Overcooked-Email — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

150

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$6.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-29 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

42% 98% +$40

Politics

35% 92% +$9

Crypto

18% 97% -$20

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$585	305	305	+0	open	—	10-29 13:18
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$366	184	184	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 10:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$334	173	173	+0	No	+$0	08-26 16:43
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	2	$300	150	150	+0	No	+$0	10-16 02:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$262	134	134	+0	No	+$6	09-30 22:43
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$227	115	115	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 21:10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$209	106	106	+0	No	+$3	09-01 06:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	1	$183	185	0	+185	No	+$2	09-04 12:49
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$180	181	0	+181	Yes	+$1	09-18 09:20
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$179	180	0	+180	No	+$1	09-14 13:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$173	174	0	+174	No	+$1	08-21 21:20
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	1	$173	173	0	+173	No	+$1	08-18 23:17
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$171	171	0	+171	Yes	+$0	08-05 14:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	1	$169	170	0	+170	No	+$1	08-06 12:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$167	174	0	+174	No	+$7	08-13 08:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$167	169	0	+169	No	+$2	08-12 00:57
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	2	$167	129	129	+0	Yes	+$4	10-04 02:32
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$161	161	0	+161	Yes	+$0	05-05 10:57
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$153	155	0	+155	Yes	+$1	05-09 12:09
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$149	158	0	+158	Yes	+$9	05-16 22:09
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	1	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	06-26 04:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	2	$136	68	68	+0	No	+$0	09-01 01:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$121	122	0	+122	No	+$1	04-28 23:30
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$119	119	0	+119	No	+$0	06-27 15:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$107	113	0	+113	No	+$5	05-18 16:10
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	3	$100	172	172	+0	open	—	10-13 12:50
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	2	$95	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	10-08 22:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$86	87	0	+87	Yes	+$0	05-30 08:19
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$54	54	0	+54	Yes	+$0	07-31 10:03
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$52	57	57	+0	No	-$22	07-31 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:18:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xd2ef26…
10-28 16:32:19	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	154	98¢	$152	0x89c00a…
10-28 03:33:49	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0x52a666…
10-28 03:33:46	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x0cc9f8…
10-27 21:42:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x8c6680…
10-16 02:59:16	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x4e719f…
10-15 21:35:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xe362c8…
10-15 09:27:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x037618…
10-15 00:47:07	will xrp reach 2pt6 in october 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x033f5d…
10-13 12:50:59	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	172	29¢	$50	0xa89468…
10-12 13:00:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x8b05ac…
10-12 12:27:17	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	162	29¢	$47	0xe90c2d…
10-12 10:53:18	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9f7b90…
10-08 22:55:39	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x2d2740…
10-08 17:50:42	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x876488…
10-08 17:14:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x3c99e4…
10-08 02:49:22	Will XRP reach $2.60 in October?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x951f6b…
10-04 21:10:50	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x61c6f4…
10-04 02:32:32	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	SELL	129	66¢	$85	0xb85992…
10-03 22:16:16	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xa4cd70…
10-01 03:17:56	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xfb4c6f…
10-01 02:10:29	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	BUY	129	63¢	$81	0xe43fe1…
10-01 00:59:32	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe3fa80…
10-01 00:59:00	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xca68a4…
09-30 22:43:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x1ef04e…
09-30 17:24:35	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2aeebd…
09-30 14:05:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfcf186…
09-30 05:18:45	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9deca4…
09-30 00:37:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc2675e…
09-27 22:23:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x889d4c…
09-27 15:20:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	134	95¢	$128	0xef2d31…
09-27 01:27:12	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf7d596…
09-24 01:07:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x939b18…
09-22 12:34:46	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x5147bb…
09-18 09:20:04	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xff27de…
09-18 09:20:04	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfd520d…
09-18 09:20:04	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7d8a45…
09-18 09:20:04	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x72fdfd…
09-18 09:20:04	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2100b7…
09-18 09:20:03	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd37f46…
09-18 09:20:01	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0xdf5726…
09-14 13:50:24	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	180	99¢	$179	0x176a3e…
09-10 17:43:31	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94ac7d…
09-10 10:43:39	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	184	99¢	$183	0x0b1308…
09-10 00:05:33	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	184	99¢	$183	0x061034…
09-04 12:49:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x6daf17…
09-01 06:58:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x581de5…
09-01 01:52:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x36b2f1…
08-27 18:30:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0x411aa9…
08-26 23:04:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xe69316…
08-26 16:43:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	173	97¢	$167	0xcbaf99…
08-26 14:30:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x70e6e2…
08-25 15:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xcceac5…
08-25 04:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	0¢	$0	0x978007…
08-25 04:14:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	173	97¢	$167	0x51115c…
08-25 03:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1672ab…
08-25 03:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd17cf9…
08-25 02:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xb803f9…
08-25 01:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x82a94d…
08-23 02:55:45	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe9df3…
08-21 21:20:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xdafa58…
08-18 23:17:15	Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x7ca149…
08-13 21:34:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xecfccf…
08-13 08:46:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	174	96¢	$167	0xbbcf82…
08-12 03:50:49	will wti dip to 40 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3af0b6…
08-12 00:57:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x7cdff7…
08-09 20:55:21	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc1b8b9…
08-06 20:40:41	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84a108…
08-06 12:24:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0xd4453f…
08-05 14:16:27	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x6c1efd…
07-31 14:41:00	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	57	26¢	$15	0x1eab61…
07-31 10:03:51	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x91a863…
07-30 08:20:24	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xd160b1…
07-28 11:50:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x63db84…
07-27 12:59:54	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x36ac9d…
07-27 03:48:48	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8d2379…
07-25 08:53:42	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x332aa7…
07-24 18:03:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8480e1…
07-24 03:03:58	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0ac7e…
07-22 07:29:48	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x276ea9…
07-20 19:51:55	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa3a2dc…
07-20 18:19:48	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x04c337…
07-20 12:43:00	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xccb188…
07-17 22:03:21	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe689a9…
07-17 10:29:54	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb8d8e1…
07-06 08:11:19	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe7d4ca…
07-05 09:42:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2a57b3…
07-02 03:09:04	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x65eacd…
06-29 20:01:32	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb36927…
06-29 07:56:32	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf62655…
06-29 07:29:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x415212…
06-29 06:24:38	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa12f3b…
06-29 04:54:59	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7721c0…
06-29 02:44:40	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x531341…
06-29 01:01:26	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x407a55…
06-27 15:59:08	Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x20af96…
06-26 21:27:29	Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xf34d7e…
06-26 04:26:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x9e308b…
05-30 08:19:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$86	0xe377f5…
05-30 03:01:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x509910…