Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved (90d)

113

Trades (90d)

115

115 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$140

$140 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 11-06 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

82% 57% +$3

Politics

16% 59% +$3

Tech

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No		+3	$1	92¢	$2	+$1	11-03 22:02
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$1	11-05 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 14:24:48	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $275 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5ee098…
11-06 04:21:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbdfa6a…
11-05 19:26:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe5cf1c…
11-05 09:52:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5733fd…
11-05 01:04:42	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6a5f65…
11-03 22:02:09	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x13f253…
11-03 12:27:19	Will Uber say "Advertising" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd7b85f…
11-03 04:26:42	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x34d3e5…
11-02 08:17:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5c3e9e…
11-02 00:17:22	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x87ac98…
10-31 21:56:13	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xba2b2f…
10-27 11:43:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x118f27…
10-27 03:32:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc46df5…
10-25 06:34:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x906eed…
10-23 08:13:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc1a5e1…
10-23 00:12:18	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd91f39…
10-22 16:12:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfb3678…
10-19 07:24:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x35f3b3…
10-18 23:23:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x94a9d2…
10-18 15:05:11	Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd25fd5…
10-18 06:51:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2b4c71…
10-17 22:42:48	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc640e9…
10-17 14:00:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xed6740…
10-16 13:01:49	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8616fc…
10-16 04:36:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0c84c1…
10-15 20:26:38	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3be795…
10-15 12:04:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x35814b…
10-15 03:57:14	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x90169a…
10-14 19:56:52	saudi arabia military action against yemen on october 17	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x54dfd3…
10-14 11:08:05	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf6d446…
10-14 02:35:35	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x73a229…
10-13 18:27:48	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5afe69…
10-11 10:06:09	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x83a5d1…
10-11 01:25:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa11766…
10-10 16:40:09	Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 investment banking revenue be above $2.3B?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5cf527…
10-10 04:18:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8e0187…
10-09 20:15:59	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x03adaa…
10-09 09:46:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x593269…
10-09 00:50:45	will ewy reach 181 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbe6ec2…
10-08 03:58:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe3ef35…
10-07 19:28:36	will msft reach 532 50 by october 5 2026 from october 7	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb30c22…
10-07 11:26:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3b0b7f…
10-07 02:52:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x85acce…
10-06 18:51:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x565618…
10-06 10:46:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x65e9a9…
10-06 02:07:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x651e66…
10-05 15:28:55	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x37aa39…
10-05 00:01:53	will rklb dip to 68 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5ce498…
10-02 12:53:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6aedb2…
10-02 01:34:11	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x79d0c3…
10-01 11:51:27	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x32740a…
10-01 03:48:20	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0e7963…
09-30 18:57:32	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6282cb…
09-30 10:54:30	wti closes above 92 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xeeb3d3…
09-29 10:51:44	wti up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xec365a…
09-29 02:51:36	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x682b2b…
09-27 06:05:15	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb411a7…
09-26 21:23:38	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf134fe…
09-26 10:45:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x026031…
09-26 02:11:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6f8bc5…
09-25 04:46:42	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2d9645…
09-24 19:52:09	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x30b337…
09-24 11:44:06	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa6072f…
09-24 03:43:32	will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x4fdff8…
09-23 19:42:46	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x3c81ba…
09-23 11:40:50	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xdd535f…
09-23 03:32:41	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x7216f4…
09-22 07:22:18	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfd4499…
09-22 07:17:18	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x1105c2…
09-21 23:17:01	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0xa384df…
09-21 15:16:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0x67da22…
09-21 07:09:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xde6fec…
09-20 22:40:56	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xdc229e…
09-19 06:41:09	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xc163a7…
09-18 14:55:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9d7555…
09-18 01:07:01	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x81bfdc…
09-17 04:57:24	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x7fc2ee…
09-16 19:50:25	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x515deb…
09-16 10:23:45	spy up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1c1b63…
09-16 02:23:03	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x36403c…
09-15 17:54:58	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x520a14…
09-15 08:08:58	wti up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x0c9db9…
09-14 23:45:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xed531b…
09-14 15:39:21	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x5e590d…
09-14 07:24:34	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xc2c4de…
09-13 23:22:12	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x5d1e0c…
09-11 15:11:27	spy closes above 765 on september 11 2026	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x75e72f…
09-11 02:43:33	will abnb reach 170 by september 7 2026 from september 10	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x6251e9…
09-10 17:53:18	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb9f970…
09-10 09:42:22	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x9a18f2…
09-09 23:35:57	will ewy dip to 190 by september 7 2026 from september 9	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0d0f31…
09-09 13:44:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x643b7e…
09-09 04:27:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0973b1…
09-08 09:25:06	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x44d133…
09-07 22:54:06	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0x2d94b7…
09-03 17:00:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x940901…
09-03 08:15:36	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x9d4de1…
09-02 21:44:00	will ewy dip to 175 by august 31 2026 from september 2	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd5f3d3…
09-02 12:50:03	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x7a7d25…
09-01 08:20:13	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xcbaf2f…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 06:41
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 07:09
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-21 23:17
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-23 19:42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	09-21 15:16
spy closes above 765 on september 11 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-11 15:11
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	09-18 01:07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 04:27
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$3	09-07 22:54
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-14 07:24
will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-24 03:43
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-23 03:32
will aapl reach 332 by august 31 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-31 00:11
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-22 07:17
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-10 09:42
will abnb reach 170 by september 7 2026 from september 10	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-11 02:43
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-15 17:54
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-01 08:20
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 04:57
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-16 19:50
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-14 15:39
will ewy dip to 190 by september 7 2026 from september 9	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-09 23:35
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-13 23:22
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-22 07:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-25 02:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-23 22:57
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-29 22:48
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-03 08:15
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 11:40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-18 14:55