Important-Doughnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$22

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved (30d)

146

Trades (30d)

167

45,987 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$643

$166.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-16

last 11-04 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$2,298

Other

0% 40% -$109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$2	11-04 12:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:50 UTC	42	$116	92	87	+5	Down	-$4	03-26 14:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 14:00 UTC	20	$112	157	0	+157	Down	+$45	04-14 14:03
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	4	$110	200	0	+200	Morocco	-$110	06-30 01:35
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 06:00 UTC	7	$106	144	0	+144	Down	+$38	03-13 06:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 10:15 UTC	8	$103	168	0	+168	Up	-$103	03-13 10:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC	25	$96	151	0	+151	Up	-$80	02-21 00:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:15 UTC	4	$95	117	0	+117	Up	+$23	02-19 06:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 10:00 UTC	24	$94	125	0	+125	Down	+$31	08-16 10:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 23:30 UTC	7	$93	128	0	+128	Down	+$35	03-12 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:25 UTC	32	$89	84	83	+1	Up	-$1	03-26 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:30 UTC	41	$88	171	0	+171	Down	-$13	03-26 13:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC	24	$87	148	0	+148	Down	+$22	02-21 00:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 01:15 UTC	7	$86	134	0	+134	Down	-$86	03-12 01:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	7	$86	129	0	+129	Up	-$86	03-17 11:35
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 23:00 UTC	5	$84	103	0	+103	Down	+$19	03-16 23:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 22:15 UTC	6	$83	123	0	+123	Down	+$40	03-16 22:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 09:30 UTC	25	$78	127	0	+127	Down	+$49	08-16 09:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:30 UTC	3	$77	117	0	+117	Down	+$28	02-19 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:45 UTC	9	$74	105	0	+105	Up	+$5	02-19 03:57
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 00:10 UTC	12	$71	100	0	+100	Up	+$28	02-21 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 07:15 UTC	23	$71	164	0	+164	Up	+$2	02-19 07:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:30 UTC	5	$70	92	0	+92	Up	+$21	03-13 22:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 12:30 UTC	6	$70	81	0	+81	Down	+$12	03-16 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:00 UTC	14	$69	114	0	+114	Up	+$5	02-19 06:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 12:00 UTC	30	$67	140	0	+140	Up	+$13	02-24 12:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 12:15 UTC	13	$65	82	0	+82	Up	+$17	04-14 12:24
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:15 UTC	6	$64	86	0	+86	Up	+$22	02-19 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	19	$64	128	0	+128	Down	-$4	03-25 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 23:10 UTC	4	$64	340	0	+340	Up	-$44	02-24 23:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 10:00 UTC	10	$61	72	0	+72	Down	+$11	04-14 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 12:54:12	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaaa52a…
11-04 12:14:22	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6d4ea4…
11-04 12:14:21	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb2bef4…
11-04 12:14:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9152cf…
11-04 12:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x08cc9f…
11-04 12:14:16	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd1c198…
11-04 12:14:13	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9d0196…
11-04 12:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x84e638…
11-04 12:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x421d35…
11-04 12:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0850e4…
11-04 12:09:16	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x00dcaf…
11-04 12:09:15	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa1edc1…
11-04 12:09:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2d814a…
11-04 12:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x15009b…
11-04 12:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe3b151…
11-04 11:44:15	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x20ba98…
11-04 11:44:13	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfe3000…
11-04 11:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x827e26…
11-04 11:29:15	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x78fd70…
11-04 11:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf7204c…
11-04 11:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2f05e7…
11-04 11:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xccbc6a…
11-04 11:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xae89bd…
11-04 10:59:13	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaf38f4…
11-04 10:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x056a2d…
11-04 10:44:10	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4dfa43…
11-04 10:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x70afbb…
11-04 10:29:15	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x00c8aa…
11-04 10:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc89c46…
11-04 10:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbc8f90…
11-04 10:29:10	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb5f24e…
11-04 10:14:15	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2712db…
11-04 10:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbdf447…
11-04 10:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xed8cab…
11-04 08:59:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-04 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4fbc42…
11-04 08:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa4d052…
11-04 07:29:15	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x06723e…
11-04 07:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf212ab…
11-04 07:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd51027…
11-04 07:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd37c95…
11-04 07:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x963d78…
11-04 07:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x53fbe3…
11-04 06:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9b093a…
11-04 05:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbf4738…
11-04 02:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x54208c…
11-04 01:34:12	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x651031…
11-04 00:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x08c57d…
11-04 00:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3fda01…
11-04 00:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xddbc2d…
11-03 21:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x14b969…
11-03 21:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x75e795…
11-03 20:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbd2bd1…
11-03 16:43:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc21247…
11-03 16:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbbbef7…
11-03 16:43:06	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x69a965…
11-03 16:43:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0703d7…
11-03 16:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x20f9ac…
11-03 16:38:06	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x89d686…
11-03 16:38:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1cbb01…
11-03 16:33:36	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd8cd8e…
11-03 16:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd693f2…
11-03 16:13:36	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x441d1c…
11-03 16:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6381ad…
11-03 16:09:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x194980…
11-03 16:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4ab276…
11-03 15:58:36	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbb869f…
11-03 15:54:49	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xee9a0b…
11-03 15:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd9d328…
11-03 15:48:06	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5917f2…
11-03 15:48:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x18eb4f…
11-03 15:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe022f2…
11-03 15:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x925b5e…
11-03 15:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2988c5…
11-03 15:33:34	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x929744…
11-03 15:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x638ddd…
11-03 15:04:16	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x235438…
11-03 14:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ebffc…
11-03 14:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xadba15…
11-03 14:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x47f367…
11-03 14:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd8fcd6…
11-03 14:48:07	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x867eb1…
11-03 14:28:36	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x390682…
11-03 14:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x03ecb5…
11-03 14:24:16	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8eb01b…
11-03 14:23:36	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xffd6c8…
11-03 14:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfb35ba…
11-03 14:18:34	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9a8044…
11-03 14:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x84e6f0…
11-03 13:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5ae2dc…
11-03 13:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x56887f…
11-03 13:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x46a04a…
11-03 13:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe2275d…
11-03 13:44:12	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x84bd77…
11-03 13:43:04	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc27dc5…
11-03 13:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3f8d5…
11-03 13:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x24d201…
11-03 13:18:04	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x15eeb1…
11-03 13:13:34	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0581f7…
11-03 13:09:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4dc986…
11-03 13:03:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x046c10…