Realized P&L (90d)
-$504
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved (90d)
157
Trades (90d)
562
4,720 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$8.15K
$34.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$200
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 11-03 20:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Crypto
79% 67% -$1,171
Other
8% 71% -$129
Politics
7% 15% -$120
Sports
5% 50% $0
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +28 $18 100¢ $28 +$10 11-01 23:16
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 98¢ $14 +$4 11-02 23:03
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 10-31 19:23
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? Yes +13 $12 92¢ $12 $0 10-31 19:24
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 11-02 23:03
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +12 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 11-02 20:24
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 11-02 19:06
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 11-03 15:52
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 11-02 20:20
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 11-03 15:05
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 11-02 17:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +102 $10 10¢ $10 +$0 10-30 19:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 +$0 10-30 19:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +14 $10 72¢ $10 +$0 10-30 19:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +42 $10 24¢ $10 $0 10-30 20:46
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 11-01 04:03
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +21 $14 15¢ $3 -$11 11-02 20:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +22 $14 6¢ $1 -$13 11-03 15:02