Glaring-Solvency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

2,494

Trades

4,746

lifetime

Volume

$233.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-07 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 204 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 49% -$3,191

Sports

12% 55% +$22

Other

1% 33% +$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 18:30 UTC	3	$3.7K	2,516	2,397	+118	Up	+$1,099	02-23 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:30 UTC	2	$2.4K	1,739	1,712	+27	Down	+$820	02-10 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 16:15 UTC	2	$2.3K	4,305	0	+4,305	Up	-$2,170	03-10 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 02:45 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,606	1,482	+124	Up	+$626	03-03 02:59
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	85	$2.2K	3,711	3,861	-150	No	+$262	02-03 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 06:30 UTC	2	$2.1K	3,959	0	+3,959	Up	+$1,679	03-06 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 18:30 UTC	2	$1.6K	3,717	0	+3,717	Up	-$1,548	02-25 18:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 20:15 UTC	2	$1.6K	3,081	0	+3,081	Down	+$1,330	02-26 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 23:45 UTC	2	$1.6K	3,145	0	+3,145	Down	-$1,550	03-03 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,134	1,049	+85	Up	+$460	02-22 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 02:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,627	752	+874	Down	+$671	03-02 02:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 01:30 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,577	725	+852	Up	+$607	03-01 01:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC	5	$1.5K	1,692	686	+1,007	Up	+$715	03-03 22:07
nba cle por 2026 02 01 spread away 2pt5	2	$1.5K	1,154	1,154	+0	Cavaliers	+$306	02-02 03:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 18:30 UTC	5	$1.4K	1,636	948	+688	Up	+$327	03-03 18:41
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	3	$1.3K	758	758	+0	Patriots	+$257	01-25 23:05
nfl la chi 2026 01 18 spread away 3pt5	2	$1.2K	980	980	+0	Bears	+$230	01-19 02:25
cfb mia ind 2026 01 19 spread home 7pt5	2	$1.2K	962	962	+0	Miami	+$225	01-20 04:01
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	3	$1.2K	1,778	778	+1,000	Seahawks	-$415	01-26 02:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	3	$1.2K	2,194	0	+2,194	Up	-$1,056	03-10 15:29
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	2	$1.2K	1,064	1,064	+0	Broncos	+$172	01-18 00:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 06:00 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,108	0	+2,108	Down	-$975	03-06 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 02:15 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Down	-$975	03-08 02:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 23:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,165	0	+2,165	Down	+$932	03-06 23:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 02:45 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,099	0	+2,099	Up	+$853	03-07 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 02:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,943	0	+1,943	Down	+$796	03-11 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 02:15 UTC	2	$990	1,871	0	+1,871	Down	-$928	03-12 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:30 UTC	3	$917	647	618	+30	Down	+$267	02-11 21:42
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	3	$890	1,324	781	+542	49ers	-$250	01-11 21:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:30 UTC	5	$875	863	434	+429	Up	+$303	02-27 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 06:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xe72354…
11-07 06:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x83d4fb…
11-07 06:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x8e539b…
11-07 06:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5f1e4c…
11-07 06:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x36acd5…
11-07 06:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x3b4de2…
11-07 05:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4f2d67…
11-07 05:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x41f57f…
11-07 05:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x792303…
11-07 05:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa019e…
11-07 05:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0x467dec…
11-07 05:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xa50c10…
11-07 05:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xe52227…
11-07 05:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x029b6b…
11-07 05:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2d40aa…
11-07 05:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x1b9dc3…
11-07 03:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x2b413b…
11-07 03:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc36634…
11-07 03:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe97e44…
11-07 03:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x51323a…
11-07 03:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0d127e…
11-07 03:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x1919c4…
11-07 03:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x16908b…
11-07 03:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x19bcf0…
11-07 03:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc4210b…
11-07 02:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x9afcbe…
11-07 02:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x800042…
11-07 02:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8762b0…
11-07 02:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xca72b6…
11-07 02:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc3c786…
11-07 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe289b4…
11-07 02:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x18ed25…
11-07 02:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x881575…
11-07 02:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x41bf7b…
11-07 02:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xedbee4…
11-07 02:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xdf0776…
11-07 02:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc488bd…
11-06 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x560e49…
11-06 20:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x549900…
11-06 20:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x04dfe2…
11-06 19:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x0326f0…
11-06 19:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xbb7c0c…
11-06 19:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x35571f…
11-06 19:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x1a9213…
11-05 23:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6f4d82…
11-05 23:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8d8c68…
11-05 23:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0x47ecb2…
11-05 23:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3b86e0…
11-05 22:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfe6b80…
11-05 19:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xf72fbe…
11-05 18:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xed3762…
11-05 16:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5ebf83…
11-05 16:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xdf3743…
11-05 04:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xd148cd…
11-05 04:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x02006a…
11-04 22:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xf82407…
11-04 22:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc40e7d…
11-04 18:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	280	96¢	$269	0x62f537…
11-04 18:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x84181c…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xc42ec6…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xb99bf5…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x6e0845…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x6b5af4…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6975c7…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5dc4c5…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x171eb8…
11-04 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x042041…
11-04 18:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xbef2a8…
11-04 18:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd6f43f…
11-04 18:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	106	50¢	$53	0xac4054…
11-04 18:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x33a929…
11-04 18:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x32503c…
11-04 15:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x8fd68e…
11-04 15:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0ca144…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf848d7…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe90624…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe087ea…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdda57a…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xc08ff8…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x8cbf70…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x852bc6…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8319c3…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x713dd8…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x6eaa0e…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x685a96…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x40d2a2…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x31a02c…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x24e1d4…
11-04 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x06bff2…
11-04 02:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x83b3d3…
11-04 02:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x751fc6…
11-04 02:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x326a46…
11-04 02:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0x26cf3c…
11-04 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x1497ff…
11-03 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x446623…
11-03 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	280	51¢	$143	0x89e6e5…
11-03 23:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	118	50¢	$59	0xa08af0…
11-03 23:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c487b…
11-03 23:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xd24619…
11-03 23:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xd3a7de…