Gruesome-Cassava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

566

Trades

775

lifetime

Volume

$6.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

8 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-06 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

81% 67% -$13

Sports

16% 63% -$53

Crypto

2% 45% -$3

Politics

0% 75% +$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+1,254	$11	1¢	$7	-$4	09-14 08:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+20	$5	27¢	$6	+$1	11-04 21:09
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+8	$1	18¢	$1	+$0	09-14 08:30
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+5	$1	24¢	$1	+$0	09-14 08:30
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+8	$1	15¢	$1	+$0	09-14 08:31
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+6	$1	12¢	$1	$0	09-14 08:30
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+22	$1	2¢	$1	$0	11-04 21:10
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	Yes	-12	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	05-10 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$205	107	107	+0	No	+$5	09-02 20:15
Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-31?	2	$205	209	0	+209	Yes	+$4	08-31 17:12
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Niels McDonald	1	$205	205	0	+205	Ignacio Buse	+$0	05-16 12:10
wta cocciar charaev 2026 04 13	4	$203	206	0	+206	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	+$3	04-14 15:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	11-04 21:36
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-11?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	05-11 20:49
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	1	$200	209	0	+209	No	+$9	07-09 19:46
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	1	$200	200	0	+200	Jannik Sinner	+$0	05-26 19:21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	10	$148	159	6	+154	Jannik Sinner	+$6	05-16 09:31
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$140	46,667	0	+46,667	No	-$140	06-18 17:14
italy nordio reform referendum passes	2	$122	76	76	+0	No	+$22	03-23 14:54
wta baptist shymano 2026 04 16	4	$121	128	0	+128	Iryna Shymanovich	+$7	04-16 13:30
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	3	$111	121	0	+121	No	+$10	09-10 09:31
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	2	$110	122	0	+122	Jannik Sinner	+$12	07-12 18:40
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$110	113	0	+113	No	+$3	09-09 20:28
atp zverev cerundo 2026 04 17	5	$108	118	0	+118	Alexander Zverev	+$10	04-17 13:02
wta sonmez paolini 2026 04 14	2	$105	110	0	+110	Zeynep Sonmez	-$2	04-15 11:50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	2	$105	58	58	+0	No	+$5	07-03 22:38
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?	4	$103	108	107	+0	No	-$97	04-25 20:55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	09-15 20:13
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller	1	$100	102	0	+102	Jannik Sinner	+$2	04-26 15:06
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?	1	$100	102	0	+102	Yes	+$2	04-26 14:42
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$100	108	0	+108	No	+$8	08-31 19:55
sea com int 2026 04 12 int	1	$100	114	0	+114	Yes	+$14	04-12 20:34
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?	1	$100	110	0	+110	No	+$10	07-11 18:49
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?	1	$100	108	0	+108	No	+$8	05-05 17:45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	1	$100	105	0	+105	Jannik Sinner	+$5	05-17 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	04-25 20:59
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	05-06 18:25
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 lee	2	$81	57	56	+1	Yes	+$4	04-13 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 19:35:34	Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges	Casper Ruud	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf2204c…
11-04 21:36:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xece6e0…
11-04 21:10:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x24eaf2…
11-04 21:09:16	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x94275b…
10-31 13:46:31	Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x96f9db…
10-31 13:46:22	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1cd5e9…
10-31 13:45:49	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6e8115…
10-31 13:44:51	Will Giugliano Calcio 1928 win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x86c4a4…
10-31 13:44:36	Will ASD Sorrento 1945 win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7cadc1…
10-25 21:54:18	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x7a661f…
10-25 20:34:24	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x7d0728…
10-25 20:33:38	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9cb426…
10-20 19:04:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd74f73…
10-12 09:46:46	Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x70ecbd…
10-12 09:46:17	Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x515a1c…
09-25 13:59:30	atp ruud cerundo 2026 09 25	Casper Ruud	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xe28a18…
09-25 13:04:23	atp ruud cerundo 2026 09 25	Casper Ruud	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdad6e8…
09-22 01:07:36	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc90648…
09-22 01:02:16	Giants vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x09fd83…
09-20 14:31:16	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xd7c323…
09-20 13:42:18	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1ebb05…
09-20 13:08:10	Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 1 - 1 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x53d85b…
09-19 16:48:56	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xead643…
09-19 08:11:30	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8c6abf…
09-19 08:11:13	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x51e2cd…
09-19 08:11:01	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xffa9c4…
09-19 08:08:42	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbbe921…
09-19 08:07:43	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2b7b81…
09-19 08:06:43	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x641aa2…
09-19 08:06:15	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x593f81…
