Untried-Wash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-06 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 100% +$40

Other

24% 100% +$8

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		-6	$-4	67¢	$-4	$-0	05-28 18:40
Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	59¢	$0	+$0	06-03 20:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on february 8	2	$101	103	0	+103	open	—	02-08 16:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-16 18:08
bitcoin above 64k on february 14	3	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	02-14 12:48
bitcoin above 84k on january 3	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-03 09:07
bitcoin above 88k on january 5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-05 10:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$45	29	29	+0	open	—	03-18 20:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$43	765	35	+730	open	—	06-04 00:33
bitcoin above 88k on january 12	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-12 15:50
bitcoin above 64k on february 15	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	02-15 13:49
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	5	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	03-27 20:25
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$33	57	57	+0	Yes	+$22	05-04 11:40
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	02-23 16:36
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-25 11:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-20 05:58
bitcoin above 88k on january 4	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-04 10:54
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	04-14 08:17
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$23	42	39	+3	No	+$17	04-20 17:24
Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	02-12 18:31
over 180m committed to the ranger public sale 427 827 792 766 618	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	01-10 15:23
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-01 17:20
bitcoin above 86k on january 20	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-20 15:37
bitcoin above 90k on january 9	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-09 16:28
bitcoin above 80k on february 1	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-01 16:31
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-12 18:30
bitcoin above 86k on january 10	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-10 08:39
bitcoin above 84k on january 12	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-11 09:34
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-10 15:22
will solana reach 160 in january 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-25 13:58
bitcoin above 86k on january 3	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-03 09:07
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-26 17:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 01:28:04	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3ea6da…
06-05 17:26:27	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x27b16b…
06-05 16:43:51	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x4c1523…
06-04 00:33:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x855964…
06-03 20:34:21	Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x145d30…
06-02 17:30:10	Tea FDV above $500M one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0b917…
06-01 21:00:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4e0948…
06-01 20:56:03	Tea FDV above $500M one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3fb7a6…
05-30 23:25:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xdcae9d…
05-30 19:13:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x39c1a7…
05-30 17:15:03	Tea FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9fe59f…
05-29 18:55:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	84¢	$30	0x54f069…
05-29 09:15:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x059fae…
05-29 06:30:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x1d0e56…
05-28 18:41:12	Tea FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2319e7…
05-28 18:40:12	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x3c4b61…
05-28 11:57:51	Will BNB reach $800 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x645477…
05-27 21:09:19	Tea FDV above $300M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe8f21d…
05-26 21:05:40	Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x8b35f5…
05-26 13:55:14	Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xe9577f…
05-26 13:39:59	Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xbe85bd…
05-26 13:09:51	Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc40ff8…
05-26 08:26:02	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa32e8c…
05-25 15:36:20	Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x81ac30…
05-25 14:08:12	Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x58f69e…
05-18 16:57:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x65f666…
05-18 16:45:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x9852ad…
05-18 16:44:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xc0e4eb…
05-18 16:43:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	24¢	$4	0xb2e106…
05-15 05:35:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xdc76db…
05-15 05:35:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x12e38f…
05-14 15:20:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x6bfa19…
05-08 05:54:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x129686…
05-07 21:34:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xcd1fdb…
05-06 19:46:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x81bb18…
05-06 19:12:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5d14fa…
05-06 19:09:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x274c21…
05-04 11:40:40	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	57	48¢	$28	0xbad407…
05-03 09:11:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x64523a…
05-03 09:00:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x928629…
04-30 20:34:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf17848…
04-29 11:16:56	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x61afc7…
04-28 02:49:18	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x038fbf…
04-23 06:40:42	Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x604c77…
04-23 00:41:30	Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x99836f…
04-21 19:49:24	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xbe00b1…
04-21 18:03:40	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x787bc6…
04-20 17:24:12	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	50¢	$20	0x16aaaf…
04-16 18:21:58	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x8b4f11…
04-15 18:21:08	Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x51cbb7…
04-14 08:17:13	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x57abd6…
04-14 08:14:19	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xd1d975…
04-14 08:11:17	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xb00b25…
04-13 18:32:25	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0fba51…
04-12 13:19:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x387ec9…
04-11 18:47:41	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xe367bd…
04-11 13:00:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xab68f8…
04-10 20:26:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xea9ae9…
04-10 20:20:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0x8ab4ea…
04-09 23:51:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8cccdc…
04-09 23:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xadbdaa…
04-09 21:49:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x45a3ce…
04-08 12:49:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x2583ea…
04-08 04:23:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0x44ed7e…
04-06 11:54:39	bitcoin above 66k on april 6	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x137816…
04-02 15:38:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x516a28…
04-01 03:54:45	EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xb4c0f0…
04-01 03:12:03	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xdad134…
04-01 03:11:55	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x4c28c9…
04-01 03:11:29	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xf55e9a…
03-31 20:09:05	EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xeefc82…
03-30 17:23:15	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x8c4255…
03-29 09:50:22	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0dc164…
03-28 13:23:41	EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x38d726…
03-27 22:59:21	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1df321…
03-27 20:25:01	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6ad83c…
03-27 09:43:17	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7b3339…
03-26 17:24:49	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93ed45…
03-26 17:24:09	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d31c2…
03-25 19:20:43	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xae18f6…
03-24 18:48:55	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd28c9c…
03-22 14:07:03	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x71ff5b…
03-22 09:13:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e01e3…
03-21 08:53:51	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x2a0b72…
03-21 08:45:23	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4704b6…
03-20 15:21:27	will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x6099e0…
03-20 11:40:19	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc763a…
03-19 18:25:09	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd60b9b…
03-18 20:36:43	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x10adec…
03-18 20:30:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0xf8e513…
03-18 20:28:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x70d4c2…
03-18 18:07:51	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3aba53…
03-18 18:05:39	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xc0757a…
03-17 18:28:01	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b12ee…
03-16 18:17:15	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x5267fd…
03-16 18:16:43	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf7cb23…
03-16 18:08:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x83cad2…
03-15 11:11:47	eth updown 4h 1773561600	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc78b82…
03-14 09:32:51	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5fcaac…
03-13 17:35:39	will vance say iran during his rocky mount visit	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2cf510…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	126	$22.4K	5,119	06-06 03:47
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	121	$33.3K	12,477	04-19 19:45
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	90	$7.70K	4,781	06-08 09:10
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	83	$2.66K	777	03-27 21:25
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	80	$9.11K	4,563	06-09 18:11
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	79	$352.6K	7,496	06-09 14:42
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	74	$136.2K	21,163	06-09 10:37
(anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35	73	$31.1K	1,461	04-28 08:50