Oval-Tailspin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.2%

Resolved

116

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$203

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-14 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Sports

95% 55% +$6

Crypto

5% 96% -$9

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10.2K	5,098	5,098	+0	No	-$5	05-14 03:27
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10.0K	5,017	5,017	+0	No	-$5	05-14 10:59
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$4.3K	2,152	2,152	+0	No	-$2	02-19 01:26
bitcoin above 90k on january 17	1	$216	217	0	+217	Yes	+$0	01-17 00:21
bitcoin above 90k on january 18	1	$212	212	0	+212	Yes	+$0	01-18 02:58
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$211	212	0	+212	Yes	+$0	01-15 22:16
bitcoin above 90k on january 15	1	$196	196	0	+196	Yes	+$0	01-15 05:04
bitcoin above 94k on january 8	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	01-08 14:57
bitcoin above 84k on january 7	1	$58	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	01-05 23:40
bitcoin above 84k on january 5	1	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	01-05 02:12
bitcoin above 84k on january 27	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	01-27 05:58
bitcoin above 94k on january 23	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	01-23 10:14
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	01-19 05:51
bitcoin above 96k on january 22	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	01-22 03:44
bitcoin above 86k on january 20	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	01-20 06:02
nba uta chi 2026 01 14	2	$16	31	0	+31	Bulls	+$2	01-14 04:02
nfl car tb 2026 01 04	1	$14	23	0	+23	Buccaneers	+$9	01-03 21:19
nba cle den 2026 02 09	1	$12	23	0	+23	Cavaliers	+$11	02-08 23:20
nba atl den 2026 01 09	1	$10	18	0	+18	Hawks	-$10	01-09 03:26
bitcoin above 88k on january 7	1	$10	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$10	01-07 07:09
nhl min lak 2026 01 03	1	$7	14	0	+14	Kings	-$7	01-03 17:04
nhl utah nyr 2026 01 05	1	$5	10	0	+10	Utah	+$5	01-05 22:56
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 160 179	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-16 20:43
nfl was phi 2026 01 04	1	$4	11	0	+11	Commanders	+$7	01-03 23:49
will crime 101 opening weekend box office be less than 14m	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-15 22:34
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-16 20:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-02 19:35
ethereum above 1600 on february 11	2	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	02-11 10:48
bitcoin above 64k on february 14	2	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	02-14 02:47
bitcoin above 62k on february 13	2	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	02-13 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 11:05:08	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd53030…
05-14 11:02:03	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6e69f…
05-14 10:59:20	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5,017	100¢	$5,002	0x856a98…
05-14 10:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0a6c93…
05-14 10:50:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x15ee54…
05-14 10:46:02	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5,017	100¢	$5,007	0x067cff…
05-14 10:38:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda9391…
05-14 03:29:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20087b…
05-14 03:27:06	Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5,098	100¢	$5,082	0x33178b…
05-14 03:14:37	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x167e6a…
05-14 03:10:44	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4a8331…
05-14 03:00:51	Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5,098	100¢	$5,087	0x3007a9…
05-14 02:47:03	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34dfa2…
05-02 19:37:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc147df…
05-02 19:35:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8882ff…
05-01 22:59:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e2ba9…
04-01 09:40:57	highest temperature in toronto on april 1 2026 13c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62ec7b…
03-25 08:49:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07ce9d…
03-25 08:46:13	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 420 439	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd32a0…
03-25 08:18:55	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a4ee4…
03-18 21:54:13	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 18	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc361e…
03-13 14:42:15	ethereum above 2300 on march 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x919420…
03-05 15:31:45	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 165 189	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd94eda…
02-24 18:03:02	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x1803ff…
02-19 01:31:02	bitcoin above 72k on february 19	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd67f67…
02-19 01:28:12	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 400 419	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x466858…
02-19 01:26:12	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	2,152	100¢	$2,148	0x2235bc…
02-19 01:23:48	bitcoin above 64k on february 19	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x417ac0…
02-19 01:21:12	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 380 399	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdb659c…
02-19 01:17:58	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x94d570…
02-19 01:15:26	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17642a…
02-19 01:07:52	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	2,152	100¢	$2,150	0x4968fa…
02-19 01:05:10	will natus vincere win pgl cluj napoca 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa6646d…
02-19 00:44:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on february 19	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb3427d…
02-19 00:40:00	bitcoin above 74k on february 20	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x983bb3…
02-16 20:54:15	ethereum above 2400 on february 17	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x660bf1…
02-16 20:52:59	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 320 339	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe144d6…