09-16 23:21:10	Will Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x0a26e1…
09-16 23:18:51	Will Hartford Athletic win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x916b52…
09-16 23:18:03	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x20148b…
09-16 23:14:42	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x94f971…
09-16 23:14:04	Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xc154e0…
09-16 20:24:45	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xce0a3a…
09-16 20:24:21	Will Hartford Athletic win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x633984…
09-16 20:24:12	Will Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x31a5c6…
09-16 20:24:04	Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xeb07ae…
09-16 20:23:06	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xafadc8…
09-16 20:22:52	Will Portuguesa FC win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x196567…
09-16 20:22:45	Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x515295…
09-15 20:14:46	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0fc70a…
09-15 20:13:07	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8a2048…
09-15 20:12:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x705b66…
09-14 17:50:13	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x3e7c02…
09-14 11:18:16	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf90b0f…
09-14 08:31:00	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6f4080…
09-14 08:30:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x79a0f7…
09-14 08:30:22	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0ece9c…
09-14 08:30:18	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x29ca70…
09-14 08:30:00	Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xf7dd9b…
09-13 18:36:57	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 0 - 0 Juventus FC?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xad4f43…
09-12 19:07:06	Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 1 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xeb9878…
09-12 19:02:48	Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 1 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb8cee0…
09-12 11:29:42	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x7bd06a…
09-12 11:28:51	Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x6eb17f…
09-12 11:27:49	Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xaa0cd3…
09-11 21:50:09	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2f72a2…
09-11 20:23:03	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x560439…
09-11 19:21:31	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4915ba…
09-11 14:45:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xa4cbd2…
09-10 09:31:10	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5e3f93…
09-09 20:28:16	Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x74a2b2…
09-07 12:52:28	Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 0 - 0 SS Lazio?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc8cca3…
09-07 12:50:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdffb23…
09-06 20:37:13	Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1d9a4f…
09-06 18:35:10	Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 0 AC Milan?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1afe3b…
09-05 18:08:37	Exact Score: AS Roma 1 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x417ee3…
09-05 18:07:45	atp fritz cerundo 2026 09 04	Taylor Fritz	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1e378d…
09-05 17:57:03	Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$9	0xee0607…
09-05 17:25:31	atp fritz cerundo 2026 09 04	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6d0141…
09-05 17:20:33	Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb82eef…
09-05 12:18:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd711dc…
09-05 12:16:49	Exact Score: AS Roma 0 - 0 Atalanta BC?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc07789…
09-05 12:16:27	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 0 - 0 SSC Napoli?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xdc831c…
09-05 12:16:04	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 0 - 0 Torino FC?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2710df…
09-04 18:55:15	Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa3b394…
09-04 18:55:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x227f9f…
09-04 18:54:57	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x93aff5…
09-03 14:37:27	US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen Khachanov	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7feca5…
09-02 20:15:30	Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$105	0x8202b7…
08-31 20:04:52	Exact Score: Atalanta BC 0 - 0 Bologna FC 1909?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6a44f0…
08-31 19:56:12	Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x32b24d…
08-31 19:55:13	Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x4e36b6…
08-31 19:41:25	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x14f2b1…
08-31 17:12:03	Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xf9c0cc…
08-31 16:22:00	Exact Score: US Lecce 0 - 0 AS Roma?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd11a51…
08-30 12:51:22	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$2	0xee6755…
08-30 11:27:30	Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5b9568…
08-30 11:26:51	Exact Score: Cagliari Calcio 0 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x657809…
08-30 11:26:13	Exact Score: SSC Napoli 0 - 0 Como 1907?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6e0f22…
08-23 20:32:13	Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe0928d…
08-23 20:03:48	Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x714b4b…
08-23 18:23:51	Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 0 - 2 Juventus FC?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x6266ec…
08-23 17:42:37	Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 0 - 2 Juventus FC?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x784fde…
08-23 17:41:36	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x993ee4…
08-23 17:37:10	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0dc0ed…
08-23 00:11:21	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x0b1c22…
08-23 00:10:55	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x9c732a…