Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

233

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$910

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

9 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-28 04:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

66% 54% +$6

Politics

33% 53% +$4

Tech

1% 25% -$3

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+9	$7	72¢	$6	-$1	05-30 12:12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+11	$5	44¢	$5	+$0	05-30 00:04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+8	$5	55¢	$4	-$1	06-14 01:35
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	+9	$2	36¢	$3	+$1	05-12 19:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+8	$4	29¢	$2	-$2	06-14 22:35
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	29¢	$2	+$0	05-10 18:59
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+6	$1	28¢	$2	+$0	05-14 21:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+13	$7	6¢	$1	-$6	05-11 19:03
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+32	$7	1¢	$0	-$7	07-11 04:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:08:50	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3597d1…
10-26 04:38:29	Will Persija Jakarta win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd10861…
10-26 04:38:26	Spread: Persija Jakarta (-1.5)	Persija Jakarta	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x164164…
10-25 22:05:30	Will Aurora FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb19407…
10-25 08:22:42	Moss FK vs. Aasane Fotball: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x577488…
10-25 08:22:39	Helsingborgs IF vs. Ljungskile SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcf9891…
10-24 22:20:20	Will Gainare Tottori win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xecb51f…
10-24 13:28:03	Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Fram Reykjavik: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x973408…
10-24 13:28:00	Will VVV Venlo win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa683c4…
10-24 00:07:36	Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb478a6…
10-22 21:22:30	Will Yellow-Red KV Mechelen win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfadb34…
10-22 18:19:36	Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xab6473…
10-21 14:36:39	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa628df…
10-21 09:01:33	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x60e7ab…
10-20 14:34:42	Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3209d6…
10-20 11:31:33	Will Chorley FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xef20b4…
10-18 13:28:26	Will FK Orenburg win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x22dfbd…
10-18 05:37:14	Ajman Club vs. Sharjah FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdb5670…
10-17 20:42:30	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0ae825…
10-17 17:35:08	bra3 mp ara 2026 10 17 mp	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0a7b41…
10-17 12:27:02	Will COD Meknès win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0feecc…
10-17 01:37:42	Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa9b874…
10-16 17:37:03	Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x804d5b…
10-16 07:14:52	Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2502ae…
10-12 11:16:08	Will Modern SC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfa0632…
10-12 06:46:55	PAOK Thessaloniki vs. PAE PS Kalamata: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x38468d…
10-11 15:56:52	Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb47061…
10-11 09:47:03	Will Royal Charleroi SC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x124c1e…
10-11 06:38:57	Will Real Murcia CF win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdae9bc…
10-11 03:02:56	Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x807a5a…
10-11 02:35:45	FC Kuressaare vs. Tallinna FC Flora: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x167779…
10-11 00:53:51	FC Andorra vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5bb841…
10-10 17:28:24	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2231c1…
10-10 08:49:40	VfL Osnabrück vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe46515…
10-09 20:59:13	Will Slavia Mozyr win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfd498e…
10-09 12:12:54	Will Parnu JK Vaprus win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd7fa76…
10-09 10:53:18	Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x889c2b…
10-08 13:36:42	Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-10?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdf69ef…
10-08 08:19:11	Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa961fe…
10-07 14:57:31	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9471a3…
10-07 14:22:52	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7c2469…
10-06 17:37:11	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7e882d…
10-06 11:52:49	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6de74b…
10-06 08:01:04	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd1253d…
10-04 23:36:58	Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x490f52…
10-04 17:07:47	Will Costa Rica win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0e670f…
10-04 17:07:41	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbb7f75…
10-04 05:29:35	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd7cfa0…
10-02 23:55:48	Accrington Stanley FC vs. Cheltenham Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4a388b…
10-01 10:14:17	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x915bdf…
10-01 09:46:26	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe23182…
10-01 05:57:03	CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x95db8f…
09-30 03:18:54	Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xedc7f6…
09-30 00:33:15	uslc rho iel 2026 09 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x75f2d8…
09-29 22:29:59	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xef57a7…
