172	+9	open	—	04-22 19:44
will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	13	$3.6K	2,820	2,819	+1	open	—	03-04 15:50
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$3.5K	2,054	2,054	+0	open	—	03-28 06:06
wta sabalen rybakin 2026 03 26	2	$3.4K	2,181	2,181	+0	open	—	03-27 02:16
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	6	$3.2K	2,330	2,330	+0	open	—	03-19 12:30
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	4	$2.6K	7,748	0	+7,748	open	—	04-02 10:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$2.4K	1,599	1,599	+0	open	—	04-12 16:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.3K	0	2,541	-2,541	open	—	06-03 03:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	1	$2.3K	2,723	0	+2,723	open	—	06-03 03:34
wta sabalen gauff 2026 03 28	2	$2.2K	3,050	0	+3,050	open	—	03-27 12:26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$2.0K	3,204	0	+3,204	open	—	04-11 05:39
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2.0K	16,019	0	+16,019	open	—	04-17 02:07
will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	1	$1.8K	3,042	0	+3,042	open	—	03-26 05:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-08 01:35
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$1.4K	774	774	+0	Thunder	+$173	05-12 05:27
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,931	0	+1,931	open	—	04-11 05:40
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	3	$1.1K	4,887	0	+4,887	open	—	03-05 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 01:09:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	250	66¢	$165	0xafcb61…
06-04 14:22:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	30,524	36¢	$11,000	0x629dc4…
06-04 14:22:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	18,981	60¢	$11,388	0xaa6b16…
06-04 05:14:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	544	61¢	$332	0xbc0940…
06-04 03:56:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xae6720…
06-04 03:32:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	526	63¢	$331	0xccfae5…
06-03 03:34:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,723	84¢	$2,287	0xe661af…
06-03 03:33:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,541	90¢	$2,287	0x8f516e…
05-16 03:49:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,298	94¢	$2,160	0x59f205…
05-13 14:59:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,479	87¢	$3,897	0xefb494…
05-12 05:27:40	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	774	100¢	$773	0x304b25…
05-12 05:19:27	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	444	90¢	$400	0xb7fd44…
05-12 05:13:44	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x17f1a5…
05-12 03:17:23	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x549e72…
05-10 03:39:15	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0x41087f…
05-09 23:47:56	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	450	77¢	$346	0x6d5145…
05-07 05:54:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0xa82f33…
05-03 06:05:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,135	92¢	$1,044	0x6e6b4d…
04-25 05:55:30	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,688	5¢	$84	0x8c280b…
04-23 13:52:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,480	93¢	$2,318	0x2ec30d…
04-23 13:49:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,479	63¢	$2,822	0x602c6b…
04-23 13:49:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,101	91¢	$2,822	0x4ce0ce…
04-23 03:42:24	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	24,500	49¢	$12,005	0x5b2615…
04-22 19:44:10	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x688c84…
04-22 19:43:08	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	SELL	1,683	94¢	$1,582	0x14ebcc…
04-22 19:42:32	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xef36aa…
04-22 19:42:08	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3704ba…
04-22 19:41:38	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x7ed3d4…
04-22 19:41:18	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	SELL	483	94¢	$454	0x485541…
04-22 07:38:42	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	408	51¢	$208	0xa12a0a…
04-22 07:28:48	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	BUY	2,181	86¢	$1,876	0x996a12…
04-22 07:17:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,101	86¢	$2,667	0xa1d396…
04-22 07:15:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	2,676	99¢	$2,663	0xde3754…
04-20 06:21:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2,676	84¢	$2,248	0xabd796…
04-20 06:21:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,408	66¢	$2,234	0x6435bc…
04-20 06:09:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,480	70¢	$1,733	0x88585e…
04-19 07:33:32	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,390	10¢	$139	0x8206ec…
04-17 04:27:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xcae3c8…
04-17 04:20:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x53b628…
04-17 03:30:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,408	60¢	$2,045	0x5a5677…
04-17 02:07:00	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8,200	12¢	$1,000	0x299ef5…
04-16 14:44:58	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7,819	13¢	$1,000	0xfd8af6…
04-13 04:38:03	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	298	11¢	$33	0x4590dd…
