Realized P&L
+$8.07K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.04K
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved
382
Trades
3,598
lifetime
Volume
$111.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$2.27K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 10-28 00:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
56% 51% +$5,620
Politics
44% 74% +$2,488
Tech
0% 50% -$11
Sports
0% 50% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +1,027 $449 71¢ $729 +$280 10-04 01:19
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1,889 $745 29¢ $548 -$197 10-25 23:50
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +414 -$1,492 84¢ $345 +$1,837 10-17 12:47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +300 $240 100¢ $299 +$59 09-21 06:35
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +200 $44 98¢ $196 +$153 09-06 16:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -100 -$91 96¢ $-96 -$5 06-13 22:32
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +207 $106 16¢ $34 -$72 08-29 12:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +20 $13 66¢ $13 +$0 10-26 11:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 82¢ $8 $0 10-25 14:28
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +200 $16 2¢ $4 -$12 09-07 18:35
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026 Yes +300 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 09-30 16:08