Important-Doughnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

45,893 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$80

$166.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 11-01 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% -$2,274

Other

0% 40% -$109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:50 UTC	42	$116	92	87	+5	Down	-$4	03-26 14:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 14:00 UTC	20	$112	157	0	+157	Down	+$45	04-14 14:03
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	4	$110	200	0	+200	Morocco	-$110	06-30 01:35
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 06:00 UTC	7	$106	144	0	+144	Down	+$38	03-13 06:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 10:15 UTC	8	$103	168	0	+168	Up	-$103	03-13 10:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC	25	$96	151	0	+151	Up	-$80	02-21 00:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:15 UTC	4	$95	117	0	+117	Up	+$23	02-19 06:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 10:00 UTC	24	$94	125	0	+125	Down	+$31	08-16 10:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 23:30 UTC	7	$93	128	0	+128	Down	+$35	03-12 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:25 UTC	32	$89	84	83	+1	Up	-$1	03-26 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:30 UTC	41	$88	171	0	+171	Down	-$13	03-26 13:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC	24	$87	148	0	+148	Down	+$22	02-21 00:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 01:15 UTC	7	$86	134	0	+134	Down	-$86	03-12 01:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	7	$86	129	0	+129	Up	-$86	03-17 11:35
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 23:00 UTC	5	$84	103	0	+103	Down	+$19	03-16 23:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 22:15 UTC	6	$83	123	0	+123	Down	+$40	03-16 22:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 09:30 UTC	25	$78	127	0	+127	Down	+$49	08-16 09:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:30 UTC	3	$77	117	0	+117	Down	+$28	02-19 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:45 UTC	9	$74	105	0	+105	Up	+$5	02-19 03:57
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 00:10 UTC	12	$71	100	0	+100	Up	+$28	02-21 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 07:15 UTC	23	$71	164	0	+164	Up	+$2	02-19 07:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:30 UTC	5	$70	92	0	+92	Up	+$21	03-13 22:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 12:30 UTC	6	$70	81	0	+81	Down	+$12	03-16 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:00 UTC	14	$69	114	0	+114	Up	+$5	02-19 06:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 12:00 UTC	30	$67	140	0	+140	Up	+$13	02-24 12:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 12:15 UTC	13	$65	82	0	+82	Up	+$17	04-14 12:24
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:15 UTC	6	$64	86	0	+86	Up	+$22	02-19 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	19	$64	128	0	+128	Down	-$4	03-25 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 23:10 UTC	4	$64	340	0	+340	Up	-$44	02-24 23:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 10:00 UTC	10	$61	72	0	+72	Down	+$11	04-14 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xeb7d3e…
11-01 15:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xbcbfde…
11-01 03:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x06d4f4…
11-01 01:03:09	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x21f8eb…
10-31 22:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xed205b…
10-31 22:08:09	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xbb1f00…
10-31 21:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x52e5b4…
10-31 21:03:09	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x322b28…
10-31 12:08:10	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x296df4…
10-31 08:03:10	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x069d50…
10-31 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf31a43…
10-29 11:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa3aee8…
10-28 07:33:08	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdac754…
10-28 06:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x05f644…
10-28 00:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7a4841…
10-27 20:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x755198…
10-27 07:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x565691…
10-27 04:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6c16db…
10-26 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc44372…
10-25 05:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe5fc33…
10-25 04:58:08	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x82fbbb…
10-24 20:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4d77c7…
10-24 13:38:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3eb20d…
10-24 05:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xe6c2df…
10-24 05:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe00da9…
10-24 02:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xcb4f16…
10-24 02:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x920689…
10-23 11:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe05ed1…
10-13 22:38:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x873d12…
10-13 22:08:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf6a0d9…
10-13 07:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xec7248…
10-12 04:03:09	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbe55d5…
10-12 00:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4598fb…
10-11 21:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xefd9a3…
10-11 13:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc800a2…
10-11 12:08:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xda0260…
10-11 11:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x089909…
10-11 00:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe82944…
10-10 22:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x214d55…
10-10 21:03:09	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x970757…
10-10 20:58:10	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x94bfff…
10-10 18:08:06	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x831053…
10-10 17:23:07	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2364d3…
10-10 13:13:09	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc4086b…
10-10 13:13:09	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x310628…
10-10 11:48:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf221c3…
10-10 11:43:09	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdf8c73…
10-10 11:09:07	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x16f70e…
10-10 09:03:09	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf2fa35…
10-10 06:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x91787b…
10-09 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x13f081…
10-07 21:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6cb4b6…
10-07 06:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd87ff4…
10-07 02:19:32	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd87a16…
10-07 02:19:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4742c9…
10-06 10:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x78dfde…
10-06 06:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x476789…
10-05 20:03:08	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8272ba…
10-05 18:23:08	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe11e2a…
10-04 22:08:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe67c0f…
10-04 21:48:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x18a64e…
10-04 20:39:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xefea34…
10-04 19:13:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb45555…
10-04 03:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc05db1…
10-04 02:18:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x174c91…
10-04 00:33:08	XRP Up or Down - October 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x71ca00…
10-04 00:08:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7d0d00…
10-04 00:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8af4ce…
10-03 23:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x46e7ab…
10-03 22:21:35	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4dfcc3…
10-03 20:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x968857…
10-03 09:03:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe39a96…
10-03 07:03:09	XRP Up or Down - October 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xaf025d…
10-03 05:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x499ebe…
10-03 04:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x485207…
10-03 02:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd2f318…
10-03 02:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7edf9e…
10-03 02:33:08	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xee84f1…
10-02 23:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x11e190…
10-02 23:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0e2e71…
10-02 22:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xc1bcb2…
10-02 00:08:09	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd71b39…
10-01 12:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9a4a70…
10-01 12:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x08a8de…
10-01 03:33:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5ddd27…
10-01 00:58:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x16971f…
09-30 21:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3b6295…
09-30 21:28:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x35135c…
09-30 02:53:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xae724a…
09-29 22:42:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1011d5…
09-29 21:38:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe275c1…
09-29 21:18:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5613b1…
09-28 21:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe93e1e…
09-27 21:25:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc808f7…
09-27 21:18:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1cf183…
09-27 18:33:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf605f8…
09-27 09:26:20	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x696ed2…
09-25 05:18:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1fbfe6…
09-24 09:40:59	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x22f1cf…
09-24 01:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xc45234…