Important-Doughnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

25,462

Trades

46,104

lifetime

Volume

$166.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-16

last 11-05 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% -$2,318

Other

0% 40% -$109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - November 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$2	11-05 17:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:50 UTC	42	$116	92	87	+5	Down	-$4	03-26 14:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 14:00 UTC	20	$112	157	0	+157	Down	+$45	04-14 14:03
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	4	$110	200	0	+200	Morocco	-$110	06-30 01:35
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 06:00 UTC	7	$106	144	0	+144	Down	+$38	03-13 06:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 10:15 UTC	8	$103	168	0	+168	Up	-$103	03-13 10:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC	25	$96	151	0	+151	Up	-$80	02-21 00:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:15 UTC	4	$95	117	0	+117	Up	+$23	02-19 06:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 10:00 UTC	24	$94	125	0	+125	Down	+$31	08-16 10:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 23:30 UTC	7	$93	128	0	+128	Down	+$35	03-12 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:25 UTC	32	$89	84	83	+1	Up	-$1	03-26 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:30 UTC	41	$88	171	0	+171	Down	-$13	03-26 13:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC	24	$87	148	0	+148	Down	+$22	02-21 00:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 01:15 UTC	7	$86	134	0	+134	Down	-$86	03-12 01:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	7	$86	129	0	+129	Up	-$86	03-17 11:35
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 23:00 UTC	5	$84	103	0	+103	Down	+$19	03-16 23:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 22:15 UTC	6	$83	123	0	+123	Down	+$40	03-16 22:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 09:30 UTC	25	$78	127	0	+127	Down	+$49	08-16 09:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:30 UTC	3	$77	117	0	+117	Down	+$28	02-19 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:45 UTC	9	$74	105	0	+105	Up	+$5	02-19 03:57
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 00:10 UTC	12	$71	100	0	+100	Up	+$28	02-21 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 07:15 UTC	23	$71	164	0	+164	Up	+$2	02-19 07:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:30 UTC	5	$70	92	0	+92	Up	+$21	03-13 22:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 12:30 UTC	6	$70	81	0	+81	Down	+$12	03-16 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:00 UTC	14	$69	114	0	+114	Up	+$5	02-19 06:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 12:00 UTC	30	$67	140	0	+140	Up	+$13	02-24 12:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 12:15 UTC	13	$65	82	0	+82	Up	+$17	04-14 12:24
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:15 UTC	6	$64	86	0	+86	Up	+$22	02-19 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	19	$64	128	0	+128	Down	-$4	03-25 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 23:10 UTC	4	$64	340	0	+340	Up	-$44	02-24 23:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 10:00 UTC	10	$61	72	0	+72	Down	+$11	04-14 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:29:13	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x435fca…
11-05 17:14:12	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc0b97c…
11-05 16:59:12	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x96ba5f…
11-05 16:43:12	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdb0bcc…
11-05 16:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe10425…
11-05 15:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb82768…
11-05 15:54:16	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xad2821…
11-05 15:54:15	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe1d0dc…
11-05 15:54:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2b999e…
11-05 15:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3410ed…
11-05 15:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8f21fe…
11-05 15:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x304807…
11-05 15:14:10	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x800ba5…
11-05 15:13:13	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9a5b6d…
11-05 15:13:13	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x919edb…
11-05 15:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0904fb…
11-05 15:09:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3670d4…
11-05 15:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfe4908…
11-05 15:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa07b58…
11-05 14:59:15	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd0b7a8…
11-05 14:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3918fb…
11-05 14:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6355f2…
11-05 14:58:15	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe6b134…
11-05 14:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x734c14…
11-05 14:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xac4567…
11-05 14:54:12	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdae1ef…
11-05 14:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd57e58…
11-05 14:49:10	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1e8e9a…
11-05 14:44:13	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x66fb82…
11-05 14:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x431126…
11-05 14:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x865f04…
11-05 14:39:13	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6275ab…
11-05 14:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7eb25c…
11-05 14:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa64ad2…
11-05 14:13:16	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xadad9a…
11-05 14:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf966d9…
11-05 14:13:13	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd5bf70…
11-05 14:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x12b57f…
11-05 13:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xec2f5b…
11-05 13:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa74bbf…
11-05 13:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9e2266…
11-05 12:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd397f1…
11-05 12:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x354276…
11-05 12:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd93288…
11-05 12:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x56c910…
11-05 12:49:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa910ab…
11-05 12:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x237222…
11-05 12:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x34e5db…
11-05 12:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xae6565…
11-05 12:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4fd976…
11-05 12:39:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc5d9c4…
11-05 12:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x62cc21…
11-05 12:34:16	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4e9405…
11-05 12:34:15	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2a8c57…
11-05 12:34:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbc5d0d…
11-05 12:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x158a76…
11-05 12:29:12	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9234ce…
11-05 12:28:12	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x77274e…
11-05 12:09:10	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4b694d…
11-05 08:59:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-05 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5f10fa…
11-05 08:34:12	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc5ba6f…
11-05 08:34:10	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x289a1a…
11-05 08:29:12	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6cf22a…
11-05 08:29:10	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x709e4e…
11-05 07:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7fc47f…
11-05 07:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x698b48…
11-05 07:09:10	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7783ea…
11-05 03:44:12	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x72e14a…
11-05 03:44:10	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2d8ef5…
11-05 02:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3a47ea…
11-05 01:19:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd468ee…
11-05 01:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3aae29…
11-04 22:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe7bdd4…
11-04 22:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2d7448…
11-04 22:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe5ce4a…
11-04 22:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7b4022…
11-04 22:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3248b3…
11-04 22:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1ca420…
11-04 22:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x92a2be…
11-04 22:29:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x96b579…
11-04 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf99ee0…
11-04 22:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x94b4a0…
11-04 19:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbeeb34…
11-04 18:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdf81f1…
11-04 17:14:15	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9c172b…
11-04 17:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc3e67c…
11-04 17:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xca7c3f…
11-04 16:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7c2b53…
11-04 15:59:18	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3d92fa…
11-04 15:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x50bea8…
11-04 15:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfd253f…
11-04 15:44:21	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x412d40…
11-04 15:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6c548f…
11-04 15:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf42d4c…
11-04 15:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdc1e20…
11-04 15:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x012cf4…
11-04 15:29:16	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1e0fa8…
11-04 15:29:15	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x141c5e…
11-04 15:29:12	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x558602…
11-04 15:29:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7b29d7…