Mature-Bed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$485

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-17 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% 17% $-21

Politics

40% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trumps tie be another color 653	3	$49	40	40	+0	open	—	02-27 22:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	5	$46	292	56	+236	open	—	04-12 17:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$37	70	70	+0	open	—	05-24 03:21
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	3	$32	651	462	+189	open	—	04-08 00:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	4	$31	45	45	+0	open	—	05-22 10:23
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	8	$28	1,094	624	+470	open	—	04-08 00:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	1	$24	90	0	+90	open	—	06-01 18:38
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	1	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	02-27 14:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$19	134	0	+134	open	—	05-27 09:33
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$15	77	77	+0	open	—	04-11 00:13
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	5	$15	24	24	+0	open	—	04-08 00:07
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	2	$14	278	150	+128	open	—	04-08 00:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$14	1,126	0	+1,126	open	—	03-01 02:29
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	5	$12	500	250	+250	open	—	04-08 22:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	05-27 09:33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$10	22	22	+0	open	—	04-09 13:52
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$9	389	97	+292	No	$-5	04-09 13:48
will donald trump publicly insult mohammed bin salman by june 30 2026	2	$8	110	110	+0	open	—	06-17 03:51
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during wisconsin events 20260602174202019	2	$8	95	0	+95	open	—	06-03 13:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$7	440	0	+440	open	—	05-26 21:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	1	$7	40	0	+40	open	—	05-24 03:22
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$5	400	0	+400	No	$-5	03-28 12:32
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	2	$5	140	0	+140	No	$-5	03-28 15:57
will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	1	$5	201	0	+201	open	—	04-01 12:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	04-01 12:47
Trump out as President by April 30?	3	$5	220	100	+120	open	—	04-11 20:37
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	3	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	03-28 22:50
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	2	$4	118	118	+0	No	+$0	04-08 00:08
ebola pandemic in 2026	1	$4	0	60	-60	open	—	06-07 13:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	03-01 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 03:51:10	will donald trump publicly insult mohammed bin salman by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0xa7e1f2…
06-07 13:40:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	197	1¢	$2	0x263bd2…
06-07 13:38:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	219	1¢	$2	0x076be7…
06-07 13:37:51	ebola pandemic in 2026	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0xc53fa7…
06-03 18:59:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x74cb74…
06-03 17:15:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd0da24…
06-03 13:38:47	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during wisconsin events 20260602174202019	Yes	BUY	89	8¢	$7	0x32662d…
06-03 13:26:09	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during wisconsin events 20260602174202019	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x5a1397…
06-03 13:22:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0xaea665…
06-01 18:38:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	90	27¢	$24	0xddc752…
05-27 09:33:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x37b57c…
05-27 09:33:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x838a53…
05-26 21:31:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	420	1¢	$5	0x27b975…
05-24 03:23:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x56f9ec…
05-24 03:22:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x77cf15…
05-24 03:21:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0x8da45e…
05-22 10:35:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x5536f8…
05-22 10:34:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x27ff7d…
05-22 10:24:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x3d5c4a…
05-22 10:23:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x785ba0…
05-20 22:13:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x275e34…
05-20 22:13:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	29	43¢	$13	0x68e687…
05-19 21:34:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0x8acd5e…
05-19 21:33:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x2901a0…
04-17 22:11:00	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf9b654…
04-12 21:32:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x3efafd…
04-12 17:54:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xdf6f1a…
04-11 20:43:35	Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x4cd1d5…
04-11 20:37:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x7473f6…
04-11 00:13:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	77	11¢	$8	0xe62ed5…
04-09 13:53:01	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xef699d…
04-09 13:52:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0xb2afaf…
04-09 13:48:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	97	2¢	$2	0x1ac9f5…
04-09 13:47:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x85a168…
04-08 22:55:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0xcd76ca…
04-08 22:53:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	44	18¢	$8	0x5d849b…
04-08 00:14:19	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9b222f…
04-08 00:12:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x78973f…
04-08 00:12:25	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	624	1¢	$5	0x15724b…
04-08 00:10:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x68f129…
04-08 00:09:47	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0x32b644…
04-08 00:09:35	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	462	2¢	$9	0x7fe7df…
04-08 00:08:55	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x80de48…
04-08 00:08:43	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0xab96ce…
04-08 00:07:51	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xb3ff03…
04-06 16:48:07	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xdf5efe…
04-06 16:45:39	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x90a62a…
04-06 16:43:51	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x4748b8…
04-01 12:57:35	will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	Yes	BUY	201	2¢	$5	0xd80a62…
04-01 12:53:41	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x94b897…
04-01 12:53:27	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x6760db…
04-01 12:51:19	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	563	4¢	$20	0x543cb6…
04-01 12:51:03	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x80a6ab…
04-01 12:48:15	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x008807…
04-01 12:47:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd05327…
04-01 12:46:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7ca77c…
04-01 12:41:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	389	2¢	$7	0x5ddf99…
03-28 22:50:08	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0x98a5ad…
03-28 15:57:51	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xd9f1cb…
03-28 12:33:49	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x314ee5…
03-28 12:32:13	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0xe2ede8…
03-28 12:14:49	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xc5b1ba…
03-28 12:14:11	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x699767…
03-28 12:13:35	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x873069…
03-28 12:13:33	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	610	2¢	$13	0xc411be…
03-28 12:13:33	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	245	2¢	$5	0x562d96…
03-28 12:13:31	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	74	2¢	$2	0xf78fb7…
03-28 12:13:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	216	2¢	$4	0xbd3bb4…
03-28 12:13:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	74	2¢	$1	0xbcdbc5…
03-28 12:13:31	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xa43c28…
03-28 12:13:31	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x9d3a0c…
03-28 12:13:31	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x00df1b…
03-28 12:13:29	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	180	2¢	$3	0x659225…
03-28 12:13:27	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x0c8cda…
03-24 15:10:07	will silver si hit low 50 by end of march	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa1f00a…
03-24 15:09:39	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x18f4f1…
03-24 14:46:03	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xa3389e…
03-01 12:05:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x4baa2e…
03-01 12:05:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x7b2b62…
03-01 02:29:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa3c7e5…
03-01 02:28:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x60f30f…
02-28 21:52:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x32ae3c…
02-28 21:37:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x6d4884…
02-27 22:38:53	will donald trumps tie be another color 653	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xd8dc26…
02-27 17:53:23	will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt5 on february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	96	0¢	$0	0x920d76…
02-27 17:32:29	will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt5 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd5451a…
02-27 17:30:19	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xcf220c…
02-27 17:25:11	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x9bf688…
02-27 17:14:07	will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt5 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x75f3e0…
02-27 17:14:07	will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt5 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x440511…
02-27 14:37:13	US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x612d0c…
02-27 14:32:13	will donald trumps tie be another color 653	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x9ea28a…
02-27 14:28:51	will donald trumps tie be another color 653	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xcfa1b7…