Happy-Eating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$218

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-15 03:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 67% +$10

Politics

28% — —

Other

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	07-15 03:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+5	$4	88¢	$4	+$0	06-10 03:51
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$4	77¢	$4	+$0	06-11 17:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-04 08:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$19	24	0	+24	open	—	02-28 05:21
ethereum up or down on june 13 2026	1	$16	25	0	+25	open	—	06-13 03:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	2	$12	11	11	+0	No	+$10	05-07 17:24
bitcoin up or down on june 13 2026	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	06-13 03:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	05-10 01:04
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-08 15:41
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 03:23
xrp up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 16:13
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 16:07
solana up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	4	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 16:34
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-15 03:34
will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-08 15:56
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 18?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 18:45
ethereum up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 16:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 20:50
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 20:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 18?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 18:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-09 13:07
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 18:58
ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	06-09 05:59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 18:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-10 03:51
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-08 15:54
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 20:33
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-11 17:19
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-31 03:20
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-19 02:07
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 01:04
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 03:34:46	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf5b9ac…
06-13 03:14:34	ethereum up or down on june 13 2026	Up	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x50d9e3…
06-13 03:10:37	bitcoin up or down on june 13 2026	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc12e4c…
06-11 17:19:55	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x53e4a3…
06-10 03:51:30	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1710d7…
06-09 13:07:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3e6d87…
06-09 05:59:03	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x108818…
06-08 16:34:45	solana up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x6772c8…
06-08 16:34:36	solana up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x313ce9…
06-08 16:34:30	solana up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x368762…
06-08 16:34:18	ethereum up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdc282a…
06-08 16:13:31	xrp up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x49ccb0…
06-08 16:07:58	solana up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf16ba7…
06-08 16:07:30	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa61b15…
06-08 16:07:12	xrp up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x962803…
06-08 16:06:48	ethereum up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb0438e…
06-08 16:05:52	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf1bfea…
06-08 15:56:54	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x24b360…
06-08 15:54:24	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xac407b…
06-08 15:41:24	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2eb3bc…
05-31 03:20:12	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf521ea…
05-19 02:07:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x1ca2a6…
05-19 02:07:02	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x683221…
05-19 02:06:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x0e8646…
05-18 20:50:45	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x10538d…
05-18 20:45:04	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x42acb6…
05-18 20:33:24	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9a34da…
05-18 20:11:30	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7ddc59…
05-18 19:47:35	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x34eeb4…
05-18 19:21:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8f7169…
05-18 19:00:28	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd97300…
05-18 18:58:33	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4f9ffc…
05-18 18:53:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0dfc63…
05-18 18:45:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe6dcb9…
05-18 18:38:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x773cb6…
05-15 03:23:41	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x39d78e…
05-15 02:51:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbb8f27…
05-14 01:07:53	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1ad7ac…
05-14 01:07:45	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8a3cc2…
05-14 01:07:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xfaf75e…
05-14 01:05:53	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x632cfb…
05-14 01:05:23	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0e3be8…
05-14 01:04:58	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x55b2c3…
05-14 01:04:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xb9e183…
05-14 01:04:30	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa6a86d…
05-14 01:04:18	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x75c86f…
05-10 14:13:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x0cde88…
05-10 01:05:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xb2e7c6…
05-10 01:04:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x535bbc…
05-09 05:07:58	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xc2d187…
05-07 17:24:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa3862b…
05-07 12:08:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x23681e…
05-07 11:56:52	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x4a237d…
05-07 11:55:38	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x699318…
03-04 08:30:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x233166…
03-01 14:26:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x2b62b0…
02-28 05:21:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x42139a…