Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$191

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

15.1%

Resolved

124

Trades

620

lifetime

Volume

$4.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$45

8 positions

First seen

2026-09-01

last 10-29 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

59% 16% -$115

Politics

35% 9% -$63

Tech

2% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

2% 33% -$4

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% 25% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$12	83¢	$17	+$5	10-08 00:14
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+16	$13	78¢	$12	$0	10-07 20:14
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+9	$7	99¢	$9	+$2	10-08 03:24
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+17	$4	22¢	$4	+$0	10-07 20:14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$8	17¢	$3	-$5	10-08 00:14
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	+2	$1	35¢	$1	$0	09-25 14:08
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	+1	$2	10¢	$0	-$2	09-14 18:27
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	+8	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-08 03:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	8	$81	160	0	+160	Yes	-$1	10-08 11:55
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	6	$64	120	0	+120	Yes	-$4	10-08 10:40
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 15	7	$63	70	70	+0	No	-$6	09-12 14:45
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?	8	$59	117	0	+117	open	—	10-08 11:35
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	9	$56	145	145	+0	No	+$5	09-04 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 4?	7	$54	102	0	+102	No	-$3	10-04 19:38
Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	6	$53	50	50	+0	No	-$6	09-09 19:33
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	6	$48	60	60	+0	open	—	09-07 16:25
Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	6	$46	90	0	+90	Yes	-$1	10-05 15:45
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in September?	4	$46	88	0	+88	No	-$1	10-05 04:40
Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?	4	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	10-12 11:57
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?	5	$44	80	0	+80	Yes	-$4	10-06 13:19
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 4?	6	$43	80	0	+80	Yes	-$3	10-04 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 4?	4	$42	83	0	+83	Yes	-$1	10-04 19:53
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	4	$42	80	0	+80	Yes	-$2	10-09 18:01
Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	4	$42	80	0	+80	Yes	-$2	10-05 14:13
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	4	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-08 11:19
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?	4	$40	80	0	+80	Yes	$0	10-05 08:37
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	09-28 01:52
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?	3	$38	77	0	+77	open	—	10-11 13:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	4	$37	75	0	+75	Yes	$0	10-04 17:53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?	4	$37	74	0	+74	open	—	10-07 17:29
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	4	$37	82	0	+82	No	+$4	10-01 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 100-101°F on October 4?	4	$35	70	0	+70	Yes	+$1	10-04 19:21
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	8	$35	72	72	+0	Yes	-$9	09-08 07:58
lindsay clancy convicted of manslaughter	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	09-04 06:51
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	7	$35	37	37	+0	Yes	$0	09-07 03:36
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of September 28 2026?	2	$34	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 20:52
Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?	5	$33	65	0	+65	open	—	10-09 09:10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	3	$33	47	7	+40	No	-$5	10-06 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:43:37	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x0115ca…
10-29 09:42:11	Will Democrats win the Michigan, Texas, and Ohio Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x50923f…
10-29 09:42:11	Will Democrats win the Michigan, Texas, and Ohio Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x190ff6…
10-29 09:42:02	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0bc435…
10-29 09:40:14	Will Notre Dame make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x938436…
10-29 09:40:05	Will Notre Dame make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa84de5…
10-14 05:08:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf95223…
10-14 05:08:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x1a7462…
10-14 03:16:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4082be…
10-14 03:00:56	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdf1e44…
10-14 00:31:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5a62fa…
10-14 00:31:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xd06249…
10-13 23:29:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xba2d50…
10-13 23:29:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x26380c…
10-13 21:23:52	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd4d83c…
10-13 21:23:51	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7ddf37…
10-13 19:33:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x46742d…
10-13 18:33:49	Will Gregor Kobel (Dortmund) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xccccde…
10-13 18:33:49	Will Gregor Kobel (Dortmund) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x678d97…
10-13 16:18:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb06f05…
10-13 16:18:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9b39e1…
10-13 13:48:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x876850…
10-13 13:48:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x79b6cc…
10-12 11:57:17	Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc3743b…
10-12 11:56:39	Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa045f2…
