Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$58

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

17.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

378

992 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.26K

$7.05K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

8 positions

First seen

2026-09-01

last 11-04 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

59% 16% -$142

Politics

32% 15% -$76

Pop-Culture

4% 33% -$4

Tech

2% 0% -$10

Crypto

2% 25% -$3

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$12	98¢	$20	+$8	10-08 00:14
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+16	$13	72¢	$11	-$1	10-07 20:14
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+16	$4	29¢	$5	+$1	10-31 00:00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$8	2¢	$0	-$8	10-08 00:14
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	+1	$1	18¢	$0	-$1	10-30 21:09
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	+2	$1	13¢	$0	-$1	09-25 14:08
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	+0	$0	68¢	$0	+$0	10-30 14:14
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	+1	$2	9¢	$0	-$2	09-14 18:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	48	$346	474	355	+119	No	$0	11-02 18:36
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	15	$127	97	96	+1	open	—	11-02 03:58
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	11	$117	90	90	+0	No	+$0	11-02 22:05
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	8	$81	160	0	+160	Yes	-$1	10-08 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2?	15	$78	152	112	+40	No	-$1	11-02 16:52
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	6	$64	120	0	+120	Yes	-$4	10-08 10:40
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 15	7	$63	70	70	+0	No	-$6	09-12 14:45
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	8	$61	90	50	+40	No	-$1	10-30 16:41
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?	8	$59	117	0	+117	open	—	10-08 11:35
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	4	$59	60	20	+40	open	—	11-02 21:11
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by November 30?	3	$57	40	20	+20	open	—	11-02 18:45
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	9	$56	145	145	+0	No	+$5	09-04 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 4?	7	$54	102	0	+102	No	-$3	10-04 19:38
Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	6	$53	50	50	+0	No	-$6	09-09 19:33
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	4	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	10-30 12:53
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	6	$48	60	60	+0	open	—	09-07 16:25
Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	6	$46	90	0	+90	Yes	-$1	10-05 15:45
Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	12	$46	186	161	+25	open	—	11-03 10:55
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in September?	4	$46	88	0	+88	No	-$1	10-05 04:40
Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?	4	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	10-12 11:57
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?	5	$44	80	0	+80	Yes	-$4	10-06 13:19
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 4?	6	$43	80	0	+80	Yes	-$3	10-04 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 4?	4	$42	83	0	+83	Yes	-$1	10-04 19:53
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	4	$42	80	0	+80	Yes	-$2	10-09 18:01
Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	4	$42	80	0	+80	Yes	-$2	10-05 14:13
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	8	$42	100	34	+66	No	-$2	11-03 00:00
Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	9	$42	130	80	+50	open	—	11-02 16:32
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	4	$41	80	0	+80	Yes	-$1	10-08 11:19
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	6	$41	60	60	+0	No	+$0	11-02 21:58
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?	4	$40	80	0	+80	Yes	$0	10-05 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:50:03	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x4dea07…
11-03 12:37:01	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x4a1563…
11-03 10:55:28	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	SELL	153	6¢	$9	0x2c7f66…
11-03 10:40:19	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x148ca3…
11-03 10:36:07	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x465c4e…
11-03 09:52:52	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf80ee9…
11-03 09:52:52	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc8a577…
11-03 09:52:52	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xaa3c3a…
11-03 09:52:52	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x763836…
11-03 09:52:52	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x580c0d…
11-03 09:52:52	Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4fd237…
11-03 09:52:52	Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x259433…
11-03 09:52:52	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x2079da…
11-03 09:52:52	Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0c3479…
11-03 09:36:55	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xd68ec4…
11-03 09:36:55	Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x93a9b1…
11-03 09:36:55	Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8a4eb5…
11-03 09:36:54	Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3782af…
11-03 09:36:54	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3247ab…
11-03 09:36:54	Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x324194…
11-03 09:36:52	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x70f4f4…
11-03 09:36:52	Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4d0503…
11-03 09:36:52	Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x098bdf…
11-03 09:35:55	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xc9f871…
11-03 06:28:24	Will Revolut have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x6e873e…
11-03 02:07:27	Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xd1ed6f…
11-03 02:04:54	Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x19a142…
11-03 02:02:46	Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x3e68c3…
11-03 01:26:22	Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9a06c9…
11-03 01:26:22	Will Revolut have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7218c0…
11-03 01:26:22	Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x13eacf…
11-03 01:26:21	Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa0f2de…
11-03 00:46:18	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by November 30?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8b0ddf…
11-03 00:45:40	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8f693b…
11-03 00:45:33	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcd3664…
11-03 00:26:30	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0f7ad4…
11-03 00:11:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 70% or more?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xaba715…
11-03 00:00:31	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xc3d68f…
11-03 00:00:31	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x95cbab…
11-03 00:00:16	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdd005c…
11-03 00:00:15	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xf14029…
11-03 00:00:15	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6dd097…
11-03 00:00:15	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6b90b5…
11-02 22:29:03	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1df6d0…
11-02 22:12:31	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x54241c…
11-02 22:06:09	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6d7712…
11-02 22:05:57	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xdb1cda…
11-02 22:05:57	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x0d930e…
11-02 22:05:34	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x720d69…
11-02 22:05:34	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x55b7f2…
11-02 22:05:27	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x50d019…
11-02 22:05:27	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x50d019…
11-02 21:58:55	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf1b90e…
11-02 21:57:34	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc31d45…
11-02 21:48:37	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xc14a8c…
11-02 21:47:49	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xef0743…
11-02 21:32:42	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by November 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x315d41…
11-02 21:30:54	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x87cdb0…
11-02 21:30:54	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x5aa9a6…
11-02 21:30:54	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x5aa9a6…
11-02 21:11:24	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x8054ac…
11-02 21:10:37	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x4e7641…
11-02 21:10:07	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xfbfc36…
11-02 21:09:45	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf339f9…
11-02 19:57:12	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2878ef…
11-02 19:06:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa2d9d0…
11-02 19:04:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6c02fd…
11-02 18:56:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbd736e…
11-02 18:45:45	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by November 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8b4310…
11-02 18:41:42	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9925d9…
11-02 18:41:16	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by November 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x76056a…
11-02 18:40:03	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by November 30?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x53a96c…
11-02 18:38:37	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by November 30?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x790fdf…
11-02 18:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x0637e4…
11-02 18:36:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x207823…
11-02 18:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8ba30d…
11-02 18:27:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xecd34e…
11-02 18:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x7c939e…
11-02 18:13:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe1b0d2…
11-02 18:12:19	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdcd216…
11-02 18:12:19	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x91416d…
11-02 18:10:31	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x0c985e…
11-02 18:09:13	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x378284…
11-02 18:06:04	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xa722a1…
11-02 18:06:04	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x416f7e…
11-02 18:06:03	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x43fad8…
11-02 18:06:03	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x072ecf…
11-02 18:06:01	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd1bdab…
11-02 18:06:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc00324…
11-02 18:05:57	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xf5b505…
11-02 18:05:57	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xe06fd8…
11-02 18:02:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x344d99…
11-02 18:02:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x344d99…
11-02 17:50:48	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x15d803…
11-02 17:49:40	Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xccaa66…
11-02 17:48:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x140d77…
11-02 17:48:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x140d77…
11-02 17:44:39	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x603069…
11-02 17:44:39	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2904f2…
11-02 17:44:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf7500d…