Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$36,089
Trades
3,213
Unique wallets
735
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
71¢
Latest NO mid
29¢
End date
2026-10-21
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-21 18:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.0¢
(top1%: 74% YES on $17.3K
vs crowd: 77% YES on $32.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 154 | $15.7K | $5.0K | +$10.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 201 | $5.3K | $1.5K | +$3.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 214 | $3.5K | $605 | +$2.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 166 | $490 | $443 | +$47 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 149 | $12.8K | $4.5K | +$8.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 97 | $2.6K | $180 | +$2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 30 | $279 | $102 | +$176 |
| Median | 57 | $255 | $70 | +$185 |
| Below median | 156 | $1.6K | $336 | +$1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 106 | $2.2K | $362 | +$1.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 95 | $2.7K | $754 | +$1.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 45 | $2.6K | $1.2K | +$1.5K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | +2,416 | $2,392 | $2,392 | 3 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Harmless-Region 0xb077…8fe8 | Down | +2,000 | $1,040 | $1,040 | 34 | 10-21 18:34 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | +1,244 | $1,231 | $1,231 | 6 | 10-21 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa35d…d57b | Up | +1,152 | $1,080 | $1,080 | 10 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,021 | $82 | $82 | 45 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x833b…8d35 | Down | +938 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-21 18:39 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +825 | $276 | $276 | 40 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f36…fc98 | Down | +808 | $400 | $400 | 8 | 10-21 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd689…6ec7 | Down | +805 | $186 | $186 | 3 | 10-21 18:37 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +721 | $423 | $423 | 33 | 10-21 18:37 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +700 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa31e…a51e | Up | +689 | $673 | $673 | 14 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +656 | $177 | $177 | 21 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +642 | $544 | $544 | 12 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1 | Up | +606 | $358 | $471 | 25 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +606 | $163 | $163 | 74 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Up | +590 | $589 | $589 | 2 | 10-21 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +583 | $50 | $50 | 19 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +557 | $390 | $390 | 26 | 10-21 18:37 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +556 | $120 | $120 | 35 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +514 | $119 | $119 | 24 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +504 | $120 | $120 | 22 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +495 | $379 | $379 | 27 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Up | +491 | $469 | $469 | 16 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +465 | $225 | $225 | 10 | 10-21 18:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | +463 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 10-21 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +435 | $237 | $237 | 24 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +429 | $321 | $321 | 20 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Up | +428 | $252 | $252 | 5 | 10-21 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3062…5942 | Up | +428 | $252 | $252 | 5 | 10-21 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +417 | $177 | $177 | 26 | 10-21 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +414 | $153 | $153 | 27 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +414 | $216 | $216 | 9 | 10-21 18:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | +413 | $5 | $5 | 20 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Quick-Witted-Recognition 0x1b58…6f11 | Down | +401 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 10-21 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5255…dd3c | Down | +400 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +400 | $279 | $279 | 23 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Up | +399 | $263 | $263 | 7 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +391 | $144 | $144 | 9 | 10-21 18:37 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +385 | $105 | $105 | 4 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +383 | $256 | $256 | 6 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +370 | $290 | $290 | 13 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Up | +367 | $291 | $291 | 14 | 10-21 18:37 |
| Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964 | Up | +367 | $190 | $190 | 9 | 10-21 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +357 | $55 | $55 | 13 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +338 | $225 | $225 | 13 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3089…35e4 | Up | +331 | $166 | $166 | 12 | 10-21 18:35 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +329 | $60 | $60 | 21 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +329 | $10 | $10 | 17 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +321 | $61 | $61 | 18 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x5326…7510 | Down | +320 | $3 | $3 | 12 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +315 | $59 | $59 | 19 | 10-21 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +302 | $166 | $166 | 17 | 10-21 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | +295 | $45 | $45 | 9 | 10-21 18:39 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +288 | $48 | $48 | 38 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +285 | $207 | $207 | 10 | 10-21 18:37 |
| Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7 | Down | +273 | $136 | $136 | 5 | 10-21 18:34 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +270 | $188 | $188 | 7 | 10-21 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +262 | $201 | $201 | 8 | 10-21 18:37 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +256 | $182 | $182 | 12 | 10-21 18:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 18:40:39 | (anonymous) 0x46ff…5e06 | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x5ae406… |
| 10-21 18:40:39 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x5ae406… |
| 10-21 18:40:35 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Up | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x696f57… |
| 10-21 18:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x54d3…dedf | Up | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x696f57… |
| 10-21 18:40:06 | (anonymous) 0xf495…21b8 | Up | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x28a21f… |
| 10-21 18:40:06 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Up | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x28a21f… |
| 10-21 18:40:05 | (anonymous) 0x0116…0a78 | Up | SELL | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x0e1c13… |
| 10-21 18:40:05 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Up | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x0e1c13… |