09-28 05:13:38	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1c98c9…
09-28 04:50:39	San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x616389…
09-27 16:22:54	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc8fb1b…
09-26 11:48:30	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x36e30a…
09-26 05:32:03	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4a7cc9…
09-26 05:07:12	Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x03e3ac…
09-26 05:07:09	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3f3e0a…
09-26 05:07:08	Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9d51ef…
08-03 21:34:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xfabe08…
07-31 12:16:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x76b7d9…
07-31 02:51:14	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x06691d…
07-27 16:55:00	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x75f2eb…
07-25 04:49:33	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x5ecd23…
07-24 04:49:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x39fd5d…
07-23 16:48:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x98bd78…
07-23 04:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xab9cde…
07-22 16:48:16	will trump say transgender during remarks in georgia 20260720190340719	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x4c66f2…
07-22 04:48:09	will meta dip to 610 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x4c3eec…
07-21 16:47:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x429aa4…
07-21 04:47:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xad55fb…
07-20 04:31:33	will mu reach 930 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x737185…
07-19 16:31:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x0e5e7b…
07-19 04:31:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x236039…
07-18 16:31:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x3089f8…
07-17 04:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x232cc8…
07-16 16:31:11	Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x0055d0…
07-16 04:31:08	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x62fd4f…
07-15 04:30:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x94ce69…
07-14 16:30:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1200e1…
07-14 04:30:31	will hood dip to 102 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x2a5877…
07-13 16:25:13	will wti reach 80 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xbbb367…
07-13 04:25:08	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa1976f…
07-12 16:24:58	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1044cb…
07-12 04:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x5d12d6…
07-11 16:24:44	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x66da1c…
07-11 04:24:07	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xdbc467…
07-10 16:24:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x641c71…
07-10 04:24:02	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xac7d60…
07-09 16:23:49	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt5b	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x4462ef…
07-09 04:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xc4499d…
07-08 16:23:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x14f54b…
07-08 04:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x85295c…
07-07 16:23:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xca5f79…
07-07 04:23:16	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xf137d0…
07-06 16:23:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x9f4582…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$10	28	+28	No	+$18	02-02 21:01
cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	1	$8	11	+11	No	-$8	03-25 15:41
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	05-30 12:12
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$7	9	+9	No	+$2	03-19 10:05
will iran strike safaniya field by march 31	1	$7	9	+9	No	+$2	03-23 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$7	9	+9	Yes	-$7	07-09 04:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	1	$7	9	+9	No	+$2	05-17 13:29
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	05-11 19:03
will open reach 5 25 by july 6 2026	1	$7	12	+12	Yes	+$5	07-06 04:22
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 40 64	1	$7	9	+9	No	+$2	03-18 07:48
will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	1	$7	10	+10	Yes	+$3	03-16 02:43
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	1	$7	10	+10	No	+$3	03-13 00:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$7	28	+28	No	-$7	07-23 16:48
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$7	21	+21	Yes	-$7	08-03 21:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$7	23	+23	No	-$7	07-23 04:48
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$7	32	+32	open	—	07-11 04:24
will abnb dip to 118 by april 13 2026	1	$7	9	+9	No	+$2	04-11 18:17
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$7	9	+9	No	+$2	04-11 10:08
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?	1	$7	12	+12	Yes	-$7	04-24 10:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$7	9	+9	No	+$2	03-16 10:44
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	1	$7	9	+9	No	+$2	03-20 23:43
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	1	$7	11	+11	Yes	+$4	04-27 10:59
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$7	11	+11	Yes	+$4	03-20 06:13
will trump say hottest during tech signing event on wednesday	1	$7	11	+11	No	-$7	03-04 10:15
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	1	$7	10	+10	No	+$3	03-15 09:48
will tisza win at least 100 seats	1	$7	9	+9	Yes	+$2	04-11 01:50
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$7	11	+11	No	-$7	03-12 16:41
trump approval up or down this week 715	1	$7	12	+12	Up	-$7	04-12 22:09
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$7	13	+13	No	-$7	03-05 03:23
will the bhumjaithai party bjt win 140 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$7	13	+13	Yes	-$7	02-06 02:43