Ideal-Trustee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$110.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$589

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 08-07 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

54% 67% +$64

Other

28% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$10.0K	11,236	0	+11,236	open	—	02-26 16:40
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$9.0K	9,128	0	+9,128	open	—	02-25 12:19
will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	8	$7.4K	7,495	0	+7,495	open	—	02-18 22:08
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$6.0K	6,067	0	+6,067	open	—	02-25 00:52
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$4.4K	4,427	4,427	+0	open	—	02-25 16:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$4.1K	2,632	2,632	+0	open	—	02-25 11:29
bitcoin above 66k on february 24	2	$3.9K	3,906	0	+3,906	open	—	02-24 16:31
atp fonseca monteir 2026 02 17	1	$3.9K	3,940	0	+3,940	open	—	02-18 00:07
bitcoin above 66k on february 16	1	$3.8K	3,833	0	+3,833	open	—	02-16 16:40
lal bar lev 2026 02 22 lev	1	$3.7K	3,758	0	+3,758	open	—	02-22 16:04
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be less than 39m	4	$3.4K	3,486	0	+3,486	open	—	02-17 19:30
bitcoin above 66k on february 17	1	$3.3K	3,302	0	+3,302	open	—	02-17 16:32
bitcoin above 64k on february 19	1	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	open	—	02-19 16:24
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 180 199	1	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	open	—	02-20 11:34
epl mac new 2026 02 21 new	2	$2.3K	2,330	0	+2,330	open	—	02-21 21:42
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2.1K	4,088	4,088	+0	open	—	03-06 17:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$29	05-10 21:09
will wuthering heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	02-17 19:29
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	02-16 16:34
bitcoin above 72k on february 20	1	$2.0K	2,008	0	+2,008	open	—	02-20 11:42
donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 80 99	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	02-22 13:10
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	1	$2.0K	2,003	0	+2,003	open	—	02-15 12:04
fl1 lor ang 2026 02 15 ang	1	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	open	—	02-15 17:39
will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	2	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	open	—	02-17 11:20
lal osa mal 2026 03 06 mal	1	$1.2K	1,249	0	+1,249	open	—	03-07 14:50
bitcoin above 66k on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,118	0	+1,118	open	—	02-20 16:25
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 240plus	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	02-15 12:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$1000	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	04-25 07:43
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	1	$1000	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	02-25 16:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	1	$1000	1,004	0	+1,004	open	—	04-24 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 15:27:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	379	91¢	$345	0xc79ff4…
08-06 17:30:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	411	82¢	$337	0xe48725…
08-06 17:21:05	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x68aa65…
08-06 17:20:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xe13e44…
08-06 17:19:21	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	365	70¢	$256	0x6ffcb7…
08-05 17:46:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	90	56¢	$50	0x0924f8…
08-04 22:17:27	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xe0c500…
08-04 22:13:47	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	350	71¢	$248	0x7a703f…
08-04 15:18:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0xa44582…
08-03 22:30:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	900	69¢	$621	0xa77c7c…
06-12 11:43:15	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	774	98¢	$760	0x734ed6…
06-12 11:40:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x08be9b…
06-06 23:48:19	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x762b3f…
06-06 23:47:54	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x7be3a5…
06-06 23:41:15	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0x1149af…
06-06 23:04:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x580d4b…
06-06 22:06:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0xfbb595…
06-06 21:10:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x0b8beb…
06-06 20:08:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	19	76¢	$15	0x7cc30e…
05-21 18:04:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x667282…
05-21 18:01:33	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	SELL	617	60¢	$370	0x462e21…
05-21 18:00:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0xc36d1b…
05-21 17:59:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	27¢	$18	0x3de8f0…
05-21 17:33:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	27	76¢	$20	0xcb71ff…
05-20 14:26:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xfd6051…
05-20 14:26:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$13	0xe010bc…
05-20 14:26:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x4b61b8…
05-20 14:26:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x35e969…
05-20 14:26:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x8fd643…
05-20 14:26:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x58c6b0…
05-20 07:41:16	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x88a63f…
05-19 08:01:40	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x976a8c…
05-19 06:01:36	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x55c843…
05-19 03:06:41	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x67dc6c…
05-19 02:01:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x3c2cdb…
05-19 01:01:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc93605…
05-19 00:05:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	20¢	$18	0x3e78ea…
05-19 00:01:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x62a09e…
05-18 23:01:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdf7789…
05-18 22:42:56	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0x3d75f4…
05-18 22:01:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xf8db5c…
05-18 21:01:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x439aff…
05-18 20:27:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x95f11c…
05-18 20:01:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xe9f22c…
05-18 19:40:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xf76296…
05-18 19:01:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x23ffad…
05-18 18:01:40	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x13beaa…
05-18 16:01:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x8ec0c4…
05-18 15:01:45	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x8829b7…
05-18 12:57:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	16¢	$21	0xc46fda…
05-18 12:01:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x864b1d…
05-18 11:01:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0xfdefa3…
05-18 10:01:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xedad26…
05-18 09:01:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	14¢	$18	0x05a85e…
05-18 07:02:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0x50ca18…
05-18 06:01:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xc9a6c2…
05-18 03:52:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x9f3b04…
05-18 03:52:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7bf801…
05-18 02:20:33	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x222dc8…
05-18 01:59:33	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd2f668…
05-18 01:23:34	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0x42ef86…
05-18 01:23:32	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	51	31¢	$16	0x0260be…
05-17 22:01:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xc2e114…
05-17 18:02:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x54d8af…
05-17 15:01:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xc898b4…
05-17 14:47:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x370c86…
05-17 14:01:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xfcba55…
05-17 13:01:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x21bbda…
05-17 10:01:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf46294…
05-17 07:18:07	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x07ef63…
05-17 07:12:51	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	51	42¢	$22	0x1241f4…
05-17 06:32:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	36¢	$21	0xd711a6…
05-17 05:01:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x7b7b88…
05-17 04:02:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xdfff52…
05-17 02:58:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	17¢	$18	0xe1b244…
05-17 02:01:19	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	38¢	$22	0x457e33…
05-17 01:01:24	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xfce551…
05-16 23:00:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0xdf5853…
05-16 22:54:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	20¢	$21	0xb65e3c…
05-16 22:00:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xdd50cf…
05-16 21:01:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x78c530…
05-16 18:01:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0xdd647a…
05-16 15:39:20	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	SELL	233	76¢	$177	0x5c8af0…
05-16 15:01:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0xa1d10b…
05-16 14:59:59	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	233	95¢	$222	0x8e855b…
05-12 19:00:01	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xc1cdc0…
05-12 18:22:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0xfae5f7…
05-12 17:08:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x14d1cd…
05-12 17:07:35	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	SELL	120	51¢	$61	0xc008d1…
05-12 17:06:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0xb90dcf…
05-12 16:42:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	154	90¢	$139	0x72e558…
05-12 13:26:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x03eafa…
05-12 08:59:59	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x571a28…
05-12 03:39:09	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xdb641c…
05-11 10:42:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0xf522ed…
05-11 10:40:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	600	95¢	$568	0x4b8ce2…
05-10 21:39:21	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	425	43¢	$183	0x4bbe05…
05-10 21:09:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1,040	99¢	$1,029	0xa24aa7…
05-10 09:07:37	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	252	46¢	$116	0x82da90…
05-09 21:43:50	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xb6e99a…