Realized P&L
-$937
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
82.0%
Resolved
1,539
Trades
3,764
lifetime
Volume
$208.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$109
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-26 14:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 191 days
Categories
Sports
68% 45% -$486
Other
31% 37% -$314
Politics
1% 33% +$36
Tech
0% 15% -$177
Crypto
0% 43% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +529 $48 8¢ $42 -$5 08-11 17:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +31 $20 72¢ $22 +$2 10-26 14:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -20 -$9 70¢ $-14 -$4 05-05 22:03
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -667 -$5 1¢ $-5 +$0 05-12 20:33
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -345 -$6 1¢ $-5 +$1 05-12 18:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +10 $5 46¢ $4 $0 10-26 14:06
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +68 $5 5¢ $3 -$2 09-11 05:03
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -62 -$2 3¢ $-2 $0 05-20 05:08
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -83 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 05-20 05:08
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -571 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$2 05-20 17:25
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -375 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$2 05-13 19:29
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -50 -$1 2¢ $-1 $0 05-20 05:03
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -38 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 05-20 05:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -8 -$1 10¢ $-1 +$0 05-20 05:04
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -333 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 18:32
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -333 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 18:32
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -333 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 18:32
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 05-20 05:02
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -38 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 05-20 05:02
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -204 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 18:33
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -83 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-20 18:36
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -165 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 18:33
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -143 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 05:03
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes — -130 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 05:03
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -191 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 05:06
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -125 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 05:03
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -91 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-20 05:02