Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$570

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$159

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-25 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

45% 75% +$30

Politics

37% 29% -$69

Tech

12% 100% +$5

Crypto

6% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will marine le pen advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	+61	$50	90¢	$55	+$5	07-15 11:25
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	+57	$50	90¢	$51	+$1	07-15 12:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-43	-$31	90¢	$-39	-$8	07-25 09:38
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-42	-$18	32¢	$-14	+$4	07-25 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	1	$200	211	0	+211	Yes	+$11	07-25 09:08
will marine le pen advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	07-15 11:25
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	07-15 12:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$39	54	0	+54	No	+$15	04-08 16:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$31	0	43	-43	open	—	07-25 09:38
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	2	$28	29	28	+1	Yes	-$2	04-08 14:56
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$26	27	26	+0	Yes	-$12	04-08 14:56
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$20	48	0	+48	Yes	-$20	04-08 16:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	1	$20	25	0	+25	Yes	+$5	07-25 08:59
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$18	0	42	-42	open	—	07-25 09:32
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$17	37	0	+37	Yes	-$17	04-06 09:52
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$16	30	0	+30	Yes	-$16	04-06 09:52
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$13	18	0	+18	Yes	-$13	04-11 18:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$13	20	0	+20	No	+$7	04-09 12:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$11	17	0	+17	No	+$7	04-09 12:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$8	11	0	+11	No	+$3	04-12 13:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	-$2	04-15 12:30
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	-$2	04-14 12:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 09:38:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	43	71¢	$31	0x9a18cb…
07-25 09:32:40	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0xb335d0…
07-25 09:08:52	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xd394ca…
07-25 08:59:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xf6640d…
07-15 12:05:26	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x40e150…
07-15 11:25:38	will marine le pen advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xcaf878…
04-15 12:30:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xf04584…
04-14 12:42:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xd2d3c0…
04-14 12:42:01	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x888209…
04-13 12:17:41	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x593339…
04-13 12:17:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x28a208…
04-12 13:16:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x2b31f1…
04-11 18:58:07	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0x449ba3…
04-09 12:23:29	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	17	61¢	$11	0x66a4c1…
04-09 12:23:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xdf8b8d…
04-08 16:53:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x287a02…
04-08 16:04:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$19	0x24347c…
04-08 14:56:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	SELL	28	46¢	$13	0xca7eab…
04-08 14:56:19	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	26	25¢	$7	0xf36512…
04-07 20:24:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x2d3e88…
04-06 09:52:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xca56f6…
04-06 09:52:45	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	37	45¢	$17	0xfe5a30…
04-06 09:52:43	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xb78b72…
04-06 09:52:33	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x879b27…