Quarterly-Snowboarding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,336

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-14 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 47% +$20

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772967300	3	$537	464	457	+7	open	—	03-08 10:56
btc updown 5m 1772969100	4	$313	378	373	+5	open	—	03-08 11:26
btc updown 5m 1772967600	1	$250	491	0	+491	open	—	03-08 10:58
btc updown 5m 1772967000	2	$226	200	197	+3	open	—	03-08 10:53
btc updown 5m 1772966700	2	$221	199	196	+3	open	—	03-08 10:45
btc updown 5m 1772968200	4	$206	186	183	+3	open	—	03-08 11:12
btc updown 5m 1772969400	3	$177	249	193	+56	open	—	03-08 11:32
btc updown 5m 1772968800	2	$138	95	94	+1	open	—	03-08 11:22
btc updown 5m 1774280100	3	$129	160	80	+80	open	—	03-23 15:38
btc updown 5m 1772965500	2	$127	106	105	+2	open	—	03-08 10:25
btc updown 15m 1775066400	2	$112	91	87	+4	open	—	04-01 18:03
btc updown 5m 1774952400	2	$108	80	77	+3	open	—	03-31 10:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$105	11,667	0	+11,667	open	—	06-02 10:03
btc updown 5m 1772968500	2	$105	84	83	+1	open	—	03-08 11:15
btc updown 5m 1772967900	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	03-08 11:06
btc updown 5m 1772988900	4	$99	2,320	44	+2,276	open	—	03-08 17:00
btc updown 5m 1772966400	2	$89	77	76	+1	open	—	03-08 10:40
btc updown 5m 1772965200	2	$87	60	59	+1	open	—	03-08 10:23
btc updown 5m 1775067000	1	$80	174	0	+174	open	—	04-01 18:10
btc updown 5m 1772966100	2	$70	52	51	+1	open	—	03-08 10:36
btc updown 5m 1772976300	2	$69	55	54	+1	open	—	03-08 13:27
btc updown 5m 1772978700	2	$68	58	57	+1	open	—	03-08 14:08
btc updown 5m 1772986800	2	$68	59	58	+1	open	—	03-08 16:22
btc updown 5m 1772986500	2	$65	57	56	+1	open	—	03-08 16:18
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9pm et	1	$64	125	0	+125	open	—	04-01 22:28
btc updown 5m 1774953900	7	$63	80	40	+40	open	—	03-31 10:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$63	81	0	+81	open	—	06-14 06:05
btc updown 5m 1773019500	3	$62	68	29	+40	open	—	03-09 01:27
btc updown 5m 1772965800	2	$62	128	30	+98	open	—	03-08 10:34
btc updown 5m 1774952700	4	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	03-31 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 06:05:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0x145de7…
06-07 05:50:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xeb8486…
06-06 06:35:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xe98963…
06-06 02:25:30	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x151624…
06-04 04:45:28	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ae3ec…
06-04 04:44:52	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf3800c…
06-02 10:03:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x66f8cf…
06-02 10:01:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0xfd7ba2…
05-29 08:02:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,146	0¢	$6	0x9cd92a…
05-29 07:47:02	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x310ae1…
05-11 06:49:02	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5aa5b1…
05-11 06:44:08	Solana Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd9f521…
05-11 06:40:41	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xccc3af…
05-11 06:32:28	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xdefa9a…
05-11 06:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x447bf5…
05-11 05:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0e2e19…
05-11 04:49:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xee1f2a…
05-11 04:48:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x15f059…
05-11 04:48:27	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x24ce73…
05-11 04:48:24	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x6a5451…
05-10 11:00:33	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb01f15…
05-10 10:49:09	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8facb3…
05-10 10:01:20	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x10ac22…
05-10 09:53:51	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x66acfb…
05-10 09:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x57bbc0…
05-10 08:58:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x25fa4e…
05-10 08:01:56	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x24c3aa…
05-10 08:00:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x8be94b…
05-10 08:00:20	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xefcd6c…
05-10 07:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf40aac…
05-10 07:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa3bd9a…
05-10 07:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdaa360…
05-10 07:01:49	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x46c4cc…
05-10 07:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf1230b…
05-10 06:58:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1c906f…
05-10 06:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf818e0…
05-10 06:52:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x92ffe4…
05-10 06:41:28	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x02f688…
05-10 06:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x137480…
05-10 06:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8dbd47…
05-10 06:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc095a5…
05-10 06:14:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3c17d2…
05-10 06:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x36cf79…
05-10 05:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x514905…
05-10 04:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x829c58…
05-10 03:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfe8c8d…
05-10 02:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xec05fb…
05-10 01:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7adc2a…
05-09 13:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x414785…
05-09 12:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0937f1…
05-09 11:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x104a7d…
05-09 10:55:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x518fe5…
05-09 10:29:47	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2062ba…
05-09 10:17:45	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa7440d…
05-09 10:17:31	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xdc395f…
05-09 09:55:15	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3479df…
05-09 09:52:19	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaaaa73…
05-09 09:50:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x89cc29…
05-09 09:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x43e828…
05-09 09:08:21	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5fe1d3…
05-09 09:08:14	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdafdd1…
05-09 09:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xeee451…
05-09 06:04:31	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7dbe4f…
05-09 06:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc115c7…
05-09 05:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xb1e702…
05-09 05:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9f49c6…
05-09 04:58:48	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0x96e1f7…
05-09 04:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf6ec9f…
05-09 04:57:07	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0173c8…
05-09 04:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xea142a…
05-09 04:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xa3177e…
05-09 04:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x23bb90…
05-09 04:47:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x393ea6…
05-09 04:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x731b13…
05-09 03:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc0793a…
05-09 03:58:49	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf38015…
05-09 03:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7787d5…
05-09 03:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8e9bf5…
05-09 03:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x999975…
05-09 03:05:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x63e8da…
05-09 03:04:56	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7312d3…
05-09 03:00:44	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x048a75…
05-09 02:00:32	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x20cbf2…
05-09 02:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6608cc…
05-09 02:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x475c8f…
05-09 02:00:11	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2bdf94…
05-09 01:48:42	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x419964…
05-09 01:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeb607d…
05-08 15:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xed8bd4…
05-08 15:44:33	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4fc12d…
05-08 15:03:04	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x764b91…
05-08 15:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xba616d…
05-08 15:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9eba15…
05-08 15:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9f2f38…
05-08 14:30:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x708e1a…
05-08 13:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x50035f…
05-08 13:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1bf03e…
05-08 12:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b0735…
05-08 12:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7eaff5…
05-08 12:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb65946…