02-16 20:51:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 17	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xae9ff5…
02-16 20:50:09	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9fb21f…
02-16 20:49:31	bitcoin above 60k on february 18	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb750b2…
02-16 20:48:33	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be between 20m and 23m	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x29ebf7…
02-16 20:43:55	donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x46ba22…
02-16 20:42:21	donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd588e9…
02-16 20:41:39	ethereum above 2200 on february 17	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4616ad…
02-15 22:34:03	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be less than 14m	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4c1f81…
02-15 22:32:13	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be less than 14m	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b028e…
02-15 22:30:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xee3aef…
02-15 22:29:09	bitcoin above 74k on february 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x033558…
02-15 22:28:15	will bitcoin reach 74k february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5297bd…
02-15 22:26:43	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 140 164	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf6ec2c…
02-15 22:24:23	will bitcoin reach 72k february 9 15	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3b6e08…
02-15 22:18:15	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 9 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30cfc1…
02-15 22:16:41	will xrp dip to 1pt3 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfc36aa…
02-15 22:10:45	will ethereum dip to 1500 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcf0d6d…
02-14 23:11:57	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 520 539	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe0e3d1…
02-14 23:09:09	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b20ce…
02-14 23:08:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x896ab0…
02-14 23:06:59	ethereum above 2400 on february 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x059206…
02-14 23:06:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe5637…
02-14 23:02:41	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 500 519	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x974388…
02-14 23:00:39	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 240plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b644d…
02-14 03:02:51	will xrp reach 2pt1 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe5bb70…
02-14 02:58:57	will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x92192d…
02-14 02:55:21	will solana dip to 40 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68c0ec…
02-14 02:54:05	will ethereum dip to 1400 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1004ce…
02-14 02:52:39	bitcoin above 60k on february 15	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6213d2…
02-14 02:47:47	bitcoin above 64k on february 14	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x723526…
02-14 02:45:13	will solana reach 120 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a8c05…
02-14 02:43:31	ethereum above 2300 on february 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb57173…
02-14 00:20:31	will xrp dip to 1pt1 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x777d06…
02-14 00:18:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd68b0…
02-14 00:16:01	bitcoin above 64k on february 14	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x200c24…
02-14 00:14:49	will xrp dip to 0pt7 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05e31a…
02-14 00:12:41	will ethereum dip to 1600 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf81937…
02-14 00:11:05	will xrp reach 2 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b23ae…
02-14 00:03:49	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 115 139	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x427010…
02-14 00:01:25	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on february 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcbe035…
02-13 23:59:35	2026 att pebble beach pro am winner billy horschel win	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60a32f…
02-13 23:57:19	will bitcoin reach 82k february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x099b22…
02-13 14:39:13	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x688806…
02-13 14:37:27	bitcoin above 72k on february 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d480e…
02-13 14:35:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ca57b…
02-13 14:33:59	bitcoin above 62k on february 13	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc5705…
02-13 14:29:07	ethereum above 2200 on february 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x590b78…
02-13 14:25:39	bitcoin above 62k on february 13	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4edf9b…
02-13 14:23:17	will mrbeasts latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4e512e…
02-13 14:19:31	will xrp reach 1pt8 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe94d03…
02-12 12:53:37	xrp above 1pt2 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0003a2…
02-12 12:52:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69baaf…
02-12 12:52:01	solana above 90 on february 12	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb95aa2…
02-12 12:51:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19dcfb…
02-12 12:50:11	bitcoin above 74k on february 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a1a7f…
02-12 12:48:11	ethereum above 2300 on february 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fb2f8…
02-11 10:49:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60d7b0…
02-11 10:48:07	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5ff7e…
02-11 10:47:33	xrp above 1pt6 on february 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35685c…
02-11 10:46:57	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c111a…
02-11 10:46:17	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d1058…
02-09 14:39:11	bitcoin above 80k on february 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x15fdb0…
02-09 14:38:15	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 520 539	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb3e3f8…