Active-Granddaughter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$449

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

734

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-08 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 45% $-450

Politics

16% 100% +$1

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 376 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.6K	1,264	1,264	+0	open	—	05-03 23:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$639	342	342	+0	Yes	+$1	05-02 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$588	1,116	0	+1,116	open	—	05-04 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	32	$498	826	825	+0	open	—	05-04 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$483	345	345	+0	open	—	05-03 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	26	$441	561	561	+0	open	—	05-04 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	27	$405	484	286	+197	Down	+$24	05-08 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	21	$400	664	574	+91	open	—	05-04 05:44
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	2	$382	237	232	+4	open	—	04-24 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$357	328	328	+0	Down	+$17	05-08 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$347	254	254	+0	open	—	05-03 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$326	461	461	+0	open	—	05-04 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	19	$300	405	250	+155	open	—	05-04 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	25	$294	636	550	+87	open	—	05-04 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	16	$286	299	240	+59	open	—	05-04 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$274	190	190	+0	Down	+$76	05-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$267	301	242	+59	Up	$-55	05-08 18:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$262	160	160	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	17	$251	222	222	+0	open	—	05-04 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	11	$244	210	210	+0	open	—	05-04 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	17	$225	258	258	+0	open	—	05-04 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$223	167	167	+0	Up	+$43	05-08 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$221	358	358	+0	open	—	05-04 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	32	$219	219	219	+0	open	—	05-03 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$211	155	155	+0	open	—	05-04 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$207	270	270	+0	open	—	05-03 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	11	$204	171	171	+0	open	—	05-04 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	20	$202	173	173	+0	open	—	05-04 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	12	$201	227	160	+67	open	—	05-04 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$192	289	173	+116	open	—	05-04 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 18:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	319	53¢	$168	0x840a65…
05-08 18:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	190	92¢	$175	0x4207a3…
05-08 18:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	190	52¢	$99	0x88a6a0…
05-08 18:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	242	44¢	$106	0x23e6b1…
05-08 18:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	301	54¢	$161	0x4f4760…
05-08 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0x1b618b…
05-08 18:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0xea37c5…
05-08 18:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	64	15¢	$10	0xb0c905…
05-08 18:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x2effcc…
05-08 18:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	264	67¢	$177	0xb41b58…
05-08 18:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	264	53¢	$140	0x79ea43…
05-08 18:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	167	80¢	$133	0xa899aa…
05-08 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	167	54¢	$90	0xb3acd1…
05-08 17:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	78	17¢	$13	0x0b1a03…
05-08 17:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x0e22cd…
05-08 17:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	197	11¢	$21	0x9b631f…
05-08 17:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0xfb495f…
05-08 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xe774be…
05-08 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xd2dc19…
05-08 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xce4b19…
05-08 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x8f0081…
05-08 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x8c4723…
05-08 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x72ea1e…
05-08 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x6c18c8…
05-08 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x2827bd…
05-08 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x1e1fdc…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xf52aa8…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xe6c63f…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xcff609…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0xc9b507…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x970aaf…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x92abb7…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x91c42e…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x75c073…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x632bed…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x5bf6a8…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x57b807…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0x2da07d…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x27c954…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x21c1dd…
05-08 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x014492…
05-08 17:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	286	59¢	$170	0xe44908…
05-08 17:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	184	38¢	$70	0x7f582b…
05-08 17:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xe65799…
05-08 17:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	59	60¢	$35	0x095b25…
05-08 17:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x7128d0…
05-08 17:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	94	30¢	$29	0x06c26c…
05-08 17:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x74e466…
05-08 17:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x4181dd…
05-08 17:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x84a2e9…
05-08 17:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x519bcb…
05-08 17:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	41	38¢	$16	0x5c536e…
05-08 17:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x50cfcf…
05-08 17:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	86	83¢	$72	0xcce076…
05-08 17:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x997409…
05-08 17:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xfd5123…
05-08 17:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4eb23f…
05-08 17:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	64	11¢	$7	0x41b66c…
05-08 17:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xc91633…
05-08 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0xa5d294…
05-08 16:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xeaa043…
05-08 16:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xa45a65…
05-08 16:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4f3f37…
05-08 16:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0xbb7037…
05-08 16:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xe4db17…
05-08 06:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9ecea5…
05-08 06:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0xed5307…
05-08 06:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4f950f…
05-08 06:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xe8f1e7…
05-08 06:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x410037…
05-08 06:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe81239…
05-08 06:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x8fcce8…
05-08 06:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4b2e22…
05-08 06:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0xc0f974…
05-08 06:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x5d1049…
05-08 06:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x397c3c…
05-08 06:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa658f2…
05-08 06:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xeee27d…
05-08 06:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x58a1b4…
05-08 06:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x560609…
05-08 06:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x450ab3…
05-08 06:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x12b32e…
05-08 06:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x423478…
05-08 06:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0xbe92c7…
05-08 06:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x7a72bc…
05-08 06:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5afc3e…
05-08 06:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe200dd…
05-08 06:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x23565a…
05-08 06:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x5479f0…
05-08 06:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x43ab33…
05-08 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xe82a17…
05-08 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb6e4c7…
05-08 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x5af07c…
05-08 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x3ddf44…
05-08 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x0eaf92…
05-08 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x0e0c3d…
05-08 06:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8a22ec…
05-08 06:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xf8d900…
05-08 06:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x3b48df…
05-08 05:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x305091…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	107	$89.6K	3,415	06-01 00:13
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	104	$133.6K	11,368	05-08 18:34
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	104	$36.1K	1,272	05-08 18:34
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	104	$35.6K	10,163	05-08 18:34
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	104	$34.5K	5,703	05-08 18:34
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	104	$32.1K	8,821	05-08 18:34
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	104	$31.6K	5,213	05-08 18:33
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	104	$27.5K	6,400	05-08 18:34