Realized P&L
-$13.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.40K
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
595
Trades
5,863
lifetime
Volume
$1.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$262
Open exposure
$32.9K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 03:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
63% 73% -$8,700
Crypto
27% 77% +$2,896
Politics
6% 63% -$8,391
Tech
4% 55% +$205
Sports
0% 100% +$109
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +13,031 $12,367 97¢ $12.6K +$260 11-04 01:00
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +12,028 $6,354 49¢ $5.9K -$448 11-14 00:13
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No -3,625 -$652 90¢ $-3262 -$2,610 05-07 05:29
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +3,193 $2,985 98¢ $3.1K +$144 11-15 03:57
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? Yes +2,138 $1,832 95¢ $2.0K +$194 11-12 10:08
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,057 $2,043 98¢ $2.0K -$19 11-12 09:16
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -1,126 -$874 98¢ $-1104 -$230 05-07 05:26
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +1,000 $840 97¢ $967 +$127 11-09 22:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,000 $870 77¢ $772 -$98 11-11 07:13
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -907 -$395 70¢ $-630 -$235 06-12 05:31
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -263 -$141 75¢ $-197 -$57 06-12 05:31
Will AlloX FDV be above $80M one day after launch? Yes +181 $78 46¢ $84 +$6 10-07 01:28
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +100 $64 76¢ $76 +$11 10-28 20:55
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,922 $429 3¢ $55 -$374 08-27 09:26
saturn fdv above 50m one day after launch 20260623191424367 Yes +7 $6 70¢ $5 -$1 08-08 07:43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$0 08-14 19:27
ostium fdv above 50m one day after launch Yes +60 $16 4¢ $3 -$13 07-16 03:46
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 29¢ $1 $0 10-10 08:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$940 86¢ $0 +$940 11-12 14:01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-15 21:09