Strict-Bus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$202

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,456

lifetime

Volume

$30.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

84% 75% $-1

Crypto

13% 53% $-203

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No		-11	$-10	94¢	$-10	$-0	06-06 21:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$250	373	0	+373	open	—	05-22 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$161	226	226	+0	open	—	05-22 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$160	348	0	+348	Down	$-160	05-06 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$150	269	0	+269	open	—	05-22 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$137	94	94	+0	open	—	04-28 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$134	90	90	+0	open	—	04-28 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$116	157	157	+0	open	—	05-22 22:18
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	3	$115	119	0	+119	open	—	03-11 21:33
sea udi sas 2026 02 15 total 4pt5	2	$107	60	60	+0	open	—	02-15 13:15
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$104	56	56	+0	open	—	01-22 17:29
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$103	55	55	+0	open	—	01-22 17:29
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-29 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$90	188	0	+188	Down	$-90	05-06 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$90	157	0	+157	open	—	04-29 12:24
sea com fio 2026 02 14 total 3pt5	2	$89	66	66	+0	open	—	02-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$89	94	94	+0	open	—	04-29 21:58
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 total 1pt5	2	$89	58	58	+0	open	—	02-10 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$83	102	102	+0	open	—	05-04 09:24
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 total 3pt5	1	$75	93	0	+93	open	—	02-10 20:47
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 total 3pt5	1	$75	91	0	+91	open	—	02-12 20:21
sea int juv 2026 02 14 total 4pt5	2	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	02-14 21:25
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 rso	5	$65	73	24	+49	open	—	01-18 22:05
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 total 4pt5	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	02-25 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$60	87	0	+87	open	—	04-24 22:49
sea ata cre 2026 02 09 total 2pt5	2	$60	68	0	+68	open	—	02-09 18:03
bun ein moe 2026 02 14 total 4pt5	2	$60	77	0	+77	open	—	02-14 15:12
bun koe bay 2026 01 14 total 2pt5	2	$60	39	39	+0	open	—	01-14 21:10
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	2	$59	70	0	+70	open	—	02-12 20:46
lal bil elc 2026 02 20 total 1pt5	2	$56	39	39	+0	open	—	02-20 21:26
elc cha sto 2026 02 14 total 1pt5	2	$56	41	41	+0	open	—	02-11 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:27:04	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xf2b587…
06-08 20:16:06	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5208c5…
06-08 20:15:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdbea76…
06-08 20:13:27	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x46ff87…
06-07 21:25:07	Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xab14a3…
06-07 20:02:48	Greece vs. Italy: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3b6c8a…
06-07 20:01:34	Greece vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x917705…
06-07 20:00:39	Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x9f6a40…
06-07 19:00:51	Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeac471…
06-06 22:06:07	fif bra egy 2026 06 06 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ff9e0…
06-06 21:40:12	England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x4bbffa…
06-06 21:39:33	England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1075b6…
06-06 21:37:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x120e0a…
06-06 21:37:27	will emiliano buenda score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x648b63…
06-06 21:37:19	United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xeaeb67…
06-06 21:37:09	fif cvi ber 2026 06 06 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2d5153…
06-06 21:37:04	England vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb1f1e…
06-06 21:36:43	United States vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6e46b7…
06-06 20:23:28	fif cvi ber 2026 06 06 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9cdb4…
06-06 20:21:10	England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2c2a61…
06-06 20:20:58	England vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4ac3e9…
06-06 20:17:01	United States vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2baa66…
06-06 20:16:36	United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x04ef42…
06-06 10:48:07	j1100 kaw san 2026 06 06 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3e1d87…
06-06 10:46:27	j1100 kaw san 2026 06 06 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd85e2d…
06-06 10:44:57	j1100 rey kyo 2026 06 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x33ca40…
06-06 08:28:27	j1100 ura fag 2026 06 06 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x26d399…
06-06 08:26:49	j1100 ver gam 2026 06 06 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xee402c…
06-06 08:09:55	j2100 jub fco 2026 06 06 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x2f43e0…
06-06 08:06:15	j2100 gif gai 2026 06 06 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x010a13…
06-06 06:53:52	j2100 gif gai 2026 06 06 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x8c4041…
06-05 16:18:21	Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x215dd2…
06-05 13:01:43	fif hkg mng 2026 06 05 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xde087d…
06-05 13:01:31	fif hkg mng 2026 06 05 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xd5b02f…
06-05 13:00:03	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x655fbd…
06-05 12:59:55	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf94972…
06-02 20:38:09	Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd1c439…
06-02 20:35:28	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd39dfb…
06-01 22:41:43	Will Emiliano Buendía score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6dfa87…
05-31 12:28:04	Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe5e4a2…
05-30 20:27:12	CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9b5675…
05-30 20:25:48	CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x082409…
05-30 20:23:36	Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x7e5629…
05-30 20:23:17	CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x802973…
05-30 20:23:10	CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x1eed7b…
05-30 19:52:22	Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x80c57e…
05-30 19:41:07	CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x35d68e…
05-30 19:40:21	CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x45a093…
05-30 19:39:02	Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x888e88…
05-30 19:38:41	Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa38443…
05-30 18:00:47	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc81df7…
05-30 18:00:40	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfb0bbe…
05-30 17:27:47	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xca34cc…
05-30 16:23:32	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x206f5b…
05-29 22:03:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0x4d2cbc…
05-27 21:45:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$17	0x93790a…
05-27 20:24:00	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xea9723…
05-27 20:09:53	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf6bab…
05-27 20:01:09	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8c8b43…
05-25 22:19:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x549ff1…
05-25 22:13:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x439772…
05-24 21:05:17	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5acad0…
05-24 21:05:07	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa83a8b…
05-24 21:03:17	AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3bcf6d…
05-24 20:20:52	AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc29f3e…
05-24 13:37:07	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9c24d2…
05-24 13:36:46	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9c754f…
05-24 13:35:03	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe54436…
05-24 13:34:45	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd10b34…
05-24 12:41:37	Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd8dd6f…
05-22 22:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	373	67¢	$250	0xff9640…
05-22 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	269	56¢	$150	0x09f3a4…
05-22 22:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	226	18¢	$41	0x7c1ca4…
05-22 22:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	226	53¢	$120	0xc8703a…
05-22 22:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	157	20¢	$31	0x5bd294…
05-22 22:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	157	54¢	$85	0x71facd…
05-22 22:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	76	55¢	$42	0x34503d…
05-22 22:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x61b532…
05-22 22:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x51c709…
05-22 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3a0950…
05-22 21:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf8ede5…
05-22 21:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd8951f…
05-22 21:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x082c55…
05-22 21:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9f8c0b…
05-22 21:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x56dd79…
05-22 21:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x411639…
05-22 21:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5fe45d…
05-19 08:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	62¢	$13	0x347e77…
05-19 08:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1da24e…
05-19 08:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xa4aa2e…
05-19 08:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x14848c…
05-19 08:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc76663…
05-18 21:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xcb9cc2…
05-18 21:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	89	50¢	$44	0xc6c734…
05-18 21:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x155b83…
05-18 21:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0xcc2f92…
05-18 21:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb74caf…
05-18 21:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18094b…
05-18 21:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb481f7…
05-18 21:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0ab8d8…