Dark-Regret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$881

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-25 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

77% 75% +$18

Crypto

23% 100% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$92	100	100	+0	Yes	+$38	05-26 09:48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$49	100	0	+100	Yes	+$51	06-25 06:26
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-07 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 22?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	05-22 08:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	04-29 03:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	2	$35	35	0	+35	Up	+$0	05-31 01:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$34	85	0	+85	No	-$34	05-18 00:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$31	100	0	+100	No	-$31	06-25 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 13?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-13 02:46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$30	85	0	+85	No	-$30	05-18 00:21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$28	100	100	+0	No	-$22	05-26 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 10?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-10 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on April 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-30 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-22 08:18
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 31?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-31 02:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$22	50	50	+0	No	+$5	05-26 09:48
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	04-30 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 22?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-22 08:15
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on May 31?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-31 03:11
ethereum up or down june 7 2026 2am et	2	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-07 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-07 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$15	100	100	+0	No	-$15	05-26 09:49
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8pm et	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	06-11 00:51
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 7?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	06-07 06:56
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 31?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-31 02:46
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-05 00:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$13	100	0	+100	No	-$13	06-25 06:26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$11	85	0	+85	Yes	+$74	05-18 00:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-05 00:12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 4?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-05 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 06:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xe0189f…
06-25 06:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xb3eccc…
06-25 06:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x9a4b63…
06-14 05:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x92231d…
06-14 05:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e2a5c…
06-14 05:49:31	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ed8c5…
06-14 05:49:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbd66a5…
06-14 05:38:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1a727…
06-11 00:51:45	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfb4985…
06-07 06:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1c104…
06-07 06:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaa95f8…
06-07 06:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x59a6f4…
06-07 06:52:54	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd4f4fd…
06-07 06:49:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2ab357…
06-07 06:47:36	ethereum up or down june 7 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1ff4f8…
06-07 06:46:45	ethereum up or down june 7 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd2ec9d…
06-07 06:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0c6a0c…
06-07 06:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x58981c…
06-04 07:37:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdec8a2…
05-31 03:11:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x42c977…
05-31 02:59:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x742502…
05-31 02:46:23	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb0c9e4…
05-31 01:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x87da2c…
05-31 01:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3060df…
05-26 09:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x7ea606…
05-26 09:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x81f23d…
05-26 09:48:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xda7407…
05-26 09:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$13	0x5d230c…
05-24 06:45:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x553c84…
05-24 06:45:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x286f58…
05-24 06:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x0227db…
05-24 06:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x4ec927…
05-24 06:44:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x085777…
05-22 08:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5e391…
05-22 08:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 22?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb95c6c…
05-22 08:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaea543…
05-22 08:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe2b113…
05-18 00:22:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	3¢	$3	0x39e947…
05-18 00:21:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$11	0x76f797…
05-18 00:21:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x04d44d…
05-18 00:21:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x8e225b…
05-18 00:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0xdd3eeb…
05-13 02:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2fd7ea…
05-13 02:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8f31f0…
05-10 08:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 10?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3054b7…
05-10 08:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb0e706…
05-07 06:52:37	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8c9ec3…
05-05 00:16:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4505d1…
05-05 00:15:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4af976…
05-05 00:15:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf7e9d2…
05-05 00:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x4f92e4…
04-30 01:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on April 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6a7934…
04-30 01:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x568d82…
04-29 03:10:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x44e4a5…
04-29 03:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x25c765…