Strict-Bus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$988

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

2,615

Trades

3,376

lifetime

Volume

$39.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$168

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 195 days

Categories

Other

85% 85% -$27

Crypto

12% 44% -$967

Sports

2% 76% +$10

Politics

1% 75% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+62	$50	86¢	$53	+$3	08-31 21:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+59	$50	88¢	$52	+$2	08-31 21:27
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	+27	$25	99¢	$27	+$2	10-22 11:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+21	$20	99¢	$21	+$1	10-05 10:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+16	$15	94¢	$15	+$0	10-16 08:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$250	373	0	+373	Down	-$250	05-22 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$161	226	226	+0	Down	-$79	05-22 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$160	348	0	+348	Down	-$160	05-06 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$150	269	0	+269	Down	-$150	05-22 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$137	94	94	+0	Down	+$47	04-28 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$134	90	90	+0	Up	+$44	04-28 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$116	157	157	+0	Down	-$54	05-22 22:18
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	3	$115	119	0	+119	Yes	+$4	03-11 21:33
sea udi sas 2026 02 15 total 4pt5	2	$107	60	60	+0	Under	+$7	02-15 13:15
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$104	56	56	+0	Yes	+$4	01-22 17:29
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$103	55	55	+0	Yes	+$3	01-22 17:29
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	03-29 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$90	188	0	+188	Down	-$90	05-06 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$90	157	0	+157	Up	+$67	04-29 12:24
sea com fio 2026 02 14 total 3pt5	2	$89	66	66	+0	Under	+$9	02-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$89	94	94	+0	Down	-$1	04-29 21:58
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 total 1pt5	2	$89	58	58	+0	Over	-$11	02-10 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$85	58	58	+0	Down	+$25	10-24 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$83	102	102	+0	Down	-$21	05-04 09:24
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 total 3pt5	1	$75	93	0	+93	Under	+$18	02-10 20:47
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 total 3pt5	1	$75	91	0	+91	Under	+$16	02-12 20:21
sea int juv 2026 02 14 total 4pt5	2	$70	80	0	+80	Over	-$70	02-14 21:25
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 rso	5	$65	73	24	+49	Yes	-$6	01-18 22:05
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 total 4pt5	2	$61	31	31	+0	Under	+$1	02-25 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$60	87	0	+87	Up	+$27	04-24 22:49
sea ata cre 2026 02 09 total 2pt5	2	$60	68	0	+68	Over	+$8	02-09 18:03
bun ein moe 2026 02 14 total 4pt5	2	$60	77	0	+77	Under	+$17	02-14 15:12
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 6pt5	6	$60	61	0	+61	Under	+$1	06-17 20:22
bun koe bay 2026 01 14 total 2pt5	2	$60	39	39	+0	Over	+$0	01-14 21:10
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	2	$59	70	0	+70	Yes	+$11	02-12 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x579955…
10-25 09:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xd27d59…
10-25 09:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xf7e70e…
10-25 09:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x413a02…
10-24 21:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xca996d…
10-24 21:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2c187c…
10-24 21:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x1c3354…
10-24 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xc7085b…
10-24 21:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x141776…
10-24 21:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xe0981e…
10-24 21:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2d063d…
10-24 14:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x363397…
10-24 14:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x22f376…
10-24 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1cfa01…
10-24 13:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x78bc9d…
10-24 13:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5ae770…
10-24 13:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x08f0c5…
10-24 12:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xaa83ef…
10-24 12:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xc4f7eb…
10-24 12:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x76b509…
10-24 12:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x4b34a0…
10-24 12:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x5e025a…
10-24 12:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf0b217…
10-24 11:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x91d593…
10-24 11:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x849e15…
10-23 21:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x62363c…
10-23 21:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1cda9a…
10-23 21:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x79724e…
10-23 21:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x82aaea…
10-23 20:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x96bfd8…
10-23 20:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xca025f…
10-23 20:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x235fc2…
10-23 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x36b488…
10-23 15:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x36d773…
10-23 14:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x703a25…
10-23 14:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xc886ba…
10-23 14:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xee54e9…
10-23 14:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x98c0a0…
10-23 14:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x82ae63…
10-23 14:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x47de0c…
10-23 14:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x4d8c82…
10-23 14:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x727b5d…
10-23 14:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x907b83…
10-23 12:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x4ed163…
10-23 12:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x25a8ae…
10-23 12:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2b05d5…
10-23 11:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xc7ca73…
10-23 11:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xb8947f…
10-23 11:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x8f1335…
10-23 11:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7a0727…
10-23 10:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xd522fa…
10-23 10:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xeaf8bb…
10-23 10:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x54abed…
10-23 10:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x8445a1…
10-23 09:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x5b248a…
10-23 09:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1ebf49…
10-23 09:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3a5fad…
10-23 07:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc271d2…
10-23 07:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc58f4f…
10-22 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x67a1dd…
10-22 21:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1900aa…
10-22 21:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7379bb…
10-22 21:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x5e45e1…
10-22 21:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x9e2a38…
10-22 21:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x360eca…
10-22 21:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcd9505…
10-22 16:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xe4b9f3…
10-22 16:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa2a4c4…
10-22 16:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	432	0¢	$0	0x32d5e1…
10-22 16:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x4c5461…
10-22 16:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xad831b…
10-22 16:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x512862…
10-22 16:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x5ebc4f…
10-22 16:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	45	65¢	$29	0x71f0c4…
10-22 16:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xe82439…
10-22 16:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x150150…
10-22 16:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x530769…
10-22 16:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x24466a…
10-22 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xeec035…
10-22 12:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x79e203…
10-22 11:49:35	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa818a3…
10-16 08:35:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd908bc…
10-16 08:17:31	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x1fdd28…
10-11 20:40:55	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa7693b…
10-07 11:58:26	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8e0dcb…
10-05 10:33:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x255508…
09-20 13:16:04	AZ vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2a684d…
09-20 13:14:57	Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbd2211…
09-20 11:39:31	Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: FC Utrecht O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xdc65e6…
09-20 11:39:13	Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x60202d…
09-20 08:48:22	Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xddb2c1…
09-20 08:47:00	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfa581f…
09-20 08:46:48	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f7582…
09-20 08:25:56	Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Gangwon FC O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd65d6e…
09-20 08:02:37	Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe2ca6c…
09-20 08:02:21	Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x21151b…
09-20 08:01:01	AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x502b9a…
09-20 08:00:45	Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x001a36…
09-20 08:00:12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x27fc25…
09-20 07:59:37	Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: FC Utrecht O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x43b854…