| 10-21 18:40:00 | (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x40ed96… |
| 10-21 18:40:00 | (anonymous) 0x91a0…1257 | Up | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x40ed96… |
| 10-21 18:39:59 | (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Up | BUY | 560 | 100¢ | $559 | 0x15c11e… |
| 10-21 18:39:59 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | SELL | 800 | 100¢ | $799 | 0x15c11e… |
| 10-21 18:39:59 | Cloudy-Windchime 0x24cc…639f | Up | BUY | 240 | 100¢ | $240 | 0x15c11e… |
| 10-21 18:39:48 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 938 | 99¢ | $929 | 0xe4f9fa… |
| 10-21 18:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x833b…8d35 | Down | BUY | 938 | 1¢ | $9 | 0xe4f9fa… |
| 10-21 18:39:47 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8679cd… |
| 10-21 18:39:47 | Simple-Director 0x17aa…ba4f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8679cd… |
| 10-21 18:39:42 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x61d4b0… |
| 10-21 18:39:42 | (anonymous) 0xb158…3ede | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x61d4b0… |
| 10-21 18:39:30 | (anonymous) 0xdf64…436e | Up | SELL | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x55bb3a… |
| 10-21 18:39:30 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x55bb3a… |
| 10-21 18:39:24 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x146a98… |
| 10-21 18:39:24 | (anonymous) 0x382a…1ca8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x146a98… |
| 10-21 18:39:15 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x1c0894… |
| 10-21 18:39:15 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 219 | 99¢ | $217 | 0x1c0894… |
| 10-21 18:39:15 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Up | BUY | 81 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x1c0894… |
| 10-21 18:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x92b5…8f23 | Down | BUY | 158 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x0ad477… |
| 10-21 18:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Up | BUY | 94 | 99¢ | $93 | 0x0ad477… |
| 10-21 18:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 64 | 99¢ | $63 | 0x0ad477… |
| 10-21 18:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 129 | 99¢ | $128 | 0x76e05d… |
| 10-21 18:39:03 | (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | BUY | 129 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x76e05d… |
| 10-21 18:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xa054…51db | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa98564… |
| 10-21 18:38:59 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa98564… |
| 10-21 18:38:56 | Deadly-Sand 0x147b…075d | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x80e17e… |
| 10-21 18:38:56 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x80e17e… |
| 10-21 18:38:51 | (anonymous) 0xe235…9fbf | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x1c00e4… |
| 10-21 18:38:51 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x1c00e4… |
| 10-21 18:38:50 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xec9fcf… |
| 10-21 18:38:50 | (anonymous) 0x14c0…1daf | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xec9fcf… |
| 10-21 18:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x6d1b…b2d3 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb76c29… |
| 10-21 18:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xb76c29… |
| 10-21 18:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xd9ca…46c7 | Up | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xcd8e21… |
| 10-21 18:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xcd8e21… |
| 10-21 18:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xffd5…5436 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x8170ba… |
| 10-21 18:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x8170ba… |
| 10-21 18:38:42 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x835c8b… |
| 10-21 18:38:42 | (anonymous) 0x6a42…5eef | Up | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x835c8b… |
| 10-21 18:38:39 | (anonymous) 0xf385…ffce | Up | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x641636… |
| 10-21 18:38:39 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x641636… |
| 10-21 18:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf86b66… |
| 10-21 18:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x4455…cb0a | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf86b66… |
| 10-21 18:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 113 | 99¢ | $112 | 0x89acf6… |
| 10-21 18:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf6381f… |
| 10-21 18:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa56907… |
| 10-21 18:38:35 | (anonymous) 0xf43f…999f | Up | SELL | 114 | 99¢ | $113 | 0x89acf6… |
| 10-21 18:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x0116…0a78 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf6381f… |
| 10-21 18:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x0116…0a78 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x89acf6… |
| 10-21 18:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa56907… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x12e5…607e | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0xae19…24ea | Up | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0xe97a…850f | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xef6143… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 2,310 | 99¢ | $2,287 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 700 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | BUY | 117 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x0d65…31f4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | BUY | 106 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Precious-Shawl 0x177b…cb59 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | BUY | 80 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Up | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xffcd9d… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Apprehensive-Instinct 0xa143…a135 | Down | BUY | 107 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x0116…0a78 | Up | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xef6143… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x912a…0f92 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x0862…4431 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Up | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0xd32e…d5b5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x055a…7bbc | Up | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x3fd8…6788 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0xde71…1f10 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x0116…0a78 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x5d4b…66b0 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xffcd9d… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x9e1a…993e | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0xd353…2ef1 | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83ec2… |
| 10-21 18:38:33 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 76 | 99¢ | $75 | 0xef6143… |
| 10-21 18:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x9224…a60f | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc3e02b… |
| 10-21 18:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd5fff1… |
| 10-21 18:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc3e02b… |
| 10-21 18:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa933f5… |