Realized P&L (24h)
-$267
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
58.7%
Resolved (24h)
52
Trades (24h)
118
4,687 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$2.44K
$34.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$190
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 11-02 23:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Crypto
80% 67% -$1,171
Other
8% 72% -$95
Politics
7% 18% -$110
Sports
5% 50% $0
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +28 $18 64¢ $18 $0 11-01 23:16
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? Yes +2,857 $20 1¢ $16 -$4 10-31 17:20
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? Yes +2,369 $10 1¢ $15 +$5 10-31 17:20
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +21 $14 64¢ $14 -$1 11-02 20:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +42 $10 32¢ $13 +$3 10-30 20:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +102 $10 13¢ $13 +$3 10-30 19:46
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? Yes — +13 $12 94¢ $13 +$0 10-31 19:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +14 $10 76¢ $11 +$1 10-30 19:46
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 11-02 19:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +12 $10 81¢ $10 +$0 10-30 19:46
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 11-02 20:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 11-02 20:20
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 88¢ $10 $0 11-02 17:05
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 69¢ $10 $0 11-02 23:03
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 68¢ $10 $0 11-02 23:03
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $9 86¢ $8 $0 11-01 04:03