(anonymous) 0xdbc514…8a4d5f Create alert
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$413
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
98.9%
Resolved (7d)
10
Trades (7d)
13
196 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$735
$5.22K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$336
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 11-04 02:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
69% 55% +$678
Other
30% 48% +$158
Sports
1% 100% +$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? Yes +259 $55 38¢ $98 +$43 10-02 08:23
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? No +115 $40 40¢ $46 +$6 10-13 01:59
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? Yes +50 $27 88¢ $44 +$17 10-30 23:13
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +34 $23 74¢ $25 +$2 10-19 16:50
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +229 $50 9¢ $20 -$30 09-12 18:47
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? Yes +21 $7 86¢ $18 +$11 08-14 13:57
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? Yes +21 $13 76¢ $16 +$3 08-14 13:56
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? No +21 $15 76¢ $16 +$1 08-14 13:57
Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? No +21 $13 74¢ $16 +$2 08-14 15:51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +115 $8 12¢ $14 +$6 07-05 22:33
Will the Republicans win New Hampshire in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +20 $8 46¢ $9 +$1 10-28 16:39
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? Yes +5 $3 94¢ $5 +$2 08-20 17:16
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? Yes +30 $2 11¢ $3 +$2 08-15 05:50
will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146 Yes +31 $6 7¢ $2 -$4 07-22 23:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 63¢ $1 +$0 10-27 20:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? No +18 $7 6¢ $1 -$6 11-04 02:42
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? Yes +3 $1 25¢ $1 -$1 08-30 10:25
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? Yes +10 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 07-23 22:12