Realized P&L (30d)
-$124
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
15.4%
Resolved (30d)
87
Trades (30d)
502
1,001 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.28K
$7.14K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$355
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-01
last 11-06 16:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
59% 17% -$145
Politics
32% 16% -$78
Pop-Culture
4% 33% -$4
Crypto
3% 25% -$3
Tech
2% 0% -$10
Sports
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings Yes +20 $12 99¢ $20 +$8 09-25 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 8? No -20 -$14 100¢ $-20 -$6 11-06 15:57
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? No +20 $14 98¢ $20 +$5 10-05 10:08
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $12 97¢ $19 +$7 10-08 00:14
Will Oregon Ducks Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship? No +20 $18 89¢ $18 -$1 10-11 04:09
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? No +20 $18 88¢ $18 $0 10-13 21:23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 5%-10%? No +20 $16 82¢ $16 +$0 10-14 05:08
Will Gregor Kobel (Dortmund) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? Yes +20 $10 78¢ $16 +$5 10-13 18:33
will ukraine re enter terny by december 31 2026 No +20 $12 78¢ $16 +$4 10-04 17:09
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? No +20 $16 78¢ $16 $0 10-12 06:24
Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? No +20 $16 74¢ $15 -$1 10-12 06:05
Will Michael Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $12 72¢ $14 +$2 10-10 15:09
will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2 No +22 $12 64¢ $14 +$2 10-02 04:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +20 $11 65¢ $13 +$2 10-11 06:46
Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14? No +13 $12 98¢ $12 $0 11-02 17:50
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +16 $13 74¢ $12 -$1 10-07 20:14
Will Toledo Rockets Win the 2026 MAC Championship? No +17 $13 64¢ $11 -$2 10-11 00:32
Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? No +20 $13 50¢ $10 -$2 10-11 17:00
Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? Yes +20 $7 50¢ $10 +$2 10-11 17:00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +10 $3 85¢ $8 +$6 10-07 15:10
will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2 Yes +22 $10 36¢ $8 -$2 10-02 07:42
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%? No +20 $17 35¢ $7 -$10 10-11 06:46
Will Toledo Rockets Win the 2026 MAC Championship? Yes +18 $4 36¢ $6 +$2 10-11 00:32
Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship? Yes +10 $4 60¢ $6 +$2 10-12 02:49
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000? Yes +11 $3 50¢ $6 +$3 10-07 15:38
Will Michael Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +20 $8 28¢ $6 -$3 10-10 15:09
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000? No +11 $8 50¢ $5 -$3 10-07 15:38
Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? Yes +20 $4 26¢ $5 +$2 10-12 06:05
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +20 $5 22¢ $4 -$1 10-12 06:24
will ukraine re enter terny by december 31 2026 Yes +20 $9 22¢ $4 -$4 10-04 17:09