Realized P&L
+$2.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$198
Hit rate
96.0%
Resolved
48
Trades
370
lifetime
Volume
$106.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$286
Open exposure
$3.24K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-04 09:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Politics
91% 88% +$2,514
Other
9% 88% +$93
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,543 $2,197 93¢ $2.4K +$175 11-03 20:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +402 $334 96¢ $386 +$52 11-03 18:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +379 $315 90¢ $343 +$28 11-03 16:51
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +99 $90 88¢ $87 -$3 11-03 16:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +264 $103 18¢ $49 -$54 11-04 09:01