Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

32.8%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$125

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-08

last 10-26 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 31% -$24

Sports

25% 50% +$2

Other

14% 0% -$6

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+115	$7	4¢	$4	-$3	10-01 02:31
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,748	$3	0¢	$3	$0	09-29 22:20
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+5	$1	24¢	$1	+$1	10-15 07:07
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+6	$1	12¢	$1	$0	09-17 08:21
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+17	$1	3¢	$1	$0	09-14 08:57
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+55	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	09-09 11:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	7	$20	32	32	+0	open	—	09-24 07:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?	2	$10	18	0	+18	No	-$10	09-16 04:01
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	2	$10	13	13	+0	Yes	$0	09-11 03:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$9	121	6	+115	open	—	10-01 02:31
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	86	$7	3,095	1,347	+1,748	open	—	09-29 22:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	5	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	09-10 12:56
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	3	$5	16	11	+5	open	—	10-15 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	-$5	09-12 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	09-12 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	09-11 04:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	09-09 15:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-10 11:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	4	$3	227	0	+227	No	-$3	09-21 02:30
Bills vs. Texans	1	$3	6	0	+6	Bills	+$3	09-11 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 09:25 UTC	2	$3	300	0	+300	Down	-$3	09-16 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	Down	-$3	09-10 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Down	-$3	09-12 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	-$3	09-12 06:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	10-26 02:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	09-14 04:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$2	125	105	+20	No	$0	09-12 04:31
Will AEK Athens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$2	500	500	+0	open	—	09-10 11:19
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1	55	0	+55	open	—	09-09 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	09-17 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	09-11 07:44
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	09-14 08:57
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	09-11 04:27
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	09-17 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	09-12 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 02:25:30	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x0e9c44…
10-15 07:07:34	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xb4166f…
10-01 02:33:44	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe2ba66…
10-01 02:31:47	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8aeb51…
09-29 22:20:05	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x5c2486…
09-29 21:52:11	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x251bdf…
09-29 21:42:09	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xa5c322…
09-29 20:42:26	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x379c5d…
09-29 20:36:21	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xa22d07…
09-29 20:17:32	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x7c73ce…
09-29 20:00:29	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xa386d9…
09-29 19:57:42	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x09a7a1…
09-29 19:56:32	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x7e7967…
09-29 19:02:38	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x9a3690…
09-29 19:01:38	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xc16520…
09-29 18:58:47	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x486c9e…
09-29 18:55:42	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe6e31a…
09-29 18:00:29	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9299f4…
09-29 17:47:59	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xabc763…
09-29 16:38:53	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xe67cfd…
09-29 16:27:36	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x7e7dbd…
09-29 16:08:42	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x51e8d4…
09-29 15:52:57	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x968531…
09-29 15:49:23	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x436bfe…
09-29 15:29:05	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x6d6553…
09-29 15:16:03	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x4b77d1…
09-29 15:13:06	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xa81c33…
09-29 15:11:03	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x3a851d…
09-29 14:48:20	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x889614…
09-29 14:08:47	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x8f7fbd…
09-29 11:48:47	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xb13e27…
09-29 11:45:08	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xcd0c0f…
09-29 11:35:57	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x593a99…
09-29 11:35:12	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x13a51e…
09-29 11:01:17	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7a62dd…
09-29 10:54:54	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x286d14…
09-29 10:50:24	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x22aee1…
09-29 10:46:23	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xe4c31d…
09-29 10:25:21	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x8f8b21…
09-29 10:11:41	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xf43cf8…
09-29 09:34:30	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x3f4c57…
09-29 09:32:44	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x05b064…
09-29 09:31:47	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x915add…
09-29 09:26:03	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x0c47f2…
09-29 09:20:11	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x9aed6e…
09-29 08:25:06	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x78ce8f…
09-29 08:18:47	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9a129d…
09-29 07:43:54	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xfa0ccc…
09-29 07:40:47	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x0e60aa…
09-29 07:15:08	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xbf87cf…
09-29 07:04:32	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x5d7209…
09-29 07:01:36	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xbe14ad…
09-29 06:51:42	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x300fdd…
09-29 06:44:20	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xec41cf…
09-29 06:38:59	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x473424…
09-29 06:37:56	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x050525…
09-29 06:29:12	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x047b8d…
09-29 05:49:42	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x4eed94…
09-29 05:26:05	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb0c417…
09-29 04:56:03	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x0e5292…
09-29 04:55:09	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xabb278…
09-29 04:48:24	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x64d311…
09-29 04:48:06	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x64cc19…
09-29 04:21:17	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xd9e74c…
09-29 03:39:14	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x7cd92d…
09-29 03:30:27	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x342997…
09-29 03:18:45	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xa8bbde…
09-29 03:18:12	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x236264…
09-29 03:13:09	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xd028d6…
09-29 02:46:53	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x79236f…
09-28 21:06:29	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa08f18…
09-28 20:42:27	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x4956dc…
09-28 20:41:33	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xe0a232…
09-28 19:46:35	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xf661c3…
09-28 19:45:47	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x58b37e…
09-28 19:37:33	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x0fd844…
09-28 19:35:06	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xbd28c2…
09-28 18:17:08	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x941350…
09-28 18:07:56	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x074b7e…
09-28 09:09:42	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x4d31bf…
09-28 08:05:14	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcac82a…
09-28 07:34:36	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	369	0¢	$1	0xb938aa…
09-24 08:12:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x022648…
09-24 07:10:26	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0xef83f2…
09-24 07:09:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x237024…
09-21 02:30:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x386a42…
09-17 09:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc8f44e…
09-17 08:21:01	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc0c3b7…
09-16 09:29:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	212	1¢	$2	0x8fefd2…
09-16 09:29:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x01a9f8…
09-16 09:09:51	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x822ad6…
09-16 08:10:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x975bef…
09-16 04:01:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5490b5…
09-16 04:00:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9a570f…
09-14 08:57:10	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xab4d7b…
09-14 08:20:36	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x910a3b…
09-14 08:16:48	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x099c36…
09-14 06:51:24	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x19a9ff…
09-14 05:57:24	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf55adc…
09-14 04:34:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2a4940…