Glaring-Solvency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.71K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

2,423

Trades

4,569

lifetime

Volume

$230.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-31 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 49% -$2,809

Sports

12% 55% +$22

Other

1% 33% +$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 18:30 UTC	3	$3.7K	2,516	2,397	+118	Up	+$1,099	02-23 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:30 UTC	2	$2.4K	1,739	1,712	+27	Down	+$820	02-10 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 16:15 UTC	2	$2.3K	4,305	0	+4,305	Up	-$2,170	03-10 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 02:45 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,606	1,482	+124	Up	+$626	03-03 02:59
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	85	$2.2K	3,711	3,861	-150	No	+$262	02-03 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 06:30 UTC	2	$2.1K	3,959	0	+3,959	Up	+$1,679	03-06 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 18:30 UTC	2	$1.6K	3,717	0	+3,717	Up	-$1,548	02-25 18:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 20:15 UTC	2	$1.6K	3,081	0	+3,081	Down	+$1,330	02-26 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 23:45 UTC	2	$1.6K	3,145	0	+3,145	Down	-$1,550	03-03 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,134	1,049	+85	Up	+$460	02-22 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 02:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,627	752	+874	Down	+$671	03-02 02:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 01:30 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,577	725	+852	Up	+$607	03-01 01:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC	5	$1.5K	1,692	686	+1,007	Up	+$715	03-03 22:07
nba cle por 2026 02 01 spread away 2pt5	2	$1.5K	1,154	1,154	+0	Cavaliers	+$306	02-02 03:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 18:30 UTC	5	$1.4K	1,636	948	+688	Up	+$327	03-03 18:41
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	3	$1.3K	758	758	+0	Patriots	+$257	01-25 23:05
nfl la chi 2026 01 18 spread away 3pt5	2	$1.2K	980	980	+0	Bears	+$230	01-19 02:25
cfb mia ind 2026 01 19 spread home 7pt5	2	$1.2K	962	962	+0	Miami	+$225	01-20 04:01
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	3	$1.2K	1,778	778	+1,000	Seahawks	-$415	01-26 02:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	3	$1.2K	2,194	0	+2,194	Up	-$1,056	03-10 15:29
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	2	$1.2K	1,064	1,064	+0	Broncos	+$172	01-18 00:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 06:00 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,108	0	+2,108	Down	-$975	03-06 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 02:15 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Down	-$975	03-08 02:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 23:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,165	0	+2,165	Down	+$932	03-06 23:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 02:45 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,099	0	+2,099	Up	+$853	03-07 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 02:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,943	0	+1,943	Down	+$796	03-11 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 02:15 UTC	2	$990	1,871	0	+1,871	Down	-$928	03-12 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:30 UTC	3	$917	647	618	+30	Down	+$267	02-11 21:42
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	3	$890	1,324	781	+542	49ers	-$250	01-11 21:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:30 UTC	5	$875	863	434	+429	Up	+$303	02-27 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 02:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xcfd336…
10-31 01:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xa8e15a…
10-31 01:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x592e7e…
10-31 01:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	50¢	$25	0xe32ac5…
10-31 01:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xef5822…
10-31 01:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9bc868…
10-31 01:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x827525…
10-31 01:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x6a783f…
10-30 02:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x1682fb…
10-30 02:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x8b6f97…
10-30 02:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0xcdaa92…
10-30 02:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x61129a…
10-30 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x5c326d…
10-30 02:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x26eb25…
10-30 01:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf209e0…
10-30 00:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	140	94¢	$132	0x2b4037…
10-30 00:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	140	51¢	$71	0x44e363…
10-30 00:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xf6113c…
10-30 00:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x34b775…
10-30 00:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	140	96¢	$134	0xaf811a…
10-29 23:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	140	48¢	$67	0x2971c5…
10-29 23:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x587c08…
10-29 23:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf583f2…
10-29 22:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0xa54500…
10-29 22:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x8f328c…
10-29 22:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x97fda4…
10-29 22:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5cc069…
10-29 22:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	140	90¢	$126	0xe09500…
10-29 22:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xebdfed…
10-29 22:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd658c8…
10-29 22:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5630b1…
10-29 22:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x4e4dfe…
10-29 22:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	111	50¢	$55	0x0c3cf1…
10-29 22:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x184299…
10-29 21:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6dd53b…
10-29 21:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x677065…
10-29 20:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7ef6e1…
10-29 17:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xedc08a…
10-29 17:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x24738e…
10-29 17:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x5fc0ad…
10-29 17:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x375f51…
10-29 15:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x9e8d99…
10-29 15:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x938055…
10-29 15:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	92	50¢	$46	0x10c8fe…
10-29 15:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x14e6e3…
10-29 15:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x4934a2…
10-29 15:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x0aae97…
10-29 15:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x48b4e4…
10-29 15:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x17c64e…
10-29 15:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8bb80b…
10-29 03:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xbb7e3e…
10-29 03:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x37d8a2…
10-29 02:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9286a6…
10-29 02:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb3a157…
10-29 02:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x8799e5…
10-29 02:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x5adfa4…
10-29 02:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea00dd…
10-29 02:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x3ec9ba…
10-29 02:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3026a5…
10-29 02:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x608602…
10-29 02:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x47420a…
10-29 02:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x44995f…
10-29 02:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3fce54…
10-29 02:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x15b95d…
10-29 01:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xe037ad…
10-29 01:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x8b88cd…
10-29 00:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xcfdc7b…
10-29 00:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xf29020…
10-29 00:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x695ea9…
10-28 20:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x5853cf…
10-28 20:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x1293be…
10-28 20:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7d5a96…
10-28 20:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb44381…
10-28 18:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x2c37af…
10-28 18:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xcea7dc…
10-28 18:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9fde39…
10-28 18:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x30a26f…
10-28 18:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfdf3bd…
10-28 17:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x128c9a…
10-28 17:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x09d0dd…
10-28 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x01cb4c…
10-28 02:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7701c7…
10-28 02:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf11dca…
10-28 02:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x90568d…
10-28 02:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf0343a…
10-28 02:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd0ffe5…
10-28 02:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xfed5cc…
10-28 02:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x331a93…
10-28 01:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x54b385…
10-28 01:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x255eea…
10-28 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x94ba68…
10-28 01:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3c71f9…
10-28 01:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x66dbe9…
10-28 01:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1469e4…
10-28 01:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x10c74f…
10-28 01:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x710391…
10-28 01:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xf0f5a2…
10-28 00:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1280fa…
10-28 00:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xa9edf6…
10-28 00:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xd57414…