Aware-Veteran — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$186

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

513

Trades

6,063

lifetime

Volume

$983.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

$1.13K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Sports

51% 68% +$17,116

Other

33% 55% +$25,376

Politics

8% 78% -$2,683

Crypto

8% 70% +$2,381

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+2,200	$1,312	51¢	$1.1K	-$186	10-29 11:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	301	$107.0K	224,643	194,643	+30,000	No	-$10,110	07-18 19:56
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	563	$80.2K	95,894	95,894	+0	No	+$1,029	07-12 12:23
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$59.4K	35,020	35,020	+0	No	+$480	06-30 02:54
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$58.6K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$90	07-07 22:53
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$50	07-12 00:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	210	$35.6K	41,777	41,777	+0	No	+$1,139	04-20 13:15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	46	$34.9K	47,238	27,238	+20,000	Yes	+$8,167	07-18 16:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	58	$32.7K	32,384	34,577	-2,193	Yes	-$995	01-30 00:45
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	105	$22.6K	27,601	16,403	+11,198	Yes	+$16,434	02-15 02:15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$17.1K	31,756	31,756	+0	No	+$287	07-04 10:17
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	64	$13.4K	18,200	18,200	+0	No	+$1,023	09-10 00:28
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	230	$13.3K	14,001	14,001	+0	Yes	-$487	10-24 20:04
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$12.9K	41,805	41,805	+0	No	+$450	07-13 18:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	61	$12.0K	14,051	14,051	+0	No	+$254	06-01 15:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	36	$10.2K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$150	01-15 14:11
over 250k committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129594	1	$10.1K	10,129	0	+10,129	Yes	+$20	07-21 16:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	12	$9.6K	7,028	7,028	+0	No	+$589	03-23 11:31
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	93	$8.9K	12,221	12,221	+0	No	+$163	01-14 23:07
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	30	$8.6K	9,257	8,002	+1,254	Yes	+$820	05-01 09:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	15	$8.4K	10,984	0	+10,984	Yes	+$2,626	01-30 18:16
Will Argentina win the World Cup?	31	$8.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$1,860	07-14 21:00
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	101	$8.0K	16,869	5,454	+11,415	No	-$955	02-15 02:06
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	55	$7.8K	13,843	13,843	+0	No	+$1,236	04-28 20:29
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	62	$7.5K	12,719	12,719	+0	No	-$2,130	03-21 20:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	5	$7.3K	4,068	4,068	-0	Yes	+$310	04-07 23:06
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	25	$7.3K	7,427	7,427	+0	No	-$39	07-30 14:33
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	21	$6.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$30	01-24 00:02
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	19	$6.7K	7,036	7,036	+0	No	+$525	04-30 11:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	34	$6.3K	10,000	1,000	+9,000	Yes	-$5,180	02-28 09:15
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	11	$6.3K	7,649	5,997	+1,652	Yes	+$6,561	03-10 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:49:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	367	74¢	$272	0x596a01…
10-29 19:20:39	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	133	74¢	$98	0x8e0027…
10-29 11:15:19	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	700	57¢	$402	0xf4b633…
10-29 11:14:08	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,500	61¢	$909	0x0297f8…
10-29 10:28:52	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	60¢	$300	0x8e0630…
10-29 09:59:16	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$302	0xdc23ec…
10-28 20:49:53	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0x5cd6a5…
10-26 01:26:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	988	18¢	$182	0x5b0a28…
10-26 01:16:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xf552f2…
10-26 00:55:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	602	16¢	$97	0x866dcb…
10-26 00:52:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	398	16¢	$64	0x6aa211…
10-24 20:26:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,035	9¢	$97	0x0b8162…
10-24 20:08:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	195	9¢	$18	0x2a5298…
10-24 20:04:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,000	71¢	$1,420	0xcfa2da…
10-24 19:50:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	763	9¢	$72	0xed3b88…
10-24 19:50:24	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x0380b1…
10-19 01:35:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x42161d…
10-18 13:05:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x36b2f9…
10-18 02:34:18	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	210	60¢	$126	0x13e070…
10-18 02:24:45	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	384	50¢	$191	0xb74a54…
10-18 01:44:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	921	2¢	$17	0x196c07…
10-18 01:43:50	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	45	30¢	$13	0xe3315b…
10-18 01:43:50	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	1,027	30¢	$308	0x92053c…
10-18 01:33:26	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	1,080	36¢	$391	0xa19366…
10-18 00:19:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,229	3¢	$41	0xdc93e2…
10-18 00:19:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	754	100¢	$752	0x361298…
10-18 00:18:30	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0x897873…
10-18 00:18:23	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	211	51¢	$107	0x78a3ef…
10-18 00:13:33	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	85	68¢	$57	0x351389…