10-12 11:30:06	Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x7a5a2b…
10-12 11:30:06	Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x20f1e2…
10-12 09:23:49	Will the New York Jets have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xcff3f1…
10-12 09:23:49	Will the New York Jets have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x4369d6…
10-12 06:44:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc336e0…
10-12 06:44:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x411bf4…
10-12 06:38:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb43e77…
10-12 06:38:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x8ea04f…
10-12 06:24:14	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2afbaa…
10-12 06:24:09	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x3e809a…
10-12 06:05:15	Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xf9678e…
10-12 06:05:15	Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x94e559…
10-12 04:49:33	Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf76fe3…
10-12 04:49:33	Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9b5f06…
10-12 03:06:21	Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4950a9…
10-12 03:06:21	Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x31a9e6…
10-12 02:54:08	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 13?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xd72673…
10-12 02:54:03	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 13?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb5e4a9…
10-12 02:54:03	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 13?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x422163…
10-12 02:49:12	Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf9f8d1…
10-12 02:49:12	Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x2a8e82…
10-12 01:54:27	Will Liberty Flames Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xed4871…
10-12 01:54:27	Will Liberty Flames Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x69d842…
10-12 00:04:17	Will Virginia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xd54d6b…
10-12 00:04:17	Will Virginia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0x3b55b9…
10-11 23:11:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf26217…
10-11 23:11:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf32b92…
10-11 22:29:09	Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xee0ffd…
10-11 22:29:09	Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x7d2366…
10-11 21:30:35	Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd05065…
10-11 21:30:35	Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x3ea9fc…
10-11 18:31:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x91e4f4…
10-11 18:31:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x273875…
10-11 17:00:46	Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6c478e…
10-11 17:00:46	Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x37fdd1…
10-11 15:59:48	Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x79046f…
10-11 15:59:48	Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x4ce42a…
10-11 15:16:55	Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x54193c…
10-11 15:16:55	Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x371793…
10-11 14:47:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd15bf6…
10-11 14:21:18	Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xebbf42…
10-11 14:21:18	Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x5140b8…
10-11 14:05:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x217716…
10-11 14:05:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x0b7b21…
10-11 13:12:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0xf930ca…
10-11 13:12:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc97652…
10-11 13:12:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xba1791…
10-11 12:27:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xbf60a6…
10-11 12:27:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x3cf87a…
10-11 09:18:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd1ee71…
10-11 09:18:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6858ca…
10-11 09:17:30	Will Missouri have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9815b4…
10-11 09:17:30	Will Missouri have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x30b25a…
10-11 07:56:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xcb0ee3…
10-11 07:56:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0xf5a2d6…
10-11 06:46:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x3f7449…
10-11 06:46:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x32be42…
10-11 05:08:00	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd913fa…
10-11 05:08:00	Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb0aca1…
10-11 04:09:20	Will Oregon Ducks Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x7f0fd6…
10-11 04:09:20	Will Oregon Ducks Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x2b649d…
10-11 02:24:23	Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x224a89…
10-11 02:24:21	Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3229d1…
10-11 02:19:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x9750c2…
10-11 02:19:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x756a2d…
10-11 01:56:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0x40ebc4…
10-11 00:32:40	Will Toledo Rockets Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xaad358…
10-11 00:32:40	Will Toledo Rockets Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x0719c6…
10-10 15:09:24	Will Michael Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x5ee551…
10-10 15:09:24	Will Michael Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x53f8fa…
10-10 15:09:24	Will Michael Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x42c179…
10-10 14:56:39	Will Juan Brunetta (Tigres UANL) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x994279…
10-10 14:08:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xcd59c5…
10-10 11:00:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x45247b…
10-10 11:00:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x43058e…