Failing-Detection — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved (90d)

2,989

Trades (90d)

9,204

16,428 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$120.3K

$208.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-23 08:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$2,188

Other

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 740 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC	2	$884	615	615	+0	Down	+$261	10-17 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	6	$794	1,038	1,006	+32	Up	+$170	10-18 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:25 UTC	3	$684	592	559	+32	Up	+$43	10-17 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:50 UTC	2	$661	427	427	+0	Down	+$150	10-17 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:05 UTC	6	$572	369	369	+0	Up	+$152	08-26 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:45 UTC	19	$567	400	400	+0	Down	+$47	08-26 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC	2	$563	414	414	+0	Up	+$141	10-14 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	3	$496	445	398	+47	Down	+$36	10-17 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	5	$455	405	373	+32	Up	+$15	10-18 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:40 UTC	4	$451	386	386	+0	Up	+$57	10-17 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$433	291	291	+0	Up	+$142	10-10 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	6	$417	409	409	+0	Down	+$67	08-14 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:15 UTC	3	$404	251	251	+0	Up	+$78	06-16 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:35 UTC	29	$402	312	312	+0	Down	+$62	08-14 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$375	154	308	-154	Down	+$62	10-10 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$357	256	256	+0	Down	+$99	10-18 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	6	$355	314	314	+0	Up	+$35	10-10 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$355	233	233	+0	Down	+$97	10-10 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:30 UTC	6	$344	231	231	+0	Up	+$95	08-26 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$344	232	232	+0	Up	+$115	10-18 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$338	247	246	+0	Up	+$86	10-18 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$335	243	243	+0	Up	+$92	10-12 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$324	246	246	+0	Up	+$64	10-18 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$323	289	289	+0	Down	+$70	10-18 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:25 UTC	3	$322	187	187	+0	Up	+$22	08-26 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:40 UTC	9	$319	284	228	+56	Down	+$79	08-26 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:35 UTC	5	$317	417	248	+169	Down	-$133	10-14 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:45 UTC	4	$303	244	244	+0	Down	+$63	08-26 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 19:05 UTC	3	$301	198	198	+0	Down	+$81	08-26 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$301	250	250	+0	Down	+$1	09-08 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 08:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x3760b5…
10-23 08:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xfb2208…
10-22 18:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x48f7ad…
10-22 18:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x50a12b…
10-22 14:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7a2a3a…
10-22 14:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x420acd…
10-22 14:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x630ff1…
10-22 14:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x99494c…
10-22 14:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	78	97¢	$76	0x1a7a33…
10-22 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xeeb0c8…
10-22 14:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0x20f0ca…
10-22 14:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe701d1…
10-22 14:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xdf9449…
10-22 14:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x580fcb…
10-22 13:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xfcf955…
10-22 13:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xaf041a…
10-22 13:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	110	15¢	$17	0x8fa6db…
10-22 13:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	110	44¢	$48	0x37c5fb…
10-22 12:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x71116c…
10-22 12:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xe81e77…
10-22 12:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	57	57¢	$32	0x83652c…
10-22 12:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	57	50¢	$28	0x9da974…
10-22 12:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x044fa1…
10-22 11:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc5c7ea…
10-22 11:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xbe96cf…
10-22 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xceab0c…
10-22 11:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xa6484c…
10-22 11:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xb01b67…
10-22 10:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	67	50¢	$33	0xc42164…
10-22 10:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x5bcebc…
10-22 10:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x70f00d…
10-22 10:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc6260f…
10-22 10:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x8116a7…
10-22 10:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc5e125…
10-22 10:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x9874bb…
10-22 10:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	39	82¢	$32	0xe5e5cf…
10-22 10:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x073b55…
10-22 10:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	31	66¢	$20	0x2d9a97…
10-22 10:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x00faae…
10-22 10:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xbbd77a…
10-22 10:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	147	72¢	$106	0x621a41…
10-22 10:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	147	55¢	$81	0xe273d4…
10-22 09:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xa052de…
10-22 09:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x936042…
10-22 09:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x0405e8…
10-22 09:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x5b16df…
10-22 09:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x11c802…
10-22 08:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x50a3f2…
10-22 08:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4d810a…
10-22 08:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x011238…
10-22 08:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xe21651…
10-22 08:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xdb176b…
10-22 04:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	44	53¢	$23	0x86815a…
10-22 04:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	31	21¢	$7	0x7303a8…
10-22 04:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xba335f…
10-22 04:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x4c7c1d…
10-21 22:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x117c6d…
10-21 22:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0f6c55…
10-21 22:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc7f5b9…
10-21 22:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	49	85¢	$41	0x288be2…
10-21 22:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0xf4b909…
10-21 21:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xe73fdb…
10-21 21:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xf33ad3…
10-21 21:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	59	64¢	$38	0xbe1d79…
10-21 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x745a1f…
10-21 21:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7ab84e…
10-21 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xdf9420…
10-21 21:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	63	87¢	$55	0xef866a…
10-21 21:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x0b3525…
10-21 21:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0xe3fd6d…
10-21 21:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x88bcf7…
10-21 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x975e72…
10-21 21:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x7139dc…
10-21 21:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	71¢	$37	0x247ff6…
10-21 21:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0xe53c32…
10-21 21:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xe86634…
10-21 20:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	44¢	$23	0x4580bd…
10-21 20:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x185e3a…
10-21 20:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xba8910…
10-21 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xa47cdd…
10-21 19:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x3a7e15…
10-21 19:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x015f93…
10-21 19:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xf61424…
10-21 19:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xf60079…
10-21 19:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x16fa51…
10-21 19:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x252fad…
10-21 18:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	69	48¢	$33	0xe49adb…
10-21 18:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xafe5fb…
10-21 18:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x902a0e…
10-21 18:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa2390f…
10-21 18:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	82	95¢	$78	0x63f05a…
10-21 18:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x57e7de…
10-21 18:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xf3d7bb…
10-21 18:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x41f845…
10-21 17:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x04a30f…
10-21 17:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	68	10¢	$7	0x3709ef…
10-21 17:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	51¢	$35	0xb19997…
10-21 17:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x25ab56…
10-21 17:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xbcfa16…
10-21 17:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x3575c0…