10-17 23:33:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,247	1¢	$11	0x89e26d…
10-17 21:55:59	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	330	68¢	$224	0x444ff9…
10-17 19:21:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xc9cdae…
10-17 18:37:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	376	88¢	$331	0x6b6d89…
10-17 18:18:08	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	978	10¢	$97	0x726080…
10-17 18:14:26	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,076	7¢	$73	0x536256…
10-17 16:54:50	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	700	7¢	$47	0xa39681…
10-17 16:29:45	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xa1c66b…
10-17 16:15:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe7da8e…
10-17 16:15:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$2	0x1a04e0…
10-17 16:14:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	378	84¢	$317	0xa6916a…
10-17 16:12:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	210	90¢	$189	0x118c88…
10-11 15:58:25	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	225	93¢	$209	0x104483…
10-10 15:45:19	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xc272c9…
10-09 17:57:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,993	63¢	$1,255	0x172b85…
10-09 17:57:08	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	391	25¢	$98	0xb7c051…
10-09 17:56:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	669	25¢	$168	0x3c6576…
10-09 17:42:37	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	60	37¢	$23	0xa1bc1e…
10-04 08:57:52	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	762	47¢	$361	0x4916db…
10-04 08:53:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xbe771d…
10-04 08:52:49	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc769ed…
10-04 08:49:55	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	89	47¢	$42	0xc5e111…
10-04 08:23:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0x4beb80…
10-04 08:16:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x0287ed…
10-04 08:16:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	37	47¢	$18	0x38fc86…
10-04 07:38:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x76bc8d…
10-03 18:08:26	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	333	50¢	$167	0x03703e…
10-03 17:00:44	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xe16c3a…
10-03 17:00:42	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x11f7b2…
10-03 16:46:41	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	118	33¢	$39	0x70b4c1…
10-03 16:46:39	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0xc8347b…
10-03 16:33:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x641740…
10-03 16:32:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xa7b29e…
10-03 16:25:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xfb53e6…
10-03 16:25:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	74	36¢	$26	0x47cbe9…
10-03 16:19:57	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0x5fa3af…
10-03 16:19:48	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	256	15¢	$38	0xa47907…
10-03 16:11:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	117	31¢	$36	0xe8af99…
09-20 07:45:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	560	16¢	$91	0x74c03f…
09-20 07:01:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	560	18¢	$101	0x715ce0…
09-20 06:26:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	91	73¢	$67	0xe488e0…
09-20 06:25:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	230	82¢	$189	0xe59ab0…
09-20 04:26:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	120	67¢	$81	0x5d53c5…
09-20 04:07:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x83b2bc…
09-20 04:07:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x218a48…
09-20 04:07:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xc83f6a…
09-20 03:52:03	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x6c2b32…
09-20 01:35:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	40	64¢	$25	0xe9b427…
09-20 01:34:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	92	64¢	$59	0x732864…
09-20 01:11:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	232	62¢	$144	0x801584…
09-20 01:09:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	186	66¢	$122	0xb4c88a…
09-20 01:07:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x2fe7b5…
09-20 00:06:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	263	14¢	$37	0xe2be75…
09-19 23:01:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x8e5ead…
09-19 22:48:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	388	77¢	$300	0x32cd64…
09-19 22:17:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x15c150…
09-19 22:12:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	188	18¢	$34	0x42cd2e…
09-19 21:11:56	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	564	0¢	$2	0x949e1e…
09-19 20:14:24	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x8b380b…
09-19 20:13:36	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xac14bd…
09-19 19:15:23	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	448	9¢	$40	0x0f5a14…
09-19 19:07:12	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0x0303a1…
09-19 16:03:42	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,022	30¢	$307	0x1c0526…
09-19 16:02:09	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xc29ca7…
09-19 16:02:08	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x16d780…
09-11 16:00:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 77.5 and 78.0 million views on day 6?	No	SELL	242	0¢	$0	0xf142f1…
09-11 15:43:21	Will MrBeast's next video get 78.0 million or more views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	86	45¢	$39	0x45eecd…
09-11 15:18:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 77.5 and 78.0 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	191	70¢	$133	0x90043d…
09-11 15:08:12	Will MrBeast's next video get 78.0 million or more views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x8b1002…
09-11 15:03:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 77.5 and 78.0 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x52b47c…
09-11 14:28:46	Will MrBeast's next video get 78.0 million or more views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x932d1e…