Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$60

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

11.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

334 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$5.34K

$14.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-25

last 11-10 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 62% +$9

Politics

32% 50% -$61

Other

15% 58% +$27

Sports

0% 50% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No		+10	$10	78¢	$8	-$2	10-29 12:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	16	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$20	10-26 01:31
will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 1	6	$3.0K	1,503	1,503	+0	No	+$2	08-02 01:16
bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	7	$1.2K	619	619	+0	Up	+$0	08-01 14:08
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	2	$593	300	300	+0	No	$0	10-25 18:33
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 6pm et	29	$453	257	256	+0	Up	+$19	08-01 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:05 UTC	3	$300	453	0	+453	Down	-$51	08-01 23:07
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	8	$250	250	250	+0	England	$0	07-05 21:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$212	200	200	+0	No	+$4	08-05 21:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:00 UTC	2	$210	129	129	+0	Up	+$10	08-01 23:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 22:45 UTC	2	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	08-01 22:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	2	$186	100	100	+0	No	+$2	08-20 16:35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	4	$155	80	80	+0	No	+$1	10-25 13:57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?	2	$151	100	75	+25	No	-$21	09-05 16:40
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	12	$132	70	70	+0	Yes	+$1	08-09 03:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	5	$121	70	70	+0	No	+$1	09-10 03:51
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	4	$113	60	60	+0	No	+$3	08-18 14:08
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	5	$105	70	70	+0	Yes	+$28	08-24 14:33
will bitcoin dip to 59k on august 1	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-01 13:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-17 17:45
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	4	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	07-30 18:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	6	$91	50	50	+0	No	+$2	08-27 17:45
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$86	90	90	+0	Belgium	-$3	07-06 19:59
will bitcoin hit 100k by september 30 2026	4	$79	42	42	+0	No	+$0	08-28 20:58
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	3	$79	85	85	+0	No	$0	07-05 14:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$77	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	10-22 14:14
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	2	$76	40	40	+0	No	+$1	10-20 18:15
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	5	$61	60	60	+0	Yes	+$41	08-19 21:46
will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	07-17 17:56
Iran leadership change by November 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	11-08 07:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	10-13 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 20:50:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x1bfb3b…
11-10 09:59:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x7a7c2c…
11-10 09:58:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x4057eb…
11-08 17:46:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x9f8ab9…
11-08 07:16:28	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x342e84…
11-05 09:56:34	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xbf73ce…
11-02 19:19:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x349efa…
10-31 19:29:57	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xe02492…
10-31 16:07:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x3aaf5c…
10-31 16:06:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xe60ba3…
10-29 12:02:08	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7a7def…
10-29 11:13:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x43ad83…
10-29 11:12:25	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbcf309…
10-27 20:17:15	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x603d9e…
10-27 19:07:21	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x604ae0…
10-26 01:31:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0x076a4a…
10-25 23:34:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	351	98¢	$346	0x55fa02…
10-25 23:22:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	149	98¢	$147	0x53c95a…
10-25 23:21:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x8cea7a…
10-25 23:14:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	219	98¢	$214	0xd437d4…
10-25 18:33:39	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$296	0xe9957d…
10-25 18:33:24	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xe3a92f…
10-25 15:12:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf5b996…
10-25 15:01:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	399	99¢	$396	0x09997a…
10-25 14:31:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x701eaa…
10-25 13:57:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xff0bd9…
10-25 12:52:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0xfb5d23…
10-25 12:35:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x428af0…
10-25 12:34:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0x2c4fa1…
10-25 12:21:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$105	0x5a76af…
10-25 12:05:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ee9b7…
10-25 11:48:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x803b51…
10-25 11:40:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x63eefb…
10-25 11:28:47	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1efcd5…
10-24 11:37:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x47ee88…
10-22 14:14:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xcc2620…
10-22 09:35:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x2fead3…
10-20 18:44:02	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1d5527…
10-20 18:15:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x99a87c…
10-19 19:46:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x9396c5…
10-19 19:45:53	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xd96a4d…
10-18 18:37:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xfe799a…
10-18 18:36:11	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x45cdc9…
10-18 18:35:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x60d9e5…
10-16 14:48:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xac84bd…
10-16 14:47:16	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x5db9a8…
10-16 14:47:06	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x00f227…
10-16 00:05:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x3e1181…
10-15 23:30:03	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x3c446d…
10-15 20:03:35	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x9808cb…
10-15 20:01:58	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe9810b…
10-14 16:44:58	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xdb485f…
10-14 16:43:24	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbb884d…
10-13 18:31:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd885d6…
10-13 14:17:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x7c9442…
10-12 17:54:00	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc84ad9…
10-11 08:13:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x09157c…
10-08 11:03:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xd45899…
10-06 06:06:30	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x7cf8ab…
10-05 18:33:28	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x3469bf…
10-05 18:33:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xf123d9…
10-04 16:43:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xc153f5…
10-04 16:43:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x78df58…
10-02 13:09:33	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xfa1748…
09-30 17:13:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfd51fd…
09-30 17:05:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x5ef91a…
09-29 15:18:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb8d301…
09-29 00:53:06	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7d19a0…
09-28 09:44:41	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe799aa…
09-26 15:50:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x5b4c99…
09-20 15:19:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x510b53…
09-18 10:04:58	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x47d531…
09-18 10:04:16	will ethereum dip to 2400 in september 2026 from september 17	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x244e2a…
09-17 17:45:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xe67b4c…
09-17 16:33:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x8152ee…
09-16 18:35:49	will bitcoin dip to 75k on september 16 2026	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb16b69…
09-16 18:04:30	will bitcoin dip to 75k on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x552eae…
09-15 17:51:01	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x91f1c7…
09-15 17:50:40	will bitcoin dip to 75k on september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x18efbe…
09-15 17:50:25	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x55ec54…
09-14 20:24:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x8b2a43…
09-14 03:10:30	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa39ec8…
09-13 18:22:15	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xea1b6b…
09-13 11:54:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xc26e5d…
09-13 10:04:13	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 12	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x3e36de…
09-13 09:48:49	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 12	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x807bcc…
09-13 09:28:52	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 12	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x854ff8…
09-13 09:14:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x06a089…
09-13 09:14:21	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x7e06f1…
09-12 15:03:48	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc3001b…
09-12 09:34:45	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb41f3a…
09-12 09:33:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x343eb8…
09-10 23:42:55	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb7b563…
09-10 15:34:36	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x117889…
09-10 03:51:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x121902…
09-09 21:57:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf165a4…
09-07 21:12:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xccae38…
09-07 21:09:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0xe5514b…
09-07 09:39:55	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0903fc…
09-05 16:40:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	SELL	75	87¢	$65	0x4bb771…