Bright-Forecast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$79

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$61

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

86% 67% +$2

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	+30	$23	80¢	$24	+$1	05-13 16:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	-17	$-11	98¢	$-16	$-6	05-07 12:10
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Weibo Gaming	+30	$10	34¢	$10	+$0	05-14 03:00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	+13	$10	78¢	$10	+$0	05-14 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 03:00:18	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Weibo Gaming	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5cdf67…
05-14 03:00:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0316c3…
05-13 16:37:34	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa39cf0…
05-13 16:37:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xf2f040…
05-07 12:21:22	LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LNG Esports	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x70b006…
05-07 12:10:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x682e68…
05-06 20:36:43	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x0c1a17…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	05-13 16:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$11	0	17	-17	open	—	05-07 12:10
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	1	$10	13	0	+13	LNG Esports	+$3	05-07 12:21
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	1	$10	13	0	+13	Xtreme Gaming	+$3	05-13 16:37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-14 03:00
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 03:00
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	0	9	-9	Yes	$-4	05-06 20:36