Thankful-Reality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-22 11:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$2

Crypto

48% 100% +$2

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	$0	10-07 06:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$656	358	300	+58	No	+$0	01-16 15:01
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	3	$527	302	226	+77	No	+$0	01-29 08:31
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$321	321	0	+321	No	+$0	07-01 11:08
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$316	317	0	+317	No	+$1	02-07 08:31
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$316	317	0	+317	No	+$1	04-09 14:21
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	1	$313	313	0	+313	No	+$0	03-10 11:33
Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	1	$309	309	0	+309	No	+$0	05-08 13:51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	1	$288	288	0	+288	No	+$0	06-10 08:03
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	1	$207	207	0	+207	No	+$0	01-29 08:33
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	1	$93	93	0	+93	No	+$0	08-17 09:13
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$72	72	0	+72	No	+$0	09-14 10:21
will bnb reach 1300 in january	1	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	01-23 11:22
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	10-07 06:42
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	03-15 14:24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-22 08:34
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	04-23 13:39
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-22 10:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	08-20 12:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-16 13:05
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-14 10:22
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-22 14:55
will crude oil cl settle at 60 in march	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-29 06:40
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	10-07 06:43
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	08-17 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-16 13:06
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	10-22 11:18
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-10 08:04
spy closes above 760 on july 1 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-01 11:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-20 11:59
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-09 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 11:18:23	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x25704d…
10-07 06:43:11	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbe2290…
10-07 06:42:36	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x5c3d26…
10-07 06:41:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb59ae5…
09-14 10:22:48	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3a3571…
09-14 10:21:07	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x32b763…
08-20 12:00:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9231f7…
08-20 11:59:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a85dd…
08-17 09:14:03	Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xefdc57…
08-17 09:13:12	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x490dfb…
07-22 14:55:12	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcfca46…
07-01 11:09:58	spy closes above 760 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fe165…
07-01 11:08:28	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$321	0x080a33…
06-22 08:34:32	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe6fc78…
06-10 08:04:36	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9cb02…
06-10 08:03:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x8ca394…
05-22 10:57:38	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe95b3d…
05-16 13:06:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x88ed69…
05-16 13:05:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x07babe…
05-08 13:51:30	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0x13d231…
04-23 13:39:40	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d6f78…
04-09 14:22:15	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26774b…
04-09 14:21:23	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	317	100¢	$316	0x672b87…
03-29 06:40:18	will crude oil cl settle at 60 in march	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc4873b…
03-15 14:24:37	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x46af05…
03-10 11:33:03	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x119c6b…
02-07 08:31:13	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	317	100¢	$316	0x90d5f1…
01-29 08:33:46	will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x43a8d6…
01-29 08:31:16	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xc5374e…
01-23 11:22:40	will bnb reach 1300 in january	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x9fd1f0…
01-23 11:22:02	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	No	SELL	76	100¢	$75	0x2c69e8…
01-16 15:02:10	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	No	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0xe4d386…
01-16 15:01:18	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x2dbcd7…
01-06 10:21:49	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	358	100¢	$357	0xee2893…
01-06 10:20:49	Will Han Duck-soo be sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x61a0d1…