Oily-Evaluator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

441

Trades

1,387

lifetime

Volume

$5.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-31 22:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 77% -$22

Other

23% 75% +$4

Politics

23% 76% -$23

Tech

6% 82% -$9

Sports

3% 80% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-13	-$11	96¢	$-13	-$2	05-01 17:25
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	-12	-$10	76¢	$-9	+$1	05-02 13:19
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-12	-$4	38¢	$-5	-$1	06-01 18:24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	+2	$2	82¢	$2	+$0	10-31 22:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	8	$155	88	88	+0	No	+$5	04-28 21:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$102	70	70	+0	No	+$10	06-17 08:49
will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	4	$94	52	52	+0	Yes	+$2	07-04 00:38
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	7	$70	51	51	+0	No	-$10	06-26 11:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$67	36	36	+0	No	+$1	04-25 17:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	4	$62	35	35	+0	No	+$2	07-31 20:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$60	34	34	+0	Yes	+$2	06-19 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	7	$53	33	33	+0	Down	-$1	04-29 13:29
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	7	$52	41	26	+15	No	-$8	05-26 13:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$52	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-04 16:36
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$1	07-31 20:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	8	$51	30	30	+0	No	+$1	04-26 22:11
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$50	38	38	+0	Yes	-$6	06-17 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	7	$47	50	33	+17	Up	+$2	04-29 12:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	4	$46	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-30 00:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$46	26	26	+0	No	+$2	05-30 12:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$45	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-10 18:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	3	$45	34	13	+21	No	+$1	09-06 07:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$45	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 14:26
will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	2	$41	23	23	+0	No	+$1	06-26 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$39	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	04-29 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$39	43	20	+23	Down	-$9	04-29 12:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	4	$39	21	21	+0	No	+$1	09-29 21:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	7	$39	25	25	+0	No	+$1	04-22 11:01
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$37	27	27	+0	Yes	-$3	07-15 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	14	$36	32	32	+0	Down	-$2	05-01 16:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$36	19	19	+0	No	$0	05-02 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	7	$35	27	27	+0	Up	+$3	04-28 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	6	$35	37	18	+19	Up	-$5	04-29 15:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$35	26	26	+0	Yes	-$11	07-17 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:47:28	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xac672d…
10-31 22:32:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe12aa2…
10-31 22:13:37	SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x7a64ae…
10-31 20:55:57	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x370c31…
10-31 20:55:03	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1c2d25…
10-31 18:52:13	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x8dd779…
10-31 18:45:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x2e5912…
10-31 18:43:57	Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0xd1cc03…
10-31 18:41:27	Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x84ee44…
10-31 18:36:06	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xfd9baf…
10-31 18:35:00	AE Kifisia FC vs. Olympiacos Piraeus: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x090129…
10-31 18:27:16	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x7c8f10…
10-31 16:47:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x35826e…
10-31 16:46:34	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1fb002…
10-31 16:45:57	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x031879…
10-31 16:44:00	AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xa7543d…
10-31 16:16:13	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xdbfe9b…
10-31 16:01:52	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4cd1a9…
10-31 16:00:40	AE Kifisia FC vs. Olympiacos Piraeus: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x69a817…
10-31 15:58:18	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xef2739…
10-31 15:54:01	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe5e3e4…
10-31 15:25:03	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6c7b86…
10-31 14:25:51	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe83cfc…
10-31 13:48:57	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa14115…
10-31 13:45:37	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x0a7474…
10-30 22:52:49	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9e4f58…
10-30 22:43:51	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x905801…
10-30 22:25:27	AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x0ea761…
10-30 22:24:46	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x577015…
10-30 22:24:40	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x3b59ae…
10-30 22:04:46	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x9b2a3e…
10-30 21:55:52	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x41e4e0…
10-30 20:51:09	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x07fcb6…
10-30 20:42:31	Casa Pia AC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x7f7adc…
10-30 20:42:15	Will Club Brugge win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0d9e7d…
10-30 19:41:43	Will Club Brugge win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x7ba4ac…
10-30 19:40:57	Will SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x074a13…
10-30 19:40:51	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x638e1c…
10-30 19:31:01	Casa Pia AC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5a268c…
10-30 19:29:51	Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x523dee…
10-30 19:08:39	Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc023e4…
10-30 19:06:43	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf9e203…
10-30 17:44:27	Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xe23b05…
10-30 15:54:46	Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x99e0ef…
10-29 21:55:43	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6d6892…
10-29 21:21:58	AD Sporting Hortaleza vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1360f7…
10-29 21:00:37	Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5ac7b0…
10-29 13:20:59	Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaea3b5…
10-28 22:44:38	Will SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2cf430…
10-28 22:44:25	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x6e4468…
10-28 22:26:34	AD Sporting Hortaleza vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x08b6ef…
10-28 21:48:25	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x8960f0…
10-28 21:44:04	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc898fc…
10-28 21:43:29	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4bd428…
10-28 20:16:59	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x73ab9b…
10-28 20:15:25	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x24ae78…
10-28 19:08:37	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa435f9…
10-27 23:40:56	UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x236273…
10-27 23:17:17	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xd00382…
10-27 23:07:02	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1ff614…
10-27 22:54:26	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x4754e6…
10-27 22:00:15	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x779970…
10-27 19:14:53	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x17ec17…
10-27 19:09:23	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x69ff08…
10-27 17:52:12	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc6ab84…
10-27 17:51:24	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xebb45d…
10-27 10:34:53	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9bf1fb…
10-27 09:34:14	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6ef6ba…
10-27 09:21:57	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7271ee…
10-27 09:00:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x523dbf…
10-26 23:22:09	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x823568…
10-26 23:21:45	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x116fb5…
10-26 23:21:32	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbc595e…
10-26 20:55:05	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7e426c…
10-26 20:43:57	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x220c76…
10-26 20:38:09	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x98427a…
10-26 16:01:53	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5d914a…
10-25 22:21:15	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xe2ffae…
10-25 21:19:00	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x52e90a…
10-25 18:13:14	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x76b035…
10-25 18:06:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xf41b13…
10-25 17:25:09	Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x25eab2…
10-24 20:43:08	Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7fa687…
10-24 20:42:18	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x601aee…
10-24 18:38:08	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc42c7e…
10-24 18:12:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x8fbd4e…
10-24 14:49:14	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x66dc24…
10-23 20:12:35	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3313d7…
10-23 20:11:53	Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xe185ae…
10-23 18:03:35	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4eca42…
10-22 20:59:08	Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbf184e…
10-22 20:58:26	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xcbdcb9…
10-22 20:50:41	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd45bb5…
10-22 14:41:57	Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc4fafb…
10-22 14:40:39	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x94fdf9…
10-21 16:36:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x102a3d…
10-17 16:24:23	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb95e55…
10-15 08:56:46	us iran hormuz agreement by october 15	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x54ad3c…
10-13 16:14:00	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1b0b12…
10-12 08:33:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x989c9f…