Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
54.2%
Resolved
192
Trades
203
lifetime
Volume
$673
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$39
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 10-29 06:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
66% 51% -$39
Politics
33% 54% +$33
Tech
1% 33% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $6 80¢ $9 +$3 05-11 18:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $5 74¢ $6 +$2 05-31 07:26
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 07-10 04:44
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 06-21 05:47
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 58¢ $5 $0 06-20 08:19
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +8 $2 36¢ $3 +$1 05-13 19:31
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $1 26¢ $2 +$0 05-14 03:50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 30¢ $1 -$1 06-01 06:47
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $7 6¢ $1 -$6 05-29 01:06