Glaring-Solvency — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved (90d)

742

Trades (90d)

1,739

4,688 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$27.0K

$232.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-04 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 49% -$3,072

Sports

12% 55% +$22

Other

1% 33% +$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 18:30 UTC	3	$3.7K	2,516	2,397	+118	Up	+$1,099	02-23 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:30 UTC	2	$2.4K	1,739	1,712	+27	Down	+$820	02-10 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 16:15 UTC	2	$2.3K	4,305	0	+4,305	Up	-$2,170	03-10 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 02:45 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,606	1,482	+124	Up	+$626	03-03 02:59
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	85	$2.2K	3,711	3,861	-150	No	+$262	02-03 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 06:30 UTC	2	$2.1K	3,959	0	+3,959	Up	+$1,679	03-06 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 18:30 UTC	2	$1.6K	3,717	0	+3,717	Up	-$1,548	02-25 18:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 20:15 UTC	2	$1.6K	3,081	0	+3,081	Down	+$1,330	02-26 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 23:45 UTC	2	$1.6K	3,145	0	+3,145	Down	-$1,550	03-03 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,134	1,049	+85	Up	+$460	02-22 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 02:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,627	752	+874	Down	+$671	03-02 02:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 01:30 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,577	725	+852	Up	+$607	03-01 01:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC	5	$1.5K	1,692	686	+1,007	Up	+$715	03-03 22:07
nba cle por 2026 02 01 spread away 2pt5	2	$1.5K	1,154	1,154	+0	Cavaliers	+$306	02-02 03:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 18:30 UTC	5	$1.4K	1,636	948	+688	Up	+$327	03-03 18:41
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	3	$1.3K	758	758	+0	Patriots	+$257	01-25 23:05
nfl la chi 2026 01 18 spread away 3pt5	2	$1.2K	980	980	+0	Bears	+$230	01-19 02:25
cfb mia ind 2026 01 19 spread home 7pt5	2	$1.2K	962	962	+0	Miami	+$225	01-20 04:01
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	3	$1.2K	1,778	778	+1,000	Seahawks	-$415	01-26 02:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	3	$1.2K	2,194	0	+2,194	Up	-$1,056	03-10 15:29
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	2	$1.2K	1,064	1,064	+0	Broncos	+$172	01-18 00:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 06:00 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,108	0	+2,108	Down	-$975	03-06 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 02:15 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Down	-$975	03-08 02:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 23:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,165	0	+2,165	Down	+$932	03-06 23:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 02:45 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,099	0	+2,099	Up	+$853	03-07 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 02:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,943	0	+1,943	Down	+$796	03-11 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 02:15 UTC	2	$990	1,871	0	+1,871	Down	-$928	03-12 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:30 UTC	3	$917	647	618	+30	Down	+$267	02-11 21:42
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	3	$890	1,324	781	+542	49ers	-$250	01-11 21:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:30 UTC	5	$875	863	434	+429	Up	+$303	02-27 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	280	96¢	$269	0x62f537…
11-04 18:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x84181c…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xc42ec6…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xb99bf5…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x6e0845…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x6b5af4…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6975c7…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5dc4c5…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x171eb8…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x042041…
11-04 18:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xbef2a8…
11-04 18:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd6f43f…
11-04 18:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	106	50¢	$53	0xac4054…
11-04 18:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x33a929…
11-04 18:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x32503c…
11-04 15:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x8fd68e…
11-04 15:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0ca144…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf848d7…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe90624…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe087ea…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdda57a…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xc08ff8…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x8cbf70…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x852bc6…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8319c3…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x713dd8…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x6eaa0e…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x685a96…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x40d2a2…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x31a02c…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x24e1d4…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x06bff2…
11-04 02:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x83b3d3…
11-04 02:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x751fc6…
11-04 02:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x326a46…
11-04 02:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0x26cf3c…
11-04 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x1497ff…
11-03 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x446623…
11-03 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	280	51¢	$143	0x89e6e5…
11-03 23:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	118	50¢	$59	0xa08af0…
11-03 23:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c487b…
11-03 23:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xd24619…
11-03 23:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xd3a7de…
11-03 23:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x281973…
11-03 22:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	120	87¢	$104	0x7182b7…
11-03 22:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x99e37b…
11-03 22:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0xe0eebc…
11-03 22:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x8f31bb…
11-03 22:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82c483…
11-03 22:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb91130…
11-03 22:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x817327…
11-03 22:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf3f2c6…
11-03 22:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xdf28c0…
11-03 17:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	55¢	$17	0x4ce2fb…
11-03 17:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9d9b82…
11-03 17:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x532da2…
11-03 17:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9966c7…
11-03 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9a03aa…
11-03 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4c7b30…
11-03 17:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xef5a64…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xfa1132…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf136ee…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe1dca2…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdffb2f…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xd83ab6…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xd172ee…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xc9143e…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	50¢	$34	0xc135b2…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xbfaa86…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xb7f803…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xb57528…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5d14e2…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x5c626f…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x356528…
11-03 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x11e2f3…
11-03 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xeb961a…
11-03 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb5fbe9…
11-03 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaba50b…
11-03 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa44e2d…
11-03 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x729f5d…
11-03 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x690616…
11-03 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f6eb8…
11-03 15:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x40549f…
11-03 15:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x78fd83…
11-03 15:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	69	50¢	$34	0xa56c22…
11-03 15:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x6c50e1…
11-03 15:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe7ca8a…
11-03 15:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	106	50¢	$53	0x1f5bf0…
11-03 15:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x157c63…
11-03 15:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3b055b…
11-03 15:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x2222b2…
11-03 13:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x66f56d…
11-03 13:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x46ffeb…
11-03 13:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x3e14f2…
11-03 03:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb57bf3…
11-03 03:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8bcccd…
11-03 03:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x6b5ff2…
11-03 03:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xaf67cc…
11-03 03:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd05fc3…
11-03 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfb993a…