04-13 04:31:39	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	3,312	2¢	$66	0x0d597f…
04-13 02:39:49	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	13,929	62¢	$8,656	0xa3c636…
04-13 02:19:41	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	4,849	60¢	$2,909	0x58f7bf…
04-12 16:07:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1,583	81¢	$1,282	0xe706d5…
04-11 05:40:05	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	927	56¢	$520	0x116f40…
04-11 05:39:29	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,580	63¢	$1,000	0xc3c108…
04-11 05:38:11	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,004	56¢	$560	0xbcbd97…
04-11 05:36:37	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,610	62¢	$1,000	0x7cd5c3…
04-10 06:46:17	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xdcc595…
04-08 01:35:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,494	0x39808a…
04-07 03:05:57	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	835	58¢	$484	0xf82aa7…
04-07 03:05:27	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0xb4d423…
04-07 03:04:19	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x818b37…
04-07 03:04:19	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	7,579	57¢	$4,320	0x268761…
04-04 06:20:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3,659	82¢	$3,000	0x24aa01…
04-04 06:16:27	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12,498	72¢	$9,005	0x49e7eb…
04-04 06:11:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xc6200f…
04-04 06:10:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0xa49860…
04-04 06:07:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4,634	82¢	$3,800	0xb27ece…
04-04 06:00:27	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14,009	71¢	$10,000	0xafcafb…
04-04 05:52:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x951d64…
04-03 06:41:11	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	4,416	2¢	$100	0xd4d1ac…
04-02 10:29:43	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	700	34¢	$238	0x6bd632…
04-02 10:29:01	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	648	33¢	$214	0x544ae2…
04-02 10:27:47	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,913	33¢	$631	0x227cfa…
04-02 10:27:29	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	4,487	33¢	$1,481	0x96add6…
03-29 16:54:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1,599	66¢	$1,058	0x82fda5…
03-28 06:06:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	2,054	90¢	$1,841	0x46c836…
03-27 12:26:31	wta sabalen gauff 2026 03 28	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	1,314	72¢	$946	0x3b2a0e…
03-27 12:13:17	wta sabalen gauff 2026 03 28	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	1,736	71¢	$1,233	0x8e65a9…
03-27 02:16:09	wta sabalen rybakin 2026 03 26	Aryna Sabalenka	SELL	2,181	100¢	$2,179	0x4c9af1…
03-26 16:21:17	wta sabalen rybakin 2026 03 26	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	2,181	55¢	$1,200	0x5ab8f7…
03-26 05:30:43	will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	No	BUY	3,042	59¢	$1,800	0x9e1473…
03-24 06:21:35	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	303	60¢	$182	0x7cdc6c…
03-19 12:30:25	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0xd6c545…
03-19 12:30:25	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	66	85¢	$56	0x869574…
03-19 12:30:25	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x734df7…
03-19 12:30:25	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x01695b…
03-19 12:30:23	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	764	85¢	$649	0x89f514…
03-17 02:37:05	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	2,330	51¢	$1,188	0xcb52ac…
03-16 07:28:33	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,054	83¢	$1,700	0x25bdeb…
03-05 05:23:13	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	2,683	22¢	$600	0xb2e3ef…
03-05 05:22:03	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	2,055	21¢	$432	0x601942…
03-05 05:21:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	149	19¢	$28	0x3abe1c…
03-04 15:50:57	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	SELL	1,589	79¢	$1,255	0xa911c7…
03-04 15:50:55	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	SELL	400	79¢	$316	0xc96c72…
03-04 15:50:47	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0xe8048f…
03-04 15:50:47	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	SELL	400	79¢	$316	0x505c1a…
03-04 15:48:01	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	SELL	400	79¢	$316	0x26c6e0…
03-04 12:42:17	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb51fb1…
03-04 12:40:01	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9a9403…
03-04 12:33:53	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0xdb9ae1…
03-04 12:25:25	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	400	47¢	$188	0x49e573…
03-04 12:24:05	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	400	47¢	$188	0x19291f…
03-04 12:21:47	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	400	47¢	$188	0x54e81d…
03-04 12:20:07	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	400	47¢	$188	0x223c1c…
03-04 12:19:57	will bitcoin reach 74k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	800	48¢	$384	0